03 February 2010

20 Indian banks in top 500 global banking list‎

20 Indian banks in top 500 global banking list


NEW DELHI: They may not be bankers to the world yet, but Indian banks have clearly set their eyes on that. In a year that saw the worst recession
for the global banking industry with several big daddies collapsing, resilient Indian banks have improved their brand value rapidly. There are 20 Indian banks in the Brand Finance® Global Banking 500, an annual international ranking by UK-based Brand Finance Plc, this year.

The State Bank of India (SBI) became the first Indian bank to break into the world’s Top 50 list, according to the Brand Finance study that saw HSBC retain its top slot for the third year in a row.

The study, released on Sunday and made exclusively available to ET in India, used discounted cash flow methodology to arrive at a net present value (NPV) of the trademark and associated intellectual property: the brand value. SBI’s brand value more than tripled to $4,551 million, up from $1,448 million in 2009 helping it grab the 36th spot in the list. ICICI Bank, the country’s largest private bank, joined it in the Top 100 list with a 130% jump in its brand value at $2,164 million.

Other big gainers in brand value include IDBI Bank (190%), Bank of Baroda (162%) and Union Bank of India (148%). The cumulative brand value of 20 Indian banks stood at $13,053 million. The 15 Indian banks that figured in last year’s list saw a whopping 130% rise in their combined brand value.

The number of Indian banks in the global list had more than tripled last year to 19 from six in 2007. Differentiation through strong brand and customer base value is becoming a key economic lever for Indian banks. This is as true in financial services as in consumer products.

“Indian banks need to recognise their inherent brand value potential and SBI’s remarkable performance by breaking into the top 50 financial services brands offers a lesson for others,” said Unni Krishnan, MD of Brand Finance India. SBI seems to be fast transforming into a brand-led business, with a broader, more holistic and sophisticated approach to managing the brand and stakeholder relationships.

“Brands act as a common glue that binds all the business functions, especially in financial services firms, resulting in greater coherence of strategy, service excellence and sustained business performance,” said Unni Krishnan, MD of Brand Finance India.

Asian aura shows Over all, HSBC remained the biggest bank brand for the third year in a row with its brand value rising 12% to $28,472 million. This must have been a relief to the bank that saw its brand value erode by 28% in 2009 league table.

The study notes that global banking sector has begun to show tangible signs of recovery, with the world’s 500 most valuable banking groups growing by 62% in terms of market capitalisation and their brand values cumulatively increasing by 49%.

“This year’s BrandFinance® Global Banking 500 shows how significant the recovery of global banking brands has been,” said David Haigh, CEO of Brand Finance plc. The total brand value of the Top 500 banks stands at $716 billion, up 49% over 2009 and 4% higher than in 2008, prior to the crisis.

“There has been a significant shift in the balance of power globally away from the US and towards banks in emerging markets,” said Mr Haigh.

The Asia region contributed 17% to the total global brand value, logging 31% growth in 2010. However, the number of Asian banks in the global 500 has dropped to 102 in 2010 from 120 the previous year.

Almost all banks in the Asian Top 10 have increased in brand value. However, this rise is not as strong as witnessed in more developed regions like Europe and North America, as they recover from the crisis.

Although the number of banks reported in the Top 500 from Asia has decreased, many banks in the region tend to be well capitalised and in countries such as India, banks have become far more competitive.

As such, the normalisation of markets has not had such a relatively profound increase in brand value in the Asian region. As was the case last year, the Asian Top 10 is dominated by Chinese banks with the gap between the major Chinese banks and the rest widening.

The biggest movement in the league table was made by SBI, which has seen its brand value more than triple to sixth biggest bank brand in Asia.

Another notable entrant is Standard Chartered, which has stepped up its Asian presence in recent years, saw a robust 59% growth in its brand value.

While the brand value increased, market capitalisation of the top 500 came down by 20% since 2008.
The US dominance of global banking has declined further with a decrease in the number in the global 500 down to 85 from 95 in 2009. The number of European banks in the list increased from 170 to 197, while that from the UK decreased from 24 to 22.

This suggests that the recovery on the European continent in particular France, Spain, and Switzerland has left British banks standing. The league table also notes that bank brands in emerging markets are slowly closing the gap. The top 20 bank brands in 2010, originate from nine countries, one more than 2009. It is for the first time that a Russian bank has made the top 20 (Sberbank) which has seen significant growth.

The Middle East has seen a 117% growth in brand value, based on high demand for Islamic banking products and services. On the other hand, Central America has seen a 40% decline in brand value. European bank brands have recovered significantly compared to the North American and Asian markets (78%, 30% and 26% growth, respectively).
Banks in the Pacific, including Australia and New Zealand have seen a recovery with growth of 58%.


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Small Cap Growth Stock To Buy From IT - Subex

Subex, provider of fraud management and revenue assurance solutions to global telecom players, was one of the worst hit companies due to a slump in the telecom sector in the last eight quarters globally.

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Large Cap Safe Stock To Buy - ITC

ITC is one of the most diversified companies and it is a classic defensive stock to buy which investors should be investing in.

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BHARTI AIRTEL - Stock Analysis & Quarterly Result Update

Stock analysis based on Bharti Airtel's December '09 quarter results by Centrum Broking, a stock trading broker. Analysis suggest good upside in an years time.

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Sunday, January 31, 2010

IRB Infrastructure - Stock Report

A stock research report from Angel broking on IRB infrastructure with target price. Checkout..


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Morning calls



Top 5 picks of the day | Mid-term picks


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Heard on the Street

HDFC board members buy shares via stock

options


This one could help in keeping the morale of its shareholders high, even amid falling share prices in the current market. Some of the board members of HDFC, the country’s premier housing finance company, have exercised their stock options to buy shares, thus displaying their confidence in the company. According to disclosures filed with stock exchanges, a few high-profile board members of HDFC, including JJ Irani and Bimal Jalan, acquired shares in small numbers through exercise of stock options even while the share price has been declining.

