13 November 2008

8 stocks you must buy in small quantities today

8 stocks you must buy in small quantities today

The two most respected names of corporate India, Tata and Birla, failed to raise money from the stockmarket through their respective rights issues (a rights issue is when a listed company offers shares to existing shareholders at a price, which is usually less than the market price of the listed stock).
Eventually, underwriters had to buy the majority of shares. Hindalco Industries, an Aditya Birla Group company, saw just half its Rs 5,000-crore rights issue subscribed to. Tata Motors of Tata Group, too, had the same fate.
The reason? Market prices of these stocks fell much below their offer price in the rights issue, removing the investor incentive of buying. Tata Motors and Hindalco are not the only companies to have seen such a battering.
As we go to press, about 380 out of 600 companies with a market cap of over Rs 250 crore (Rs 2.5 billion), have lost more than 50 per cent of their value since January. The Sensex and the Nifty have also lost close to 60 per cent. It is carnage on markets. But, in the rubble, you will find some gleaming diamonds, available at a quarter of what they were worth until a few months ago.
The Indian market has become a victim of a global meltdown. What started as credit crisis in the US has spilled over to the global financial market. Bears are out in full force, with their usual weapon of panic and fear, and have virtually captured every market--from Wall Street to Dalal Street.
If all you saw over the last four years was unbridled enthusiasm, now all you can hear is negativity. The Indian market started witnessing selling pressure from January this year. As the credit crisis started deepening in the West and liquidity became scarce, foreign institutional investors (FIIs) started selling stocks in all the markets, including India.
Anticipation of heavy selling from the FIIs prompted domestic investors to get out. FIIs continue to dump Indian stocks--they have sold stocks worth Rs 52,000 crore, or $12.90 billion, in our markets since January. Apart from the FII play, expectation of slower growth of the economy and corporate earnings, due to deteriorating global outlook and high domestic interest rates, contributed to the market's downfall. Read on. . .

What next? International Monetary Fund (IMF), in its October 2008 report, World Economic Outlook, said that the world economy is entering a major downturn in the face of the most dangerous shock in mature financial markets since the 1930s. It has marked down global growth to 3 per cent for 2009, the slowest since 2002.
The Indian economy is also expected to slow down. The Reserve Bank of India (RBI), in its mid-term review of marcoeconomic and monetary developments, published a professional forecasters' survey, which suggests that the Indian economy will grow at 7.7 per cent in FY09, compared to 9 per cent in FY08. Earnings growth has also started to show a declining trend.
Earnings guidances are being revised downwards, liquidity has become scarce, markets have fallen above 60 per cent, and FIIs continue to sell. In short, the overall condition has turned against equities. So, should you be out of equities?
Outlook Money advised caution when the market was on a dizzying ride--the Sensex was up at around 21,000. Now, as the Sensex crashes to 9044.51, we are breaking out of the pessimistic babble to tell you that this is a good time to start buying stocks.
The current crisis is being termed as once-in-a-lifetime by the Western press. If the crisis is once in lifetime, so are the challenges and opportunities. And as an investor, you should grab the opportunities.
The question you may ask is whether the market will fall further? It surely can. But you need to remember that it's always difficult to catch the bottom. The market may fall further before stabilising, but start buying now. Investors entering at this stage need to hold on to their stocks for the long term.
If you are a short-term investor, stay out of the market at this stage. Buying long-term assets with short-term capital is never a good idea.
Valuations have come down significantly, even for fundamentally sound companies. We are giving you eight such options--take your pick and invest for at least three years. Invest systematically to take advantage of any further price fall.
Methodology: The companies that have been considered for selection are the ones with a market capitalisation of at least Rs 250 crore. Among them, companies with year-on-year (y-o-y) net sales and net profit growth of more than 10 per cent for the last three years and the last two quarters were retained. From this list, only companies that were able to maintain or increase their operating profit margin (OPM) and operating cash flow in the last three years were kept.
The remaining stocks were examined individually based on qualitative and quantitative measures.

Click here to check out the 8 stock picks. . .

Source:Rediff.com

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