US STOCKS-Wall St rallies on Fed rate signals, oil retreat* Fed signals in no hurry to raise interest rates
* Oil below $120 helps airlines, retailers
* AIG leads financial stocks higher
* Dow up 2.9 pct, S&P 500 up 2.9 pct, Nasdaq up 2.8 pct (Updates to close)
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U.S. stocks soared on Tuesday after the Federal Reserve signaled that it is in no rush to raise interest rates and oil prices tumbled further, spurring the Dow and the S&P to their best day in four months.
The Dow rose more than 300 points.
The Fed, as expected, left benchmark lending rates unchanged at 2 percent, and its accompanying statement soothed investors who had worried that inflation headwinds would force the central bank to drive up borrowing costs in coming months.
Oil prices fell more than 2 percent, closing below the $120 a barrel mark for the first time in three months. That provided further relief on the inflation front and offered hope for consumer spending, which has been pressured by record gasoline prices.
Big winners on the day included retailers, banks and airlines, while commodity-related shares extended their retreat along with the drop in price of crude oil and gold.
"The market seems to be reacting somewhat favorably to the idea the Fed will not raise interest rates any time soon. It appears that the Fed has actually taken a little more of a dovish stance, speaking more about the downside risks to growth," said Richard Sparks, senior equities analyst, Schaeffer's Investment Research.
The Dow Jones industrial average .DJI surged 331.21 points, or 2.94 percent, to 11,615.36, while the Standard & Poor's 500 Index .SPX jumped 35.59 points, or 2.85 percent, at 1,284.60.The Nasdaq Composite Index .IXIC rose 64.27 points, or 2.81 percent, to 2,349.83.Financial shares soared, led by a 12 percent gain in shares of insurer American International Group (AIG.N:
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Stock Buzz) to $29.89. The S&P financials sub-index rose more than 5 percent.
Analysts at UBS upgraded AIG to "buy" from "neutral" on valuation and said the world's largest insurer was well-positioned to absorb further losses and didn't need to raise capital.
Shares of Procter & Gamble Co (PG.N:
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Stock Buzz), the world's largest consumer products maker whose products range from Pampers diapers to Olay skin-care products, rose after the company posted a stronger-than-expected quarterly profit. Shares rose 3.3 percent to $67.97.
Planemaker Boeing (BA.N:
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Stock Buzz) rose 6.3 percent to $65.20 and lifted the Dow industrials, while an index of retail shares .RLX rose 5.4 percent.
U.S. crude futures ended lower for a second day in a row, with oil operations in the Gulf of Mexico starting to return to normal as Tropical Storm Edouard moved inland after striking the Texas coast.
Early in the session, data from the Institute for Supply Management showing that the U.S. service sector shrank less than expected in July helped set the positive tone in the stock market. The ISM report included a decline in the prices paid index. For details, see [ID:nN05315223].
Trading was moderate on the New York Stock Exchange, with about 1.4 billion shares changing hands, below last year's estimated daily average of roughly 1.9 billion, while on Nasdaq, about 2.33 billion shares traded, above last year's daily average of 2.17 billion.
Advancing stocks outnumbered declining ones by 3 to 1 on the NYSE and by about 2 to 1 on the Nasdaq. (Additional reporting by Walter Brandimarte; Editing by Leslie Adler)
Oil falls below $120 as Edouard spares Gulf Fed leaves rate unchanged at 2 per centThe Federal Reserve held US interest rates steady on Tuesday, expressing concerns on both economic growth and inflation and offering few clues as to when it might push borrowing costs higher. The 10-1 decision by the US central bank leaves the benchmark federal funds rate target at a low 2 percent, where it has been since April. The Fed had reduced rates by a cumulative 3.25 percentage points since mid-September in response to a sharp housing retrenchment and turmoil in credit markets. "Although downside risks to growth remain, the upside risks to inflation are also of significant concern," the Fed said in a statement.
The announcement closely mirrored a statement issued after the Fed's last meeting in late June. However, the central bank omitted a phrase contained in the June statement that had said risks to growth appeared "to have diminished somewhat." US
stocks added to earlier gains, while prices for US government debt securities and the dollar slipped. US short-term interest rate futures pared the implied prospects of rate hikes later this year. Dallas Federal Reserve Bank President Richard Fisher dissented from the decision, preferring higher rates. It was Fisher's fifth straight dissent.
"If there is a subtle shift in the risk assessment it is that while acknowledging the downside risks to growth, it notes the upside risks to inflation 'are also (of) significant concern,'" Marc Chandler, global head of strategy at Brown Brothers Harriman in New York, said in a note to clients. "This may have been a sufficient bone to the hawks to prevent others from joining Fisher in dissenting," he said. STILL SHAKY The Fed's decision comes as evidence points to lingering economic weakness from the housing slump, shaky consumer sentiment and tight credit. At the same time, a marked pullback in oil prices, which have slid to around $120 a barrel since cresting above $147 a barrel in July, has eased some of the central bank's worries about inflation. The drop in oil prices had led
investors to anticipate the Fed would not need to raise rates soon to combat inflation at the expense of choking off already weak growth, and was a factor pushing equities prices up ahead of the central bank's decision.
The economy grew at respectable if somewhat subdued 1.9 percent annual rate in the April-June quarter, but that growth followed a 0.2 percent contraction in the fourth quarter of last year and a tepid 0.9 percent gain at the start of 2008. Many economists expect the economy to weaken anew in the second half of the year as the boost to consumer spending from government stimulus checks recedes. With the jobless rate at a four-year high and employers cutting jobs for a seventh straight month in July, many observers suggest it is a technicality to insist the economy is not in
recession simply because a popular definition, two consecutive quarters of contraction, has not been met. At the heart of US economic malaise is a housing market that has not shown convincing signs of stabilizing. The pace of existing home sales fell to the lowest level since 1998 in June and
mortgage applications are at their lowest level since 2000 as buyers remain on the sidelines. A mild silver lining is the recent drop in oil prices. Fed officials have worried that big increases in energy and food prices could set in train an inflationary psychology in which workers and businesses push harder to cover their costs, leading to a broader pickup in prices.
A report on Monday showed inflation jumped 0.8 percent in June, the steepest rise since 1981. The gain over the past year climbed to 4.1 percent, the most since 1991. While so-called core inflation, which excludes volatile food and energy prices and is viewed by the Fed as a good barometer of the future course of prices, has been better behaved, it also moved up in June. Core prices have risen 2.3 percent over the past year, a bit above the 1.5 percent to 2 percent range that many Fed officials believe is ideal.
Source: ET, Reuters