BS Mehta, another board member, also acquired a few thousand shares last month through the same route. According to analysts, their moves would send positive signals to the investors about high growth potential of the company which is the leading player in the housing finance sector. The stock has declined substantially from the recent high of Rs 2,681.6 on January 5 to Rs 2,383.3 on Monday. It, however, closed 1.5% higher at Rs 2,419 on Tuesday.

Going gets tough for JRG Securities on St
The going has not been too good for Kochi-based JRG Securities, whose board representatives have been removed from its Dubai-based subsidiary JRG International Brokerage DMCC. The reasons cited for this are “low shareholding and non-participation in business matters”. The Gulf-based subsidiary has also told Dubai Multi Commodities Centre Authority and Dubai Gold and Commodities Exchange to officially remove the name of JRG Securities from their records based on the decision taken by the board.

JRG International Brokerage is jointly owned by Hazza Bin Mohammed, an Arab national holding about 50%, Babu Lonappan, a NRI holding about 10% equity, and JRG Securities, which held about 40% in the subsidiary. JRG International Brokerage unveiled a rights issue last year which was subscribed to by only Hazza Mohammed and Babu Lonappan. This, in effect, decreased the shareholding of JRG Securities, while increasing the ownership of other partners. According to sources, after the rights issue, JRG Securities was not actively participating in the proceedings of the subsidiary.

“Its (JRG Securities) shareholding has come down to 20% and we are not really expecting any director board services from them,” said a senior official of JRG International Brokerage. On being queried as to whether JRG Securities would exit the subsidiary, the official said, “That is for JRG Securities to decide.” Senior officials of JRG Securities were not available for comment. Shares of JRG Securities ended 0.7% lower at Rs 40.60 on BSE on Tuesday.

Contributed by Vijay Gurav & Shailesh Menon

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Is market trying to price in - “WHAT IF”?


Spice Comm: Will History Repeat itself?


Daily News Roundup - Feb 3 2010


Firm start likely, beware the volatility


GNFC


Sasken

02 February 2010

Ten success stories in unheard of sectors

Ten success stories in unheard of sectors



Mick Jagger, the only surviving dinosaur from the Jurassic period, said that he became interested in cricket when he watched a young Dennis Lillee tear into bowl. Business is less a spectator sport and more a narrative. But how do you figure out who is the big story? Only a few entrepreneurs manage to make it big. Those manage to grow big create wealth for themselves, their shareholders, their employees and suppliers.

Most entrepreneurs in Forbes India’s “hidden gems” list fit the bill. They make their money in businesses as varied as coal tar pitch, cooling solutions, water desalination, building truck bodies and even water treatment. They overcome adversity. Most are unlisted companies who will go public some time. There are a few that are listed but they are still small and have growth left in their sails.

Perhaps the most critical task for us was identifying these companies. We decided to use a surrogate way. We decided to follow the moneymen. We pored over a list of 800 deals private equity companies had done over the last four years and looked for companies seeing a sharp rise in sales, profits and valuation.

Then we did the taste test. A few discreet calls to a few private equity investors that have made some serious money told us that the companies in our list were thought of highly. We applied a third hurdle. If there were more than one private equity investor in the company then that was one more thing in the favour of the company. Having identified the gems, we got Dun & Bradstreet to verify the financial numbers that companies were disclosing to us. Only when the numbers added up did we move ahead.

The list that emerged had one very interesting common feature. Except for three companies, Acme and ACB (India) and Firepro, other seven companies are actually old businesses that been refurbished through smart business model changes and passionate entrepreneurship. Almost 90% of the businesses in India are family-owned. Once they were thought of as middling companies who would disappear once the IIT-IIM crowd took to business. That has not happened. Instead, the family-owned businesses have gone out, picked up new technology, learnt to value professionals and experimented with business models. For instance, Himadri Chemicals and Cebbco are such companies. The great thing is that the gems in our list are scattered all across the country — from Jabalpur to Thrissur.

This is why it is great to see blue-blooded Wall Street firms understand and finance some of these old businesses. Ten years ago, Goldman Sachs would have financed an IT services firm. A company like Sudhir Gensets would have been dismissed as an old entity with a commoditised business. But today, Goldman has put money in Sudhir because it knows that the company serves a real need that is unlikely to disappear in a hurry.

ACB (INDIA)

Promoted by G.C. Mrig, Capt. Rudra Sindhu and Major Satya Sindhu; Washes coal to reduce its ash content helping power plants to become more efficient and eco-friendly.
Secret Sauce Seasoned team, favourable regulation and sustained
demand for coal.
Financial Dashboard In 2006, Warburg Pincus bought a 24 percent stake for Rs. 310 crore. Aryan plans an IPO this year to raise Rs. 1,000 crore. Warburg will sell 10 percent. Aryan Coal’s valuation now stands nearly seven times its 2006 level.
What the Smart Set Saw First mover advantage.
Guiding Light To go beyond coal-washing and expand power generation capacity.

In 1998, when Mrig and his two friends founded Aryan Coal Benefications Ltd, the annual production of coal in India stood at about 250 million tonnes. Indian coal typically has high ash content that keeps combustibility low and affects the efficiency of power generation equipment. Only 5 percent of the coal production in the country was “washed” to reduce the ash content and most saw no need for this extra expense.

So it was not surprising when Mrig, who had spent 40 years in the industry including as managing director of Bharat Coking Coal Ltd., found it tough to get orders for his new company. His friends even wrote him off, saying, “Aapne toh paisa duba diya,” (you have wasted your money).

