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24 November 2009
Srisai's Instinct Stock Calls for Dt: 24.11.2009
This(Srisai's Instinct Stock Calls) will be a New Initiative of this blog to Publish Blog Author's Own Investment/Trading Calls for Short-Medium Term perspective. But All these Calls are not given on Purely Technical perspective. Most of these Calls are given by Blog Author from His past Investment/Trading experiences. So Do not expect More depth in Calls. Author has tried his best to give some calls for the benefit of Investors/Traders from his experience and from some media/web/news based call. So author request all the investors/traders to take/try these Calls as RISK CALLS. And Keep Strict Stop Loss Own (or) Keep Resi,Supp levels As Stop Loss for their Trading(or) Trade/Invest @ your Own Financial Risk. All type of Comments are Welcome about this New Initiative. Dont Forget to Keep Stop Loss and Again Author Remembering you that he is giving calls only from his past trading experience...
Nifty Future cmp 5106
NFut resi @ 5122-5144-5181 levels.... Supports at 5080-5056-5030 levels... Risk traders Short Nfut at 5122 levels with 5144-5153 as Strict StopLoss...
Reliance cmp 2197
Reliance Stron resi @ 2240-2270 levels.... Before the Q2 qtrly results Stock was hovering around this 2240-2270 levels.... So 2240-2270 will act as some Resi Zone... But if it cross that level, then may go to 2340 levels Soon.
GSPL: cmp 94.5
Outside Call:
If 96-98 crosses with good volumes then may go upto 115-123 levels... THis is A Investment Call.. Supports at 89-85 levels.... Resi @ 104 levels....
By Srisai
23 November 2009
Range-trading may continue this week
Look for a close above 5,100.
AA week of very narrow range trading ended with small positive gains. The Nifty closed at 5,052.45 points for a gain of 1.1 per cent. The Sensex closed up 1.02 per cent at 17,021.85 points. The Defty closed up by 0.65 per cent with the rupee losing a little ground.
Breadth was balanced with advances matching declines while volumes dropped in the cash market. Domestic institutions (DII) were net sellers in moderate quantities while foreign institutional investors (FII) were net buyers in modest amounts. The BSE 500 gained around 1 per cent - about the same as the pivotal indices.
Outlook: Settlement week is likely to see a surge in intra-day volatility but we don't have strong directional indicators. The market gained on Friday afternoon on short-covering but it remains stuck inside the range of 4,900-5,100 as it has, for almost three weeks. Any breakout in settlement week would see a likely swing of 150-200 points.
Rationale: The odds are, there will be a breakout. Strong carryover and repeated probing of the resistance at 5,050+ makes it likely that this will be upwards. However, the corrective intermediate trend has now lasted four weeks and that is on the short side. The long-term trend is up, so is the short-term trend though that could fizzle on Monday itself. If you're bullish, get excited only if there's a close above 5,100.
Counter-view: Institutional attitude is not strong. DIIs have been selling relatively small quantities, and the FII volume is also low, though it is positive at the net level. If the institutions remain non-committal or negative, it's difficult to see operators and retail traders pushing the market up far. Trading focus normally narrows to the few top counters in settlement week. Stocks outside the derivative set might see sharp decline in volumes. A close below 4,850 would probably mean 4,700 being tested.
Bulls & bears: The IT sector did better than the market, with the CNXIT up by 1.6 per cent. TCS and Moser Baer were among the more bullish counters. Banks underperformed week-on-week with the Bank Nifty up only 0.7 per cent but there was a big surge on Friday afternoon. Most of the major gainers were the second-string PSUs like Syndicate Bank and Andhra Bank.
Cement saw a lot of bullish action. The Grasim-Ultra Tech Cement deal seems to have focussed attention on the entire sector. Metal stocks such as Tata Steel, Sail and Hindalco also did well. The trend was mixed in real estate though there were high volumes as usual. Losers included power stocks such as Suzlon, Rpower and Bhel. Major telecom counters continued to look weak and sugar stocks are weakening on profit-booking.
