02 June 2010

Derivative Calls

We Wish to Start a New Initiative DERIVATIVE CALLs for Investors and Traders.. But this is purely sourced from Outside Websites, Medias, and Other Brokerages... All of you Know DERIVATIVE is High RISK also a High REWARD one.. Loss Will be More if Not keeping Strict SL.

So Kindly DO all the calls Given in DERIVATIVE Segment with STRICT STOP LOSS.

Becos HIGH RISK and HIGH REWARD..

Take these calls with Own Financial Risk/Proper Guidance.



Derivative Call:

Buy FINANTECH FUT(1354):
Tgt 1460-1612 SL 1285(Lot 150)


Buy BGR FUT(656):
Tgt 680-720 SL 635 (Lot 400)


Risk:Rs 8k-10k/Lot.



Do these Calls with Proper Guide..

Nifty Support at 4900; Below that 4800-4700 Possible

Nifty trade may remain range-bound

The Nifty June series’ open interest is about 2.83 crore shares, slightly greater than the open interest of the May series on the first Tuesday level of 2.78 crore shares.

Overall rollover data indicate the relatively poor level of participation from market participants. However, global cues will continue to influence domestic indices.

A move below the lower support of 4900 may see the index decline to 4700 levels. The Nifty basis remained in the discount and finally closed at a discount of 30 points. However, 15 points from it can be attributed to declared dividends which go ex-dividend in June. Put-call ratio of open interest increased and closing at 1.36 levels, indicating put writing in OTM strikes. Options’ open interest saw an addition of positions in OTM strikes.

The option concentration shifted to the 5100-strike call option with an open interest of above 58 lakh shares followed by 4800-strike put option with above 58 lakh shares in open interest. Above option concentration indicates toward the range of 4800-5100 in the near term.

The implied volatility (IV) of call options increased and closed higher at 26.50% on Tuesday, while the average IV of put options ended at 28.65% indicating some buying interest in ATM put options.

The Nifty is expected to remain in the range of 4800-5100 and only a breach below this range will drag the index to lower support of 4700. Sectorally realty and metals stocks observed short positions, while banking and sugar has seen long unwinding and Fertiliser stocks has seen long addition.

By Nitin Murarka, Head, Derivative Strategy, SMC Global.


Top 5 picks of the day | Mid term picks

Trading Calls

Post non-compete clause, RIL to invest in power sector

****************************

Heard on the street

TRIL rises as Siemens seen keen on stake buy

Market talk that power major Siemens India is likely to pick up a stake in Transformers & Rectifiers (India) (TRIL) has seen the company’s share price move from Rs 405 on May 27 to its current level of Rs 416 on Tuesday. The buzz on Dalal Street is that law firm Amarchand Mangaldas is doing the due diligence for the company. When contacted, TRIL’s CMD Jitendra U Mamtora denied any such move and termed it as market speculation. An email sent to Siemens India elicited the response that the company does not comment on market speculation. Analysts maintain that TRIL, which recently expanded capacity by three times, is expected to register good growth for FY10-11. The company has a decent order book and the company’s growth will be driven by large-scale demand for power and distribution transformers in India actuated by the huge power generation capacity addition plans.

Tech Mahindra gets support from a local MF

Institutional buying interest was seen in select IT firms in a falling market on Monday. The buzz is that a domestic mutual fund owned by a large business conglomerate in the financial services sector was a buyer in Tech Mahindra. On the BSE, the stock closed at Rs 637.65, up marginally by 0.20% supported by above average volumes, but has lost more than 15% in the past one month. Analysts maintain that sustained volume traction from non-British telecom clients would generate higher revenues and margin improvement, coupled with positive news flow on client retention, new deal wins and favourable settlement with Upaid, provide comfort on the future business prospects. The stock is also trading at attractive valuations compared to peers and has a “buy” from most broking firms.

Ratnesh Kumar may join StanC as equities head

There is more churn taking place in the local broking industry. Ratnesh Kumar, CEO of institutional equity at Anand Rathi, is said to be moving out of the firm. He is tipped to join Standard Chartered as the head of equities. The buzz is that a few senior colleagues of Ratnesh Kumar at Anand Rathi Securities may also follow him. Ratnesh Kumar was roped in by Anand Rathi in 2008 to build the institutional equity business.


********************************************

Mcleod Russel


Cairn India


Indraprastha Gas


Mercator Lines


Bajaj Electricals


Gujarat NRE Coke, Suzlon Energy, JP Associates


BGR Energy Systems


Jyoti Structures


Gayatri Projects


Tulip Telecom


PVR Cinemas


United Phosphorus





Src: Economictimes and DP blog and etc.




01 June 2010

Nifty breaches 4975; oil & gas, metals fall

Nifty breaches 4975; oil & gas, metals fall


MUMBAI: Indices slipped to day’s lows mirroring sell-off in European markets. Commodities and interest rate sensitive were the worst hit while pharma stocks showed some strength.

At 2:15 pm, National Stock Exchange’s Nifty was at 4972.65, down 113.65 points or 2.23 per cent. The broader index hit a low of 4972.30 in trade so far.