That was then. Now annual mining has increased to about 450 million tonnes. The government has made it compulsory for power stations located 1,000 kilometres or more from mines to wash the coal. Given that four out of 10 power stations in India are located in such faraway locations, the scope for the coal-washing business has expanded.

ACB has 62 million tonnes of coal-washing capacity, nearly half of the 130 million tonnes capacity in the whole of the country.

Private equity watchers now think that Aryan might do for Warburg Pincus this year what Bharti did for it nine years ago. And both investments were made by Pulak Prasad, who has since started his own hedge fund Nalanda Capital. Just the way Prasad spotted Sunil Mittal’s execution he was able to see Mrig’s understanding of this industry and execution skills.

Most of ACB’s washeries are located very close to the coal fields and the transportation costs are low. The company has massive operating profit margins of 44 percent that the company makes. Crisil expects ACB to benefit from the increase in demand for washed coal and stringent prequalification requirements that restrict new players. So, its market share is not under threat in the foreseeable future.

ACB doesn’t waste the coal reject that remains after the washing either. It uses the material to runs some small power plants. With 4 million tonnes of coal reject coming free every year, this has become a very profitable way for ACB to dispose the waste.

Mrig says he got the idea to recycle the waste when he saw gold miners in South Africa going after dumped mines and the Chinese extracting most out of low-quality coal.

But now it wants to enter the big league. It plans to build a 1,200 MW power plant in Madhya Pradesh and a 1,100 MW plant in Chhattisgarh.

by Prince Mathews Thomas

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9


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Src: Moneycontrol

01 February 2010

Intermediate downtrend confirmed

Intermediate downtrend confirmed

Prices slid through last week in a series of high volume, high volatility sessions. The Nifty hit a low of 4,766 points before making a partial recovery to 4,882.05, for a week-on-week loss of 3.05 per cent. The Sensex closed at 16,357.96 points for a loss of 2.98 per cent. The Defty lost 4.8 per cent as the rupee lost significant ground.

All the signals were negative. Breadth was dangerous – declines outnumbered advances by several multiples. The slide came on high volumes, even allowing for settlement considerations, this was a danger signal. Although domestic institutions bought over Rs 5,000 crore net, FIIs sold over Rs 6,000 crore. The BSE 500 was down 3.3 per cent.

Outlook: The market has probably moved into an intermediate downtrend in the past 15 sessions and is therefore, likely to see more losses. There is support between 4,750 and 4,800 but if this reading is correct, the market is likely to slide till around 4,650 levels. If it breaks 4,650, the long-term trend could be threatened.

Rationale: The peak of 5,310 on January 6th was the top of the last intermediate uptrend so this is week three of the new intermediate downtrend. The low of 4,766 on Friday established a new pattern of lower lows. There is key support at 4,650, where the 200-Day moving average is trending.

Counter-view: While intermediate trends can last up to 12-14 weeks, they can also exhaust quickly if they are running counter to the long-term trend. This is the case here, assuming the long-term trend hasn't reversed. So, there is a chance the intermediate trend will exhaust soon. If the 4,650 level holds, all is well. On the upside, the market needs to break past resistance at 4,950 to suggest a new intermediate uptrend. This would only be confirmed if it hits a new high beyond 5,310.

Bulls and Bears: Most sectors took a hammering. Metals, real estate and IT were among the weakest performers. The Bank Nifty lost 5.3 per cent at its low on Friday before bouncing dramatically to close only 1.4 percent down. It is too soon to say if this relief rally, post the RBI policy announcement will continue but quite a few bank stocks look bullish. The best long positions would probably be in Axis, Yes and Bank of Baroda.

In the IT sector, almost every counter went down with Wipro looking especially weak. The sector could recover next week if the rupee stays weak and the FIIs stop targeting it for sales. The selling is likely to continue in both metals and real estate. There could be some defensive investments occurring in pharmaceutical and FMCG and a relief rally is also possible in auto stocks. The engineering and construction sector appears to be another source of weakness with L&T, IVRCL and Punj Lloyd seeing heavy sales. However, there is some investment in power sector equipment with Suzlon, Bhel and Siemens looking good.

MICRO TECHNICALS

BHEL
Current Price: Rs 2,405.00
Target Price: Rs 2,525.00

The stock is consolidating on high volumes and testing resistance at around Rs 2,420-2,435. If it closes above Rs 2,435, it will probably hit Rs 2,525. Keep a stop at Rs 2,390 and go long. Increase the position above Rs 2,435 and move the stop up till Rs 2,425. Clear the position above Rs 2,520.


MAHINDRA & MAHINDRA
Current Price: Rs 1,017.55
Target Price: Rs 1,080.00

The stock has landed on good support after taking a hammering. It has the potential to recover till around the Rs 1,080-1,090 mark. Keep a stop at Rs 1,000 and go long. Cover partially at Rs 1,050 and move the stop up till Rs 1,050. Hold the rest of the position till Rs 1,080 plus.


PETRONET
Current Price: Rs 78.70
Target Price: Rs 84

The stock has consolidated on good support and is starting to move up on high volumes. It is likely to test Rs 84 on the next up move and may go further. Keep a stop at Rs 75 and go long. Book partial profits above Rs 83 and hold the remain-ing position with the stop up at Rs 80.


TATA STEEL
Current Price: Rs 559.00
Target Price: 550.00

The stock has taken a hammering that has pushed it down to reasonable support. However, it has a downside till at least Rs 550 level and it could consolidate between Rs 550 and Rs 575 for a while. Keep a stop at Rs 575 and go short. Cover between Rs 550 and Rs 555.