MICRO TECHNICALS
ACC
Current Price: Rs 766
Target Price: Rs 800
The stock has seen volume expansion driving a price uptrend. It has cleared strong resistance at around Rs 750-755. The target projection would be somewhere between Rs 790-810, though there's significant resistance at Rs 775. Keep a stop at Rs 755 and go long. Increase the position above Rs 775.
DLF
Current Price: Rs 375.5
Target Price: Rs 400
The stock has started consolidating around a base of solid support between Rs 355-365. It is likely to range-trade between Rs 370-400. A breakout beyond major resistance at Rs 400 would require a serious volume expansion. Keep a stop at Rs 365 and go long. Book profits above Rs 395.
TCS
Current Price: Rs 693.15
Target Price: Rs 670
The stock has been bullish since March and the momentum accelerated after the 1:1 split in June. It is hit resistance just below Rs 700. A reaction would pullback till Rs 670. Keep a stop at Rs 700 and short. Cover at Rs 670. If it closes above Rs 700, reverse the position and go long with a target of Rs 720.
Vijaya Bank
Current Price: Rs 53.5
Target Price: Rs 62
The stock has a V-shaped bullish pattern and its testing resistance at Rs 55-56. Volumes are up. If it closes above Rs 56, the next target would be Rs 62. Keep a stop at Rs 50 and go long. Increase the position above Rs 56. Book profits above Rs 61.
Suzlon
Current Price: Rs 73
Target Price: Rs 65
The stock has been bearish since June. The long-term trend has seen resistance along a falling trendline at about minus 45 degrees. The reaction last week came along that trendline at Rs 79-80. The minimum downside would be Rs 65-66. Keep a stop at Rs 79 and short. Cover at Rs 66.
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Src: Economictimes, Business Standard, DP Blog...
Srisai's Instinct Stock Calls for Dt: 23.11.2009
This(Srisai's Instinct Stock Calls) will be a New Initiative of this blog to Publish Blog Author's Own Investment/Trading Calls for Short-Medium Term perspective. But All these Calls are not given on Purely Technical perspective. Most of these Calls are given by Blog Author from His past Investment/Trading experiences. So Do not expect More depth in Calls. Author has tried his best to give some calls for the benefit of Investors/Traders from his experience and from some media/web/news based call. So author request all the investors/traders to take/try these Calls as RISK CALLS. And Keep Strict Stop Loss Own (or) Keep Resi,Supp levels As Stop Loss for their Trading(or) Trade/Invest @ your Own Financial Risk. All type of Comments are Welcome about this New Initiative. Dont Forget to Keep Stop Loss and Again Author Remembering you that he is giving calls only from his past trading experience...
Nifty Future cmp 5066
Premium of +13 pts over spot price... Nifty Future Previous recent highs(last week) are at 5073-5074-5079... So NFut may face stiff resi @ this zone.... Further resi @ 5105-5114-5122 levels.... Supports are at 5030-5012-4978 levels...
As long As NFut holds 5010-5030 level, then Nifty will be in uptrend....
Allahabad Bank: cmp 140
Stock has hit year high on Friday... THis stoks has potential to go upto 156-170 levels in Medium term.... Buy With Strict StopLoss at 126 levels....
ICICIBank: cmp 897
ICICI Bank struggles to cross 920-927 levelss.... Until this level crosses, ICICI Stock may be in weaker Side.... Supports are at 874-855 levels....
HDIL cmp 338
Stock down nearly 10 percent from recent high... Supports at 331-326-315 levels... Keep 315-318 as Strict StopLoss and Go LONG... Resi @ 383-390 levels....
UCO Bank: cmp 59.60
Stock has good supp @ 53-50 levels... Go LONG this Stock with 53 as Strict StopLoss...
