19 April 2010

Dalal St's intermediate uptrend may be over

Dalal St's intermediate uptrend may be over

he market fell during each of the four sessions last week, at the end of which the Sensex finished 1.91% or 341.96 points lower, and the Nifty ended 1.85% down. The CNX Midcap Index lost 1.12%.

Infosys was the biggest winner among index stocks with a 4.0% gain. The other index stocks to go up included TCS, Tata Steel, Hindustan Unilever and Sun Pharmaceutical with gains between 2.8% and 1.7%. HDFC was the biggest loser among index stocks with a 5.9% loss. The other index stocks to go down included ICICI Bank, Reliance Communications and Sterlite Industries with losses falling between 5.8% and 5.4%.

Ruchi Soya Industries was the biggest winner among the more heavily traded non-index stocks with a 13.6% gain. The other non-index stocks to go up included Indiabulls Financial, Valecha Engineering, Balrampur Chini, Unitech, Jet Airways, JSW Steel and Zee Entertainment with gains between 10.4% and 3.8%.

Amrutanjan Health Care was the biggest loser among the more heavily traded non-index stocks with a 27.8% loss. The other non-index stocks to go down included Intrasoft Technologies, Syncom Healthcare, United Spirits, Essar Oil, Punj Lloyd, Kotak Mahindra Bank and IDFC with losses falling between 11.9% and 7.2%.

INTERMEDIATE TREND:

The market’s intermediate trend appears to have turned down with the Sensex breaching its intermediate downtrend trigger level of 17,650, the Nifty going below 5,275, and the CNX Midcap falling below its equivalent of 7,875. These levels are the lows of the previous minor decline, rounded down to the nearest 25.

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Economic growth can get back to that good old days
19 Apr 2010, 0742 hrs IST, Pallavi Mulay

A rapid expansion in capital goods production indicates a very resilient investment demand going ahead and if the trend sustains for a few more months, the economic growth can easily touch the 9% mark.

Derivatives trading comes in the Open
19 Apr 2010, 0734 hrs IST

It is a hard fact that credit-default swaps, or CDSs, were a major contributor to this financial crisis.

Reverse mortgage: Cash in your home
19 Apr 2010, 0727 hrs IST, Supriya Verma Mishra

Reverse mortgage is a benefit that the title holder of a house property can avail of to finance his retirement. ET takes a closer look.

Mangalam Cement a good bet for mid-term
19 Apr 2010, 0709 hrs IST, Amriteshwar Mathur

Mangalam Cement seems to be a good bet for mid-term considering its strong presence in north India where demand is high.

IPO watch: Talwalkars’ issue fairly priced
19 Apr 2010, 0704 hrs IST, Kiran Kabtta Somvanshi

Though Talwalkars’ issue appears to be fairly priced, there is likely to be limited upside for investors as the next few years’ growth is already factored into its offer price.

Godrej Consumer Products remains an attractive buy
19 Apr 2010, 0658 hrs IST, Kiran Kabtta Somvanshi

Despite the rally,the stock of the growth-oriented Godrej Consumer Products remains an attractive buy for investors with a long-term horizon.

Investors can accumulate Zee News stock
19 Apr 2010, 0652 hrs IST, Rajesh Naidu

With the addition of regional entertainment channels, Zee News will emerge as a one-stop shop for advertisers looking for a national audience across all categories. Investors can accumulate the stock.

Bulls Eye: M&M, GVK Power, Elder Pharma, JSW Steel
19 Apr 2010, 0647 hrs IST

Analysts recommendations: M&M, GVK Power, Elder Pharma, JSW Steel.

Credit Suisse puts 'underperform' on JSW Steel
19 Apr 2010, 0639 hrs IST

Credit Suisse maintains `Underperform’ rating on JSW Steel, however , it increases the target price to Rs 700.


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18 April 2010

Goldman Sachs Fraud - Effects On Stock Markets

Goldman Sachs Fraud - Effects On Stock Markets


Securities and Exchange Commission in US has filed a civil suit against Goldman Sachs accusing of securities fraud on Friday. World stock markets dropped considerably after this news. How is this going to affect Indian Stock Markets?

On Friday,it was reported that Goldman Sachs was sued by SEC, with the US market regulator alleging that Goldman had created and sold a complex investment product related to housing finance that was secretly devised to fail.

The news of the suit pulled down Goldman and other financial services stocks,which in turn affected the Dow Jones Index also. the Dow Jones industrial average was down 125.90 points (1.13%), at 11,018.66, while the Standard & Poor's 500 Index was down 19.54 points, (1.61%), at 1,192.13. The Nasdaq Composite Index was down 34.43 points,or 1.37%, at 2481.26.