WIPRO
Current Price: Rs 647.95
Target Price: Rs 610.00

The stock has broken a key support on high volumes. It is likely to slide till around the Rs 630 mark at least and there is a possibility that it will fall further, till around the Rs 610 mark. Keep a stop at Rs 655 and go short. Book partial profits at Rs 630 and reset the stop till Rs 635. Clear the position at Rs 610.


Analysts' corner 01-FEB-10
Bharti’s December 2009 quarter performance remained flat due to sequential fall in RPM (revenues per minute) by 7.8 per cent to 52 paisa.
Smart Portfolios slips amid volatility 01-FEB-10
High volatility was the highlight of the week under review.
Markets at a glance 01-FEB-10
Fears of monetary tightening and restriction of US banks was an overhang on the markets during the early part of the week.
Volatility up, prices down 01-FEB-10
A high volume settlement ended in decent carryover amidst serious losses for bulls.
Intermediate downtrend confirmed 01-FEB-10
Prices slid through last week in a series of high volume, high volatility sessions.
The earthquake science 01-FEB-10
The earthquake science working for markets is an opinion as old as the butterfly effect and the study on Sun cycles influencing markets.
The worst is over 01-FEB-10
India’s largest private bank, ICICI Bank published yet another decline in its quarterly profits.
'Returns in EMs will be lower than developed markets' 01-FEB-10
Japan’s financial firm Nomura has turned underweight on the Indian equity market as well as other emerging markets in 2010.
Realty at a premium 01-FEB-10
Mumbai-based D B Realty aims to raise Rs 1,500 crore from its IPO to fund its realty projects and repay debt.
Costly fabric 01-FEB-10
With India witnessing better growth thanks to robust consumption and capex, its flexible packaging sector appears to have a bright future.
Back on track 01-FEB-10
Higher volumes and investments in the auto sector augur well for auto ancillary companies, which were struggling with poor demand and increased working capital cycles.



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Mid-term picks | Top 5 picks

Citigroup puts sell on Adani Power
1 Feb 2010, 0546 hrs IST

In Q3FY10 Adani Power generated 670 million KWh at a plant load factor (PLF) of 92.8%, significantly higher than the 37.7% in Q2FY10 as the plant stabilised.

JP Morgan maintains `Neutral’ rating on SBI
1 Feb 2010, 0545 hrs IST

JP Morgan reiterates the cautious view on SBI and maintains `Neutral’ rating with March 11 price target of Rs 2,300

Bank of America pits buy on Mcleod Russel
1 Feb 2010, 0544 hrs IST

McLeod’s Q3 results beat estimates due to better than expected realisations and operational efficiencies.

HSBC retains `Overweight’ rating on Nagarjuna Construction
1 Feb 2010, 0544 hrs IST

HSBC retains `Overweight’ rating on Nagarjuna Construction with a target price of Rs 186.

BNP Paribas upgrades Aban Offshore from `Hold’ to `Buy’
1 Feb 2010, 0543 hrs IST

BNP Paribas upgrades Aban Offshore from `Hold’ to `Buy’ and raises its target price from Rs 1,500 to Rs 1,561.

Support at 4600 crucial for Nifty
1 Feb 2010, 0219 hrs IST

As per sector performance, metal, realty, auto and IT underperformed last week while oil and gas, capital goods, banking, FMCG and healthcare sectors were the outperformers.


January Sentiment

3QFY2010 Monetary Policy Review


NTPC


Manappuram General Finance




Src: ET, Business-Standard, DP blog etc


31 January 2010

Market seen choppy to negative next week

Market seen choppy to negative next week

MUMBAI: The Indian stock market is seen choppy with a negative bias next week. With the end of the third quarter results season and Reserve Bank
of India’s monetary policy review behind, traders will eye cues from overseas markets.

Last two days of the current week, already cut short by a holiday Tuesday for Republic Day celebrations, saw the bulls try to get a grip on a losing market. Whether they will be able to hold their own against the bear onslaught is the question.

Bombay Stock Exchange’s 30-share Sensex ended the week ended Jan 29 at 16,357.96, losing 501.72 points or 2.98 per cent from the earlier week’s close of 16,859.68.

National Stock Exchange’s Nifty closed the week at 4882.05, down 153.95 points or 3.05 per cent from Jan 22 close of 5036.00.


Also Read
Wary investors play defensive strokes
Funds making a beeline for gold fund of funds
IPO pipeline in 2010 may choke on a falling market
Volatile markets offer value buys for long-term investors
Monetary policy review indicates economy on growth path


The recent correction in stock prices was anticipated following the sharp run-up in stock prices on the back of expectations of good performance from India Inc. Overall, the third quarter results have surpassed or been in line with street estimates but with inflation becoming a worry, traders advise caution.

“We are very cautious at this juncture and suggest all short term players to lighten the position to avoid a sudden and sharp fall in the market. On the upside till Nifty does not move above 5000 levels we are not comfortable in suggesting in any long position to traders,” said an Anand Rathi report.

On Friday, in its Q3 monetary policy, the RBI raised the cash reserve ratio (CRR) by a higher-than-expected 75 basis points to 5.75 per cent against estimates of 50 bps hike. The central bank left its policy rates, repo and reverse repo--unchanged at 4.75 per cent and 3.25 per cent respectively. The CRR hike will be effected in two stages: by 50 bps for the Feb 13 fortnight and by 25 bps from Feb 27, sucking out Rs 36,000 crore of surplus liquidity from the banking system.

However, the sharp rise in food inflation led the RBI to revise upward its wholesale price index (WPI) inflation projection to 8.5 per cent end-March 2010 from 6.5 per cent. The apex bank also revised upward its GDP projection to 7.5 per cent for FY10 from 6.0 per cent, on the back of a strong rebound in industry and better prospects of Kharif crop.