MaxIndia cmp 209
Stock has breached Stiff resi @ 205 levels after a long time.... Next supprts are at 190-185 levels... Keep 190-185 as StopLoss and Go LONG... Its for a Mediumterm Recommendation.
Keep Strict StopLoss in All trades.... This willl be a Good Practice to All....
22 November 2009
Outlook Profit 100
Profit 100 Listing | |
Profit 100 Ranking: Alphabetical | |
Methodology |
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With crude at $79 and threatening to head lower, order-flow for machines that make bio-ethanol could slump. The company delivered blockbuster net profit numbers till last year as rising viability of alternate fuels ensured a wild rush towards green energy. The last reported order-book was Rs 800 crore with exports having a 35 per cent share.
4 Oil Country Tubular
Exports contributed about Rs 209 crore out of the Rs 422 crore topline in FY2009 on the back of the then boom in oil and gas exploration. In H1 of 2010, the drill pipe manufacturer has already clocked sales of Rs 200 crore against the planned Rs 325 crore.
11 AllCargo Global
The country’s biggest multi-modal services operator has private equity goliath Blackstone among its biggest investors. The slowdown in the export-import trade led to operating cash flows falling by 25 per cent in FY2009. Sustaining margins going forward will be a function of the robustness in global economic activity.
20 Sun TV Network
In South India it has a dominant presence in almost all the markets that it is present. Its regional positioning also protects it as that space is the last hit, when advertising spends are pared in a downturn. Greater focus on increasing non-advertising revenue (currently
40 per cent) via its DTH venture will keep this gravy train going.
21 GlaxoSmithkline Pharma
The product patent regime could see this multinational get aggressive with new product launches. For now, the company has passed onto consumers the reduction in
excise duty. Reduction in input costs as well as retention of duty cuts could sustain improved net sales. For H1 of CY09, net sales were up 9 per cent year on year at Rs 915 crore.
Click here for large table 1-25
23 Sterlite
The company is banking on its planned expansion in aluminum and zinc for an encore of the performance that it has delivered during the last boom. The acquisition hunt backed by balance sheet strength continues even as it grapples with delays in commissioning
its Orissa power plant. Among the best placed metal players to capitalise on any sustained global economic recovery.
29 Nava Bharat Ventures
For this diversified player, while the planned capacity expansion from 228 MW to 600 MW in the merchant power business will drive growth, the strain in ferro alloys and minor contribution of sugar division to the bottomline could refl ect in declining return ratios.
33 Colgate Palmolive
Low priced packs have enabled it to get a substantial share of the 35 per cent of all toothpaste sales that happen in rural India. Saving cream, soaps and shower gels still play second fiddle to toothpaste and brushes that deliver 90 per cent of revenue. Profitability could be under pressure due to slowing volume growth, loss of tax shelter and
37 Asian Paints
This decorative segment leader is further increasing its distribution reach through its Colour World outlets. Margins have improved in the international business primarily due to fall in inputs costs. Very strong brand equity enables it to pass on reasonable price hikes onto the end-user when required.
More on this: http://www.outlookprofit.com/article.aspx?262773
Source: OutLook Profit
Reliance offering about $12 bn for Lyondell: Sources
Reliance Industries is offering about USD 12 billion to buy a controlling interest in bankrupt chemical company LyondellBasell Industries to create one of the largest petrochemical firms in the world, two sources with direct knowledge of the deal said.
"The offer is in the vicinity of about USD 10 billion to USD 12 billion," one source said, while another said it was around the upper end of the band. The two sources declined to be named as they are not authorised to speak to the media.
Related News RSS feed for news |
The deal, if closed, will make it one of the largest overseas acquisitions by an Indian company. In 2007, Tata Steel bought Anglo-Dutch Corus steel maker for USD 13 billion.
On Saturday LyondellBasell said Indian energy giant Reliance Industries has made a non-binding cash offer to buy a controlling interest and the offer represented a potential alternative to its previously filed reorganisation plan to emerge from Chapter 11 bankruptcy.