Effects of Goldman Sachs Fraud on Indian Stock Markets
How much could this affect Indian Stock Markets? The sensex had rallied over 10% to above 18000 after budget in February 2010, but this week it has lost nearly 350 points to close at 17,591 on Friday. The stock brokers expect some profit taking on Monday. I believe it could be in tunes of 1 - 1.5% which translates into 170 - 200 points correction.

Goldman Sachs Fraud - Effects On Stock Markets Stock market research analysts also feel the stocks of companies in which Goldman Sachs holds stake, could witness heightened selling on Monday. According to data collated by Bloomberg, the top five holdings for Goldman Sachs Invest Mauritius were LIC Housing Finance, Lanco Infra, CESC, United Phosphorus and Educomp Solutions.

Goldman Sachs' total investments in Indian stocks could be worth more than Rs 2,000 crore.





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News RoundUp

Tata, RIL among world's 50 most innovative cos

EW YORK: Two Indian corporate giants, Tata Group and Reliance Industries, have made to a new list of world's 50 most innovative companies, but it is US-based Apple Computer sitting on the top.

Between them, Tata Group is better placed as the world's 17th most innovative compared to Mukesh Ambani-led RIL's 33rd position globally in this league.

Having brought Mac computers, iPod music players and the new sleek touch-screen laptop iPad to this world, Apple has retained its top slot, while compatriot internet giant Google remains the "silver medallist" in the latest edition of annual rankings prepared by BusinessWeek magazine in collaboration with global research firm Boston Consulting Group (BCG).

But, the US supremacy on these rankings is under threat due to Asia's fast rise. There are as many as 15 companies from Asia on the list, as against five in 2006.

Besides, for the first time since the inaugural list in 2005, the number of companies from the US has fallen below that of the non-US entities among the top-25.

India, however, has limited role in Asia's growing clout. There are five companies from Japan, another five from China and Taiwan, three from South Korea and just two from India.

Besides, both Indian entities on the list have moved down from their previous year rankings. In 2009, Tata group was ranked at 13th place, while Reliance Industries at 15th.

This is despite innovative being seen as a key for the country's economic growth, as per the survey conducted by BCG and BusinessWeek for compilation of the rankings.

About 89 per cent of executives in India said innovation was key to economic growth, while in the US only 72 per cent said innovation was important, the report said.

At the top of the list, Apple and Google are followed by software giant Microsoft, technology giant IBM and Japanese auto major Toyota in the top five.

Others in the top-ten included Amazon.com, LG Electronics, BYD, General Electric and Sony.

While Asia is growing fast, North America leads the tally with 24 companies on the list. There are 11 companies from Europe and one from South America (Brazil's Petrobras).

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Power List of Top 100 CEOs

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Q4 Earnings

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INVESTMENT WORLD

INSIGHT: Stock market rebound — Driven by valuations
Much has been written about the Sensex doubling in value from its March 2009 lows, but have you noticed how it has reshuffled the PE (price-earnings) multiples of different sectors? Some, like commodity and automobile stocks, are today much ...

INSIGHT: Metals, auto lead the bull charge
Every rising phase in the stock market usually has new sectors leading the bull charge. The rally of the past one year too has thrown up its share of new sector leaders. Even as the Sensex itself more than doubled from its March 2009 low of ...

INVESTMENTS: What to do with your ULIPs
The dispute between regulators over unit linked insurance plans (ULIPs) marketed by insurance companies has left many investors confused. Here's an FAQ to address some of the doubts that investors ...

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS: Sensex on a slippery slope
Altercation between the stock market and insurance regulators on the ULIP issue made Sensex commence trading on the back-foot last week. High WPI inflation numbers further stoked the fear of an imminent policy rate hike sending the ...

STOCKS: Rolta India: Buy
STOCKS: Hindustan Zinc: Buy
Thanks to stimuli rolled out by the Government in 2008-09, industrial output statistics are improving every month. This augurs well for the steel and, in turn, zinc manufacturers. The growth in vehicles sales witnessed last year has helped ...

STOCKS: HEG: Buy
Investments can be considered in the stock of graphite electrode producer HEG. With a clear sign of bounce back in steel production, besides expansion plans in the sector, increased demand from the steel industry for graphite electrodes can ...

STOCKS: Jubilant Organosys: Buy
Investors with a long-term perspective can consider investing in the stock of Jubilant Organosys, among thelargest custom research and manufacturing services company in the country. Besides improving trends in global pharma ...

STOCKS: JMC Projects: Buy
Investors with a penchant for risk can consider buying the stock of JMC Projects, a diversified construction contractor. At Rs 186, the stock trades at 11 times its trailing 12-month per share earnings, on a par with peers in the ...

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Funds that invest in mid-cap stocks have always been a rather volatile lot; but Birla Midcap Fund has managed both a high and a fairly consistent return

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS: Consider shorting DLF, Neyveli Lignite
STOCK STRATEGY. DLF (Rs 329.7): Despite the recent uptrend, the stock seems to have lost its momentum a bit, turning weak on Friday. We expect the stock to move in a narrow range with a negative bias. As long as it stays below Rs 405, the ...

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS: Initiate bear put spread on Nifty
INDEX STRATEGY. We suggest traders to set a bear put spread for the week, as there is a strong resistance for Nifty beyond 5,345. Setting a put spread therefore may help traders benefit from any weakness in the index. You can set it by buying ...

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS: Pivotals
RIL followed our script closely last week, reversing below the short-term resistance at Rs 1,143 to move to the first target at Rs 1,090. Sell signal in the daily moving average convergence divergence oscillator and reversals in the 10-day ...

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS: Sizzling stocks
This stock darted higher on Thursday as robust first quarter earnings pushed made it close 20 per cent higher. There was no let-up in the bullish momentum in the next session either and the company went on to record the high of Rs 1,045 on ...

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS: Marico in a structural uptrend
I purchased PSL at Rs 173. Please advise how long I should hold the stock and what is the short- or long-term outlook for it? ...


Wkly Tech Analysis: Nifty may slip to 5,100 level">Wkly Tech Analysis: Nifty may slip to 5,100 level


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Src: ET and Businessline



16 April 2010

ET special: India Inc's most powerful CEOs

ET special: India Inc's most powerful CEOs

Ratan Tata retains Most Powerful CEO crown

16 Apr 2010, 0517 hrs IST,Dibeyendu Ganguly,ET Bureau


MUMBAI: THE wait is over. The definitive list of India Inc’s Most Powerful CEOs is here, and Ratan Tata retains his position as India Inc’s top dog. The past year has seen the 72-year-old head of India’s biggest conglomerate re-open The Pierre Hotel in New York, launch the GSM version of his cellular service as DoCoMo and grapple with serious engineering problems in the Nano.

In the eyes of the respondents in the survey, he’s obviously handled the challenges with panache. The 500 respondents interviewed by IMRB for The Economic Times Corporate Dossier magazine not only voted Mr Tata as India Inc’s Most Powerful CEO for 2009, second year running, but also India Inc’s CEO of the Decade.

In a year of uncertainty, starting with the economy in the shadows of the recession but ending on a cheery note of recovery, the vote is apparently one of stability. The next three rankings after Mr Tata — Mukesh Ambani, NR Narayana Murthy and Anil Ambani — also remain the same as last year and most of the names that follow are familiar as well.

Riding on his bold acquisition of Satyam and his selection as the Businessman of the Year at the ET Awards for Corporate Excellence, Anand Mahindra breaks into the top 10, climbing five places to the ninth rank. Representing the comfort of the old order, Rahul Bajaj returns to the top 10, climbing 11 places to the eighth spot. Azim Premji and Sunil Mittal both climb four places this year, possibly in line with the improved market capitalisation of their companies.



Promoter-CEOs dominate list

Not surprisingly, India Inc’s Most Powerful CEOs list has always tended to be dominated by promoter-CEOs. Professional-CEOs, public-sector CEOs, MNC-CEOs do feature on the list, but only a few make it to the top 20.

This year, the three exceptional professional CEOs in the top 20 are OP Bhatt, chairman of SBI, the country’s largest lender; Chanda Kochhar, CEO of ICICI, the country’s largest private sector bank and Vinita Bali, CEO of Britannia and Business Woman of the Year at the recent ET Awards.

To put things in a better perspective, this year’s survey has created two spin-offs. The first is a listing of India Inc’s most powerful women CEOs and the top troika here consists of Chanda Kochhar, Kiran Mazumdar-Shaw of Biocon and Naina Lal Kidwai of HSBC. The second is a listing of India Inc’s most powerful MNC-CEOs, where Ms Kidwai again finds a place, but at number four. The top three are D Shivakumar of Nokia, Nitin Paranjpe of Hindustan Unilever and Ravi Venkatesan of Microsoft.


The Power List of Top 100 CEOs | Full coverage

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13 April 2010

Infosys Q4 profit at Rs 1617 crore; FY10 net up 5%

Infosys Q4 profit at Rs 1,617 crore; FY'10 net up 5%


Infosys to hire 30K this fiscal; hike wages by upto 17%


MUMBAI: IT major Infosys Technologies today reported a marginal rise of 0.25 per cent in consolidated net profit at Rs 1,617 crore for the fourth quarter ended March 31, 2010. ( Watch )

The company had a net profit of Rs 1,613 crore in the March quarter of the previous fiscal (2008-09), Infosys said in a filing to the Bombay Stock Exchange.

Income from software services, products and business process management rose to Rs 5,944 crore for the fourth quarter from Rs 5635 crore in the year-ago period.

The company's cash and cash equivalents stood at $3.5 billion at the end of March 31, 2010.

"We maintained our margins in one of the toughest years for the industry. The currency volatility continues to be a concern for the industry. We have an active hedging programme to minimise its impact on our margins," Infosys CFO V Balakrishnan said.

For the year ended March 31, the IT bellwether posted a consolidated net profit of Rs 6,266 crore, up 4.64 per cent over the year-ago period.


The board has declared a final dividend of Rs 15 per share for the fiscal on every share of Rs 5 held.

Shares of Infosys were trading at Rs 2,668.45, down 0.55 per cent over the previous close on BSE.

During the fiscal, income from software services, products and business process management rose to Rs 22,742 crore from Rs 21,693 crore in the previous fiscal (2008-09).

"We have been able to take advantage of the opportunities in the market and grow faster due to our investments in capacity and capability building even during the economic downturn," Infosys CEO and MD S Gopalakrishnan said.

Infosys, which has Goldman Sachs, BT Group and BP Plc among its clients, added 47 clients during the quarter.

At the end of March 31, the company had 1,13,796 employees, which includes a net addition of 3,914 staff during the fourth quarter.

"Though the economic environment continues to be challenging, businesses are investing in growth for building a better future," Gopalakrishnan added.

On a standalone basis, the company has posted a net profit at Rs 1,430 crore for the March quarter, a decline of 8.85 per cent over the same period last fiscal.


Nifty ends flat; IT index jumps 3% on Infy nos



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09 April 2010

RIL to invest $1.7 bn for Marcellus JV with Atlas Energy

RIL to invest $1.7 bn for Marcellus JV with Atlas Energy

NEW DELHI: Making a breakthrough in the US, Reliance Industries today said it will invest $1.7 billion in a joint venture with Atlas Energy Inc to produce gas from shale, sedimentary rocks, in Marcellus region. ( Watch )

The investment would be scaled up to $3.5 billion over the next 10 years, RIL CFO Alok Agarwal said.

Reliance will take 40 per cent stake in the about 300,000 acres Marcellus shale gas project, which spans parts of Pennsylvania, West Virginia and New York and could hold enough natural gas to satisfy US demand for a decade.

Nasdaq-listed Atlas will hold the remaining 60 per cent and also the operatorship. RIL had earlier unsuccessfully bid for acquiring controlling stake in bankrupt chemical maker LyondellBassel.

It bid $14.5 billion for Lyondell but the offer was vetoed by creditors who filed a rival revival plan.

Flush with revenues from its eastern offshore KG-D6 gas field back home, the Mukesh Ambani-run firm has been on the lookout of acquisitions in the United States. Separately, its twin refineries at Jamnagar in Gujarat are looking at directly selling fuel into the US.

"Reliance Marcellus LLC (a subsidiary of RIL) has executed definitive agreements to enter into a joint venture with US based Atlas Energy Inc... under which Reliance will acquire a 40 per cent interest in Atlas' core Marcellus Shale acreage position," the company said in a statement.

The Indian firm will pay $339 million in cash to close the deal and foot Atlas' drilling cost of up to $1.36 billion.

"The (300,000 acres) acreage will support the drilling of over 3,000 wells with a net resource potential of about 13.3 trillion cubic feet gas equivalent," the RIL statement said, adding that the deal is expected to be closed by the month end.

Shale gas is natural gas stored in organic-rich sedimentary rocks. It is considered an unconventional source as the gas may be attached to or "adsorbed" onto organic matter. The gas is contained in difficult-to-produce reservoirs that require special completion, stimulation and/or production techniques to achieve economic production.



In addition to funding its own 40 per cent of drilling obligations, Reliance has agreed to fund 75 per cent of Atlas' respective portion of drilling and completion costs until the $1.36 billion drilling carry is fully utilized, Atlas said in a separate statement.

"Under the framework of the joint venture, Atlas will continue acquiring leasehold in the Marcellus region and Reliance will have the option to acquire 40 per cent share in all new acreages," Reliance said. "Reliance also obtains the right of first offer with respect to potential future sales by Atlas of around 280,000 additional Appalachian acres currently controlled by Atlas (not included in the present joint venture)."


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Src:ET and Moneycontrol

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