“Increasingly confident of the economy's return to growth path (sustained domestic demand; early signs of revival in private sector demand for consumption and investment; growth in exports; signs of improvement in external demand factors), the RBI is moving further in reversing the crisis-driven expansionary stance. Capacities across many sectors could be stretched by this time next year. Hence, further upward pressure on product prices. There is upside risks to inflation from higher-than-expected commodity prices (including oil prices that have been range-bound). The RBI has also called for a gradual but simultaneous exit from the fiscal accommodative stance that was necessarily adopted during the crisis. This would be almost mandatory if the system interest rates need to be kept under check,” said Murali Krishnan, Head of Research, Ambit Capital, on the RBI’s policy moves.

Ambit expects WPI inflation to rise to double-digits in March, moving above the RBI’s projections once again. Thus, it expects 150 bps of repo and reverse repo rate hikes and a further 75 bps of CRR hikes between now and March 2011.

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Analyst's Pick: LARGE CAP: Macquarie Securities
31 Jan 2010, 0233 hrs IST

Aggressive plans for a FY11E employee addition and significant uptick in lateral hiring signals a robust revenue growth outlook for the sector.

Analyst's Pick: LARGE CAP: Macquarie Securities
31 Jan 2010, 0232 hrs IST

Strong Q4 revenue guidance, implying 4% QoQ growth, points to a strong rebound in FY11E top-line.

Analyst's Pick: MID CAP: Anand Rathi Financial Services
31 Jan 2010, 0230 hrs IST

Polaris Software reported a good set of Q3 figures, with revenue rising 3.9% QoQ. It has won 30 new deals, the highest in a single quarter over the last two years.

Analyst's Pick: MID CAP: Anand Rathi Financial Services
31 Jan 2010, 0229 hrs IST

Infotech Enterprises reported good Q3results, with revenue growing 4.7% QoQ.

Analyst's Pick: SMALL CAP: ICICI Securities
31 Jan 2010, 0228 hrs IST

The deal with Nokia will enable Tanla to increase revenues from this stream and successfully reduce dependence on premium SMS services.

Analyst's Pick: SMALL CAP: ICICI Securities
31 Jan 2010, 0226 hrs IST

Major demand in the solutions business is seen from logistics sectors like transportation and material handling and manufacturing segments like automobiles, pharma and healthcare.

Heard on the Street
30 Jan 2010, 0343 hrs IST

Some fund managers could not take US president Obama’s remarks on the IT sector in their stride.

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TECHNICAL ANALYSIS: Index Outlook: Uptrend under threat
Bulls remained on the back foot right from the outset last week as fear of increase in policy rates and weakness in the global equity markets kept stock prices in check. Unwinding of long positions prior to expiry of January derivative ...

CEMENT: Cement: Prospects not so grey
Volume despatches reported by the cement industry for the nine months of this fiscal were higher by 13 per cent against last year, a level of growth not seen in recent times. Yet, the December quarter numbers of industry bigwigs such as ...

STOCKS: Educomp Solutions — Buy

PUBLIC OFFER: NTPC — FPO: Invest
NTPC is one of the better bets among power stocks. Though it has grown at a sedate pace over the last five years, NTPC is likely to deliver better earnings growth over the ...

STOCKS: V-Guard Industries: Buy
Investors with a medium-to-long term horizon can buy the stock of V-Guard Industries (V-Guard) due to the high potential of the consumer durables business and the discounted valuation of the stock. At Rs 84, the stock trades at 12 times ...

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS: Stock Strategy: Consider shorting Tata Motors, Dish TV
Tata Motors (Rs 690): After reaching its 52-week high at Rs 845, the stock has been in a downtrend. It now finds resistance at Rs 730 and only a close above Rs 740 would arrest the weak trend. In that event, the stock has the potential to ...

MUTUAL FUNDS: ICICI Prudential Power Fund: Hold
Investors may retain units of ICICI Pru Power Fund (ICICI Power) considering its long-term track record in delivering ...

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS: Query Corner: Tata Communications at long-term support
Can you give your views on Praj Industries bought at Rs 110? ...

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS: Pivotals: Reliance Industries (Rs 1,046.5)
Reliance Industries declined to the low of Rs 1,018 last week. But the 200-day simple moving average present at Rs 1,020 cushioned the fall and the stock has been hovering just above this level over the last three sessions. A rebound early ...

BOOKS: Winning techniques of star venture capitalists
Do it, run it, teach it, or own it – that's what venture capitalists believe in, says Yinglan Tan in The Way of the VC: Having top venture capitalists on your board ( www.wiley.com). The relationship between the venture capitalist and ...

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Emmbi Polyarns IPO Analysis


Jain Irrigation Systems


Hyderabad Industries


Markets to remain volatile, say analysts



Src: ET, Businessline and DP Blog etc

30 January 2010

Long-term investors can enter at 4000-4300 Nifty: CLSA

Long-term investors can enter at 4000-4300 Nifty: CLSA



Laurence Balanco, Asian Technical Research, CLSA, says 4,650-4,700 are key support levels for the Nifty. At 10.53 am, the index was trading down 58.05 points, or 1.19%, at 4,809.20. He feels a breach of 4,700 will lead to further losses and sees 4,000 as the next support in case the level is breached.

According to him, long-term investors can enter at 4,000-4,300 levels.

Here is a verbatim transcript of the exclusive interview with Laurence Balanco on CNBC-TV18. Also watch the accompanying video.



Q: Where do you see significant support for the Nifty?