Reliance said it had made a preliminary non-binding offer to acquire, for cash, a controlling interest in LyondellBasell upon its emergence from Chapter 11.
"The offer is preliminary and subject to customary conditions including conduct of due diligence, documentation and receipt of sufficient creditor support," it said.
Both Reliance and LyondellBasell did not disclose the size of the offer in their statements.
Bank of America Merrill Lynch is among the advisors for Reliance, they said.
Reliance, India's largest conglomerate, has been looking to expand, taking advantage of low valuations to delve into international markets.
The company is aiming to attain global scale for its conventional energy platform -- petrochemicals, refining and oil and gas exploration -- and invest in its new businesses such as retailing and alternative energy, chairman Mukesh Ambani said this week at the company's annual meeting of shareholders.
In September, Reliance raised about USD 660 million in a share sale that analysts said was likely to help the firm make acquisitions.
It has USD 4 billion in cash, USD 8billion in treasury stock that can be sold and if it doubles its current net debt-to-equity of 0.35x it can borrow another USD 10 billion, Macquarie said in a recent research note.
Luxembourg-based LyondellBasell filed for bankruptcy protection in January, unable to meet its debt obligations after demand dropped for petrochemicals products during the global economic downturn.
The company, owned by investor Len Blavatnik through New York-based Access Industries, took on billions of dollars of debt obligations when an Access Industries-led group bought the company in 2007.
Src: Moneycontrol.com
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Src: Economictimes.Indiatimes.com
20 November 2009
ICICI Bank, HUL among world's best firms for leaders
NEW YORK: Indian private sector lender ICICI Bank and global consumer goods giant Unilever's India-based subsidiary have been named in a list of
The list, compiled by business magazine Fortune, is topped by global technology giant IBM. Proctor & Gamble has been ranked second, followed by General Mills and McKinsey at third and fourth position respectively.
Fortune said the list has been compiled by ranking the most successful businesses that are the best at developing employee talent.
With a revenue of $7.4 billion and 36,335 employees, ICICI Bank has been ranked at the fifth position. Hindustan Unilever, the Indian arm of Unilever, has been ranked 10th.
About ICICI Bank the magazine said, "ICICI doesn't just have recruiters trolling for talent outside of the company; it also has 600 employees who act as talent scouts internally, identifying coworkers with leadership potential."
The internal recruiters tap 5,000 candidates a year, adding that these trainees are the only employees who get company stock options, the magazine said.
Hindustan Unilever, which has 15,000 employees, likes to think of itself as a talent factory. And with more than 1,000 alumni sitting on boards globally, it can certainly make a strong case for that, the magazine said.
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Src: Economictimes.com
Srisai's Instinct Stock Calls for Dt: 20.11.2009
This(Srisai's Instinct Stock Calls) will be a New Initiative of this blog to Publish Blog Author's Own Investment/Trading Calls for Short-Medium Term perspective. But All these Calls are not given on Purely Technical perspective. Most of these Calls are given by Blog Author from His past Investment/Trading experiences. So Do not expect More depth in Calls. Author has tried his best to give some calls for the benefit of Investors/Traders from his experience and from some media/web/news based call. So author request all the investors/traders to take/try these Calls as RISK CALLS. And Keep Strict Stop Loss Own (or) Keep Resi,Supp levels As Stop Loss for their Trading(or) Trade/Invest @ your Own Financial Risk. All type of Comments are Welcome about this New Initiative. Dont Forget to Keep Stop Loss and Again Author Remembering you that he is giving calls only from his past trading experience...
Nifty Future: cmp 4986
Short-term uptrend only above 5030-5040 levels.... Major Resi @ 5080 levels...
Supports at 437-4925-4905 levels..... If 4927 broken then could see another 30-50 pts down....
Pratibha cmp 240
Stock has supprt at 234... Buy at that levels and Go Long with 226 as Strict StopLoss.....
