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Reliance Petroleum has target of Rs 325-...
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How does RPL compare to its global peers?
2007-11-02 14:23:20 Source : moneycontrol.com
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Chevron has said it is evaluating buying stake in Reliance Petroleum, reports CNBC-TV18. It has time till July 2009 to decide and has an option to buy up to 24% in the company.
So, how does RPL compare to its global peers?
Analysts feel that a lot of that is priced into RPL’s price. The stock has seen a steep movement. In fact, the market capitalization of RPL as of now is over USD 30 billion. This, they added, gives you an indication about the valuations it is getting, ahead of the commencement of its operations, which is expected by July next year.
Most analysts are looking at a gross refining margins, or GRM, of USD 15-18 in the first three years of operations. Now, with crude hovering over USD 95, analysts feel that GRMs are expected to be sustained for at least 10-years instead of 3-years. This means that analysts are discounting the cyclical factor of crude prices.
Analysts feel that one should look at RPL’s earnings and sales as a normal company. So for FY10, they are expecting revenue growth at nearly USD 14.2 billion and profitability of USD 2.25 billion. For a company that will come out with such sustained profitability of USD 2.25 billion, given the constant GRMs of USD 15-18 for the next few years, the market is definitely pricing in a higher PE for RPL.
According to analysts, Infosys is being given a PE of 20-25 times FY10. So, why should RPL which is coming out with similar profits not be given the same kind of PE, they question. But that is on the extreme side. Currently, RPL’s PE is hovering around 16 times FY10, which is much higher than global peers.
In fact, Chevron PE is around 9 to 10 times forward PE while Reliance Petroleum is trading at a premium to that, analysts said. However, Chevron has a market capitalization of USD 190 billion and has a refining capacity of nearly 132 million tonne. In that sense, RPL is trading at a premium to its global peers and a lot of this is being going to be discounted when the refinery comes on stream next year.
Reliance Petroleum has target of Rs 325-330: Bose
2007-11-02 11:08:19 Source : moneycontrol.com
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Technical Analyst, Rajat K Bose is of the view that Reliance Petroleum has target of Rs 325-330.
Bose told CNBC-TV18, "Beyond Rs 291 is difficult to project because the run up in Reliance Petroleum has been pretty sharp. The target would be Rs 325 to 330 in the short-term. But after yesterday’s fall, such huge volumes I have never seen in any stock with that kind of a market capitalisation. So still it is moving up. It shows that it has got enough of momentum to cross the Rs 291 mark and move forward further. But we need to very closely watch the Rs 291-294 range. In RPL, RNRL bull rally continues, even in such a situation it is pretty encouraging for traders, especially day traders can make lot of money in such counters."
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Chevron has said that it is evaluating RPL stake option, adding that it has time till July 2009 to decide, reports CNBC-TV18. It has option to buy up to 24% in RPL, it informed.
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