A: The old break out area, which is down at the 4,700- 4650 area, is the key support area in the short-term. What you see over the past three months is the Nifty was making new highs, the Sensex making new highs, but you had this momentum divergence, where momentum indicators weren’t confirming those new highs and that created the vulnerability. And a sell off in global markets over the past week has seen the short-term levels give way and now it’s really set up for test of 4,700 area, which includes a 200-day moving average (DMA), a break below that level does open a way for further losses then.

Q: One level, that is being talked about over here, for the Nifty is 4,500, is that the level you would watch if the index slides significantly lower from here?

A: If we break through the 4,700 level that really does open the way and the next significant support level is actually down towards 4,000 that is what we are really watching. There are some short-term levels in-between that, but if you are looking at the big macro numbers, 4,700 is the next and below that we are really talking about 4,000, around that mark is the next macro level of significance to watch.

Q: What are the Asian markets suggesting because many of them seem to have come back to 200 DMA and sort of paused there, do you see a major decisive breach of those levels for many of the key Asian markets?

A: It is quite interesting; in such a short space of time markets have given a lot of the gains that we saw early in the year. Literally in three days, the S&P 500 retraced what it had gained over a three month period. And if you look at the Asian markets, the China and the Hong Kong markets are back at their 200 DMA where they are finding some short-term support.

So looking at the Asian markets, looking at Taiwan and for instance we are short-term support levels, and potentially we see some kind of oversold rally. But with some key levels giving way, we probably still have more downside in the coming months.

27 January 2010

Sensex falls 500 points; MnM, SBI down

Sensex falls 500 points; M&M, SBI down


MUMBAI: Equities were witnessing selling pressure following a sharp correction in Asian indices previous day. Negative opening of the European markets also weighed sentiments. Rate sensitives led the downfall as traders booked profits ahead of Reserve Bank of India’s policy meet.

At 3:20 pm, Bombay Stock Exchange’s Sensex was at 16242.46, down 515 points or 3 per cent. The index touched an intraday high of 16708.60.

National Stock Exchange’s Nifty was at 4881.05, down 126.85 points or 2.53 per cent. The broader index touched a low of 4856.55 and high of 5008.50 in trade so far.

BSE Midcap Index was down 2 per cent and BSE Smallcap Index slipped 2.52 per cent.

Amongst the sectoral indices, rate sensitives led the decline ahead of Reserve Bank of India’s policy meet. BSE Realty Index was down 5.41 per cent, BSE Metal Index fell 4.49 per cent and BSE Auto Index slipped 3.86 per cent.

Tata Steel (-6.02%), Hindalco (-5.47%), Tata Motors (-5.21%), Mahindra & Mahindra (-5.16%) and SBI (-4.70%) were the top Nifty losers.

ITC (1.10%) and Tata Power (0.55%) were the only index gainers.

Market breadth was negative on the Nifty with 45 declines and 5 advances.

Europe also opened on a lower note as profit booking emerged in financial stocks. FTSE 100 was down 1.17 per cent, CAC 40 declined 1.65 per cent and DAX fell 0.98 per cent.

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Sensex sheds 490 pts, mkts see highest-ever turnover

Src: ET and etc

25 January 2010

Results: SBI, LIC hsg, Hero Honda etc

SBI Q3 cons net profit down 8.4% at Rs 3,304.59 cr

India's largest bank, State Bank of India (SBI) has announced its third quarter results of FY10. The bank has reported 8.4% decline in its consolidated net profit of Rs 3,304.59 crore as against Rs 3,607.61 crore in the same quarter of previous year.

Consolidated net interest income increased 9.08% to Rs 8,781.7 crore from Rs 8,050.8 on year-on-year basis (YoY).

Its standalone net profit was flat at Rs 2,479.05 crore as against Rs 2,478.42 crore and net interest income went up 9.69% to Rs 6,316.3 crore from Rs 5,758.25 crore. CNBC-TV18 poll saw the net interest income at Rs 6,075.33 crore and net profit at Rs 2,556.15 crore.


Other income of the SBI increased to Rs 3,365.71 crore from Rs 3225.6 crore and provisions went up to Rs 856.61 crore versus Rs 196.83 crore.

Net non performing assets (NPAs) were up 64.2% to Rs 11,270 crore and provision cover was at 40.24% versus 42.86% in Q2.

SBI said, in a press conference, treasury income was down by Rs 234 crore since last year. Loan growth came in at 19% (YoY) and net interest margin was at 2.83%.

Net NPAs stood at 1.88% and provision coverage ratio at 56%. The bank has provided Rs 440 crore as additional provision. Deposit growth was at 11% (YoY).


Hero Honda Q3 net profit up 78.4% at Rs 535.8 cr


India's largest two-wheeler maker, Hero Honda has announced its third quarter results of FY10. It has reported net profit of Rs 535.8 crore, an increase of 78.4% over Rs 300.4 crore in the same quarter of previous year.

Net sales jumped 32.72% to Rs 3,814.4 crore from Rs 2,874 crore (YoY). EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortisation) margin stood at 17.27%.

The numbers were better-than-expectations, as CNBC-TV18 poll saw the net profit at Rs 509 crore and net sales at Rs 3,783 crore.


In a press conference, Hero Honda said its bike market share in India was over 59%. On the outlook, it said the market demand would remain bullish but rising input costs remained a concern, as commodity prices are on 'Upward Trajectory'.

The company will look at hiking capacity at existing units and may look at setting up new plant in near future.

The share closed at Rs 1,618.00, down Rs 24.25, or 1.48%. Its market cap stood at Rs 32,309.44 crore at current market price.


HCL Tech Dec qtr net dips 36% to Rs 255 cr

Other Results:

Gujarat Alkalies & Chemicals net profit declines 40.49% in the December 2009 quarter
Sales decline 3.05% to Rs 309.38 crore

First Leasing Company of India net profit rises 9.48% in the December 2009 quarter
Sales decline 9.11% to Rs 39.90 crore

Cummins India net profit rises 11.11% in the December 2009 quarter
Sales rise 8.71% to Rs 814.83 crore

Jyoti Structures net profit rises 29.35% in the December 2009 quarter
Sales rise 18.24% to Rs 508.72 crore

Bharat Bijlee net profit declines 44.49% in the December 2009 quarter
Sales rise 15.18% to Rs 161.32 crore

GlaxoSmithkline Consumer Healthcare net profit rises 3.38% in the December 2009 quarter

United Credit reports net profit of Rs 0.69 crore in the December 2009 quarter
HCL Infosystems net profit declines 0.86% in the December 2009 quarter
Hero Honda Motors net profit rises 78.34% in the December 2009 quarter

Melstar Information Technologies reports net loss of Rs 0.76 crore in the December 2009 quarter
State Bank of India net profit rises 0.03% in the December 2009 quarter
Sagar Tourist Resorts reports net loss of Rs 0.09 crore in the December 2009 quarter

Cadila Healthcare net profit rises 73.48% in the December 2009 quarter
Godrej Industries reports net profit of Rs 16.91 crore in the December 2009 quarter
Celestial Biolabs net profit rises 1481.82% in the December 2009 quarter

Sterlite Industries India net profit declines 77.16% in the December 2009 quarter
Narmada Gelatines net profit rises 26.56% in the December 2009 quarter
Chokhani Global Express reports net profit of Rs 0.01 crore in the December 2009 quarter

D B Corp net profit rises 112.47% in the December 2009 quarter
Himatsingka Seide reports net profit of Rs 3.35 crore in the December 2009 quarter
Triton Valves net profit rises 120.00% in the December 2009 quarter

Nagarjuna Agri Tech reports net loss of Rs 0.15 crore in the December 2009 quarter
Super Sales India reports net profit of Rs 5.41 crore in the December 2009 quarter
Borosil Glass Works reports net profit of Rs 1.80 crore in the December 2009 quarter

Modison Metals net profit rises 467.86% in the December 2009 quarter
East Buildtech net profit declines 64.10% in the December 2009 quarter
Chokhani International reports net loss of Rs 0.12 crore in the December 2009 quarter

Shri Keshav Cements & Infra net profit rises 240.00% in the December 2009 quarter
Tamilnadu Jai Bharath Mills reports net loss of Rs 0.24 crore in the December 2009 quarter
Ashiana Agro Industries net profit rises 100.00% in the December 2009 quarter

SIL Investments reports net profit of Rs 0.46 crore in the December 2009 quarter
Electrotherm India net profit rises 35.64% in the December 2009 quarter
Shakti Pumps India net profit rises 25.96% in the December 2009 quarter

T.V. Today Network net profit rises 57.90% in the December 2009 quarter
Jarigold Textiles net profit rises 1900.00% in the December 2009 quarter
Redington India net profit rises 28.67% in the December 2009 quarter

Super Spinning Mills reports net profit of Rs 0.16 crore in the December 2009 quarter
XPRO India reports net profit of Rs 1.81 crore in the December 2009 quarter
Jet Airways India reports net profit of Rs 105.80 crore in the December 2009 quarter

Aarti Drugs net profit rises 772.73% in the December 2009 quarter
Gujarat Borosil reports net loss of Rs 0.50 crore in the December 2009 quarter
Pioneer Investcorp net profit rises 2853.85% in the December 2009 quarter

Wheel & Axle Textiles net profit rises 4600.00% in the December 2009 quarter
Rosekamal Textiles reports net profit of Rs 0.51 crore in the December 2009 quarter
Bijlee Textiles net profit rises 450.00% in the December 2009 quarter

Trigyn Technologies net profit rises 18.86% in the December 2009 quarter
Lloyds Steel Industries reports net profit of Rs 39.17 crore in the December 2009 quarter
Deepak Fertilizers & Petrochemicals Corp net profit rises 136.19% in the December 2009 quarter

Creative Eye reports net loss of Rs 0.58 crore in the December 2009 quarter
Tata Coffee net profit rises 14.31% in the December 2009 quarter
Hercules Hoists net profit rises 22.45% in the December 2009 quarter

Mahindra & Mahindra net profit rises 848.85% in the December 2009 quarter
Shilchar Electronics reports net profit of Rs 0.31 crore in the December 2009 quarter
Repro India net profit rises 81.60% in the December 2009 quarter

C & C Constructions net profit rises 132.43% in the December 2009 quarter
Voltas net profit rises 62.20% in the December 2009 quarter
Pushpsons Industries net profit rises 400.00% in the December 2009 quarter

Hindustan Hardy Spicer reports net loss of Rs 0.17 crore in the December 2009 quarter
Peacock Industries reports net loss of Rs 0.25 crore in the December 2009 quarter
Kanoria Chemicals & Industries reports net profit of Rs 6.09 crore in the December 2009 quarter

LIC Housing Finance net profit rises 14.33% in the December 2009 quarter
Sundaram Clayton reports net profit of Rs 5.19 crore in the December 2009 quarter
Austin Engineering Company net profit declines 9.34% in the December 2009 quarter

Kale Consultants net profit rises 234.46% in the December 2009 quarter
Polylink Polymers India reports net loss of Rs 0.17 crore in the December 2009 quarter
Acrysil net profit declines 16.89% in the December 2009 quarter

Blue Star net profit rises 31.50% in the December 2009 quarter
National Oxygen reports no net profit or loss in the December 2009 quarter
India Cements net profit declines 43.79% in the December 2009 quarter

Grindwell Norton net profit rises 41.90% in the December 2009 quarter
Andhra Bank net profit rises 29.48% in the December 2009 quarter
Vidarbha Iron & Steel Corporation net profit rises 200.00% in the December 2009 quarter

Shanthi Gears net profit declines 71.87% in the December 2009 quarter
J Kumar Infraprojects net profit rises 133.24% in the December 2009 quarter
Zydus Wellness net profit rises 6.00% in the December 2009 quarter

Victoria Mills reports net profit of Rs 1.18 crore in the December 2009 quarter
Lakshmi Machine Works net profit rises 129.32% in the December 2009 quarter
Kakatiya Cements Sugar & Industries reports net loss of Rs 2.21 crore in the December 2009 quarter

Shilpa Medicare net profit rises 516.20% in the December 2009 quarter
Megh Mayur Infra reports net loss of Rs 0.01 crore in the December 2009 quarter
Abhishek Corporation reports net loss of Rs 9.75 crore in the December 2009 quarter

Sundaram Brake Linings net profit rises 1405.56% in the December 2009 quarter
H. S. India reports net profit of Rs 0.80 crore in the December 2009 quarter
CNI Research reports net profit of Rs 0.77 crore in the December 2009 quarter

Treadsdirect net profit rises 415.84% in the December 2009 quarter
Gujarat Reclaim & Rubber Products net profit declines 16.77% in the December 2009 quarter
Money Matters Financial Services net profit rises 2.21% in the December 2009 quarter

Joy Reality net profit rises 650.00% in the December 2009 quarter
Cochin Minerals & Rutile net profit declines 64.29% in the December 2009 quarter
Poly Medicure net profit rises 587.69% in the December 2009 quarter

Globus Corporation reports net profit of Rs 0.01 crore in the December 2009 quarter
Arrow Textiles reports net loss of Rs 0.43 crore in the December 2009 quarter
High Energy Batteries India reports net loss of Rs 0.28 crore in the December 2009 quarter

Force Motors net profit declines 96.50% in the December 2009 quarter
Empire Industries net profit rises 111.93% in the December 2009 quarter
Gujarat Intrux net profit declines 39.47% in the December 2009 quarter

Marmagoa Steel reports net loss of Rs 1.04 crore in the December 2009 quarter
SNL Bearings net profit rises 490.00% in the December 2009 quarter
Span Diagnostics net profit declines 57.69% in the December 2009 quarter

Entegra reports net loss of Rs 10.75 crore in the December 2009 quarter
JBM Auto net profit rises 1891.67% in the December 2009 quarter
Delta Corp net profit rises 1333.33% in the December 2009 quarter

Era E-Zone India reports net profit of Rs 0.43 crore in the December 2009 quarter
Era Infra Engineering net profit rises 85.36% in the December 2009 quarter
Natural Capsules net profit declines 5.49% in the December 2009 quarter

Yuken India reports net profit of Rs 2.00 crore in the December 2009 quarter
U G Hotels and Resorts reports net loss of Rs 0.28 crore in the December 2009 quarter
Sarla Performance Fibers net profit rises 63.39% in the December 2009 quarter

Wendt India net profit rises 84.62% in the December 2009 quarter
NMDC net profit declines 39.65% in the December 2009 quarter
Dynacons Systems & Solutions net profit rises 275.00% in the December 2009 quarter

Shiva Cement net profit rises 144.44% in the December 2009 quarter
Deep Industries net profit rises 91.22% in the December 2009 quarter
Gujarat NRE Coke net profit rises 101.21% in the December 2009 quarter

V-Guard Industries net profit rises 275.71% in the December 2009 quarter
HCL Technologies net profit declines 35.82% in the December 2009 quarter
Kewal Kiran Clothing net profit rises 109.21% in the December 2009 quarter

Prithvi Information Solutions net profit rises 96.10% in the December 2009 quarter



Src:ET, Moneycontrol, Capitalmarket

India to grow at 9.2% in FY-11: CMIE

India to grow at 9.2% in FY-11: CMIE



MUMBAI: India's economic growth is likely to return to pre-crisis levels in the next fiscal year, driven by strong industrial and agriculture
growth, a recent review by a think tank showed.


The Centre for Monitoring Indian Economy (CMIE) expects the Asia's third largest economy's GDP growth to accelerate to 9.2 percent in 2010/11 from 6.9 percent in 2009/10.

"In fiscal 2010/11, real GDP growth will be propelled by a strong performance by the industrial sector and a robust recovery in agricultural and elite sector. Services sector too is expected to do well," CMIE said in the report.

"A revival in consumer confidence and investment activities will supplement growth in the commodities segment," it added. India's GDP growth slowed to 6.7 percent in 2008/09 from 9 percent or more in the previous three years as the effect of global financial turmoil hurt demand, prompting the authorities to unveil a spate of measures designed to boost the economy.

The measures helped as the country's industrial output grew at its fastest pace in two years in November at 11.7 percent, the economy expanded 7.9 percent in the September-quarter and inflation jumped to a one-year high of 7.3 percent in December CMIE expects the wholesale price index, the main price barometer, to steadily fall to 7.7 percent in the June quarter and further to 3.8 percent March quarter of 2011.


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The drop in inflation which is seen across primary articles, fuel and manufactured products, is likely to be because of the high base value in 2009/10 and a good kharif (summer) crop production in 2010, it said. Headline inflation is estimated at 8.6 percent in March quarter, CMIE said.

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NMDC board approves divesting 8.38% stake


Nifty: Resistance at 5123-5163-5200 Fair Wealth
Sensex likely to move lower in the coming weeks Nirav Vakharia
Thangamayil Jewellery IPO: Subscribe Hem Securities
Market expected to remain volatile ahead of F&O expiry Jainam Research



Src: ET, Valuenotes