Reliance cmp 2080
RIL has resi @ 2128-2137 levels... Uptrend only above 2137 levels... Supports at 2070-2044-2026 levels..
Rajesh Exports cmp 81.30
Stock Looks rangebound between the range 75-90 levels.... If Stock crosses 87-88 levels then could see 93-97 range soon.... This is a Very very volatile Stock... Keep this in Mind and Keep Strict StopLoss....
DLF cmp 366
DLF struggles to cross 385-390 levels... Supp at 365-358-353 levels.... If breaks 353 may fall further... Upside only above 385-390 levels..
Keep Strict StopLoss in Trades.....
By
Srisai
19 November 2009
Mukesh Ambani is richest Indian
A rebounding stock market that gained two-thirds in the past year and an economy growing at 6% have boosted the net worth of India’s richest people, according to the latest Forbes’ India Rich List.
The combined net worth of
Last year, there were only 27 billionaires on the India Rich List. This year, the number has almost doubled to 52—two short of what
Trailing behind him are Lakshmi Mittal with a net worth of USD 30 billion, up 46% from USD 20.5 billion, and Mukesh’s estranged brother, Anil, whose net worth of USD 17.5 billion, 40%, higher than before, put him in the third place.
Indrajit Gupta, Editor of Forbes
Though the top ten positions remain largely unchanged, there are some shifts in fortunes across the list. Sunil Mittal has moved down from Number 4 to Number 8 and Azim Premji has moved up to Number 4 position. The Ruia brothers with a net worth of USD 13.6 billion have made it to number 5 this year. Adi Godrej has moved out of the top 10 to the number 12 position. Savitri Jindal, Nonexecutive Chairwoman of OP Jindal Group, at a net worth of USD 12 billion this year has made it to number 7 on the list – she is one of only six women on the list.
The richest newcomers are two brothers from Torrent Power -- Sudhir and Samir Mehta, ranked 23 at USD 2.02 billion.
Another notable mention is Nandan Nilekani who has stepped down from Infosys board and is now a part of government. He ranks 43 with a net worth of USD 1.25 billion.
The Forbes India cover story highlights how 2009 has been a turnaround year for the rich in
The three richest Indians are worth USD 79.5 billion. It takes 24 Chinese billionaires to be worth USD 80 billion.
The top 10 richest in
1. Mukesh Ambani USD 32 billion
2. Lakshmi Mittal USD 30 billion
3. Anil Ambani USD 17.5 billion
4. Azim Premji USD 14.9 billion
5. Shashi and Ravi Ruia USD 13.6 billion
6. KP Singh USD 13.5 billion
7. Savitri Jindal USD 12 billion
8. Sunil Mittal USD 8.2 billion
9. Kumar Birla USD 7.8 billion
10. Gautam Adani USD 6.4 billion
Methodology
Net worths are compiled using stock prices and exchange rates taken on October 16.
Privately held fortunes were valued at book value or by coupling estimates of revenues, profits or book value to prevailing ratios for similar public companies
To compile these rankings, reporters interviewed rich listers, employees, rivals, investors, fund managers, real estate agents and securities analysts. They also sifted through documents and databases to determine value and ownership of assets.
Indian citizenship was required to make it to the list.
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Other Stories
16 November 2009
Technicals, Stock Reports for the Week
In the past three sessions, the market has tested 5,015 and pulled back.
The market made net gains before running into strong resistance. The Nifty closed at 4,998.95 points for a gain of 4.2 per cent while the Sensex was up 4.3 per cent at 16,848 points. The Defty gained 5.1 per cent as the rupee strengthened again.
Both sets of institutional investors were net buyers through the past week. Advances outnumbered declines and volumes were good in both cash and derivatives segment. The BSE 500 rose 3.9 per cent suggesting good retail participation.
Outlook: The market faces massive resistance above 5,000 and it failed to pierce that last week. The pattern suggests short-term bearishness, or range-trading, with the Nifty moving between 4,850-5,050. A breakout in either direction would lead to a move of 150-200 points. The intermediate trend is unclear.
Rationale: In the past three sessions, the market has tested 5,015 and pulled back. Multiple tops have bearish short-term implications. There's solid support down to 4,850 and further down, till 4,700. On the upside, a breakout above 5,050 could push the market to a new 2009 high.
The intermediate trend went negative on October 20, reacting from the peak of 5,181. It bottomed on November 3 at a low of 4,538 and has since moved back to 5,000 levels. The 13.5 per cent pull back is ample in dimensions but the time period of barely two weeks is very short. The current range-trading could breakout in either direction.
Counterview: If the market stays above 4,538 in the next correction, the pattern would be higher lows and positive. A strongly bullish long-term trend has been in force since March and this makes it possible that a 2-3 week correction period is enough. A pattern of higher highs above 5,181 would confirm that the intermediate trend has gone bullish again.
Bulls & bears: The IT sector was surprisingly strong despite the rupee rising to 46.5. The CNXIT jumped 6.1 per cent. A reaction was seen on Friday in Educomp and Satyam but Moser Baer and TCS looked strong. Banks also bounced back with the Bank Nifty up 4.9 per cent.
Metals were another group that did reasonably well with both ferrous and non-ferrous stocks being strongly supported. Sugar continued its bull run with less fancied counters like Dhampur in the limelight.
Real estate continued to look weak though most real estate are sitting near good supports and some may be due for a revival. Many PSUs such as Neyveli Lignite Corporation, NMDC, SCI and GAIL saw volume expansions and price increases. Two depressed cyclical sectors - automobiles and shipping - also saw selective buying interest.
MICRO TECHNICALS
IDFC
Current Price: Rs 171.25
Target Price: Rs 180
The stock has made a breakout to a new high on increased volumes. On the basis of the chart pattern, it has a target projection of around Rs 180-185. There's no price history in this zone so error margins are more. Keep a trailing stop at Rs 165 and go long. Move the stop up 5 points for every Rs 5 rise.
IVRCL
Current Price: Rs 410.5
Target Price: Rs 430
The stock has made an upside breakout on high volumes and it is testing resistance close to its 2009 highs. It has the potential to cross Rs 430 and create a new high if the volume pattern is maintained. Keep a stop between Rs 400-405 and go long. Increase the position above Rs 420.
PARSVNATH DEVELOPERS
Current Price: Rs 116.75
Target Price: Rs 100
The stock has made a recovery from a recent low of Rs 92. However, it is now running into high resistance. It could react again and go into a range-trading pattern between support at Rs 100 and resistance at Rs 120. Keep a stop at Rs 120 and go short. Increase the position below Rs 112 and clear the position below Rs 102.
SAIL
Current Price: Rs 182.3
Target Price: Rs 195
The stock has made a small breakout past resistance at Rs 180. It could test the 2009 highs of Rs 195-197 at least on intra-day basis since there is little resistance in-between. Keep a stop at Rs 180 and go long. Start covering the position above Rs 193.
SHIPPING CORPORATION
Current Price: Rs 145.9
Target Price: Rs 170
The stock is testing resistance at Rs 150 and if it closes above that mark, a target of Rs 170 is possible. Keep a trailing stop at Rs 140 and go long. Increase the position above Rs 150 and move the stop loss up to Rs 145. At Rs 160, book 50 per cent profit and move the stop loss to Rs 155.
Early signs of a recovery
Riding on the rally
Markets at a glance
Analysts' corner
High carryover in range-bound market
Gold rallies as dollar falls
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Top 5 Picks |
Mid-term Picks |
Staying above 4900 level crucial for Nifty
No clear direction on stock indices seen this week
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Weekly Newsletter - Nov 16 2009
GSPL, Dish TV, India Economy
ONGC
DLF Limited
Mahindra Ugine
Src: Economictimes, Business-Standard, Deadpresident Blog