Bombay Stock Exchange’s Sensex was at 16607.70, down 336.93 points or 1.99 per cent. The index touched a low of 16318.39 and high of 16942.82.

BSE Midcap Index was down 1.44 per cent and BSE Smallcap Index moved 0.64 per cent lower.

Amongst the sectoral indices, BSE Metal Index fell 3.18 per cent, BSE Oil&gas Index declined 2.47 per cent and BSE Bankex slipped 2.39 per cent. BSE Healthcare Index was up 0.07 per cent.

Jaiprakash Associates (-5.30%), Unitech (-4.55%), Hindalco Industries (-4.53%), Sterlite Industries (-4.39%) and Reliance Industries (-3.26%) were the top Index losers.

Maruti Suzuki (2.03%), Sun Pharma (1.79%), Cipla (1.66%), Power Grid (0.68%) and ACC (0.18%) were the only gainers.

Market breadth was negative on the NSE with 1939 declines against 1125 advances.

European markets were under pressure following economic recovery concerns and sharp fall in shares of British Petroleum. FTSE 100 was down 2.09 per cent, CAC 40 fell 2.44 per cent and DAX moved 1.95 per cent lower.




RIL falls 20% in freak trade on BSE


MUMBAI: Shares of Reliance Industries witnessed a sharp fall of around 20 per cent on the Bombay Stock Exchange in a freak trade.

According to the BSE website, the stock fell to intra-day low of Rs 840.55, down Rs 204.50 or 19.56 per cent before recovering most of the losses.

At 1:10 pm, the stock was at Rs 1014.60, down Rs 30.41 or 2.91 per cent. It touched a high of Rs 1049.70 in today’s trade. Around 7.58 lakh shares were traded in the counte

******************************************

Sensex ends 372 pts lower on global cues; metal dips 4%



31 May 2010

Know a Web Or Blog

Know a Web/Blog Related to Indian Stock Market


http://www.investmentguruindia.com/StockMarket.aspx





Know a Web Related to Stock Market



http://www.buzzingstocks.com/in/index.pl

India's Q4 GDP grows at 8.6% y-o-y

India's Q4 GDP grows at 8.6% y-o-y


NEW DELHI: India's economy grew at its fastest pace in six months in the quarter through March 2010, fuelled mainly by government and consumer spending, which is expected to allow policymakers to focus on anchoring inflation that is hovering near 10 percent. ( Watch )

The 8.6 percent expansion in the fourth quarter of the fiscal year 2009/10 was broadly in line with a median forecast of 8.7 percent in a Reuters poll and lifted the annual average growth rate for the full fiscal year to a slightly better-than-expected 7.4 percent.

India's economy had grown 6.7 percent in 2008/09, and the Jan-March 2009/10 growth rate matches the revised data for the second quarter of 2009/10. The data is unlikely to evoke any immediate and aggressive policy response from the central bank, as concerns on Europe's debt crisis are expected to keep its policy on hold for now.

"It would be important to note that this release is a backward looking number and our sense is that policy makers would remain considerate of the external developments and any associated downside risk to overall growth," said Anubhuti Sahay, an economist with Standard Chartered Bank in Mumbai. Indian stocks and the rupee strengthened immediately after the data, while the benchmark bond yield rose 2 basis points from before the release.

The expansion in the March quarter was driven by government spending, manufacturing and services. Revival of growth in farm output after a contraction in the quarter ago underscored the broad-based recovery in Asia's third-largest economy.

More @ India's Q4 GDP grows at 8.6% y-o-y



Manufacturing lifts FY10 GDP growth to 7.4%

Jan-March GDP grows 8.6%, in FY10 it rises 7.4%




Src: ET and Moneycontrol, Smartinvestor.in

Investors Guide - ET

Analysts' Pick: Yes Bank, ITC, Tata Power, Container Corp of India, MphasiS

Switch to cos with smaller FII exposure

Mid-term picks | Top 5 picks | Cos with low FII Holding


Wkly Tech Analysis: Pullback likely to persist



Intermediate market uptrend under way
31 May 2010, 0440 hrs IST, Deepak Mohoni

The stock market rallied quite strongly in the second half of last week, helping the Sensex finish 2.54% or 417.45 points higher, and the Nifty 2.75% up.

Corporate Round Up: Madras Cements, Deepak Fertilisers & Petrochem Corp, NHPC, Apollo Tyres
31 May 2010, 0440 hrs IST

Madras Cements’ performance in the March 2010 quarter was adversely affected by a nearly 22.1% y-o-y fall in its realisations on a per tonne basis to Rs 2,778 in its key cement division.

We will double the number of stores to 60 in next 5 yrs: Shrikhande, CEO, Shoppers Stop
31 May 2010, 0440 hrs IST, Supriya Verma Mishra

Currently, we have 30 stores and we are planning to open at least 18 more stores in the next 24-30 months. In the next five years, we will double the number of stores to around 60. We’ll also expand our presence to 25 cities from the current 13.

Pharma cos shows the improving trend in their growth
31 May 2010, 0440 hrs IST, Kiran Kabtta Somvanshi

Good sales in the domestic market and a recovery in the US market, the largest pharma market, have been the major contributor of the companies’ performance.

Fixed income instruments that guarentee capital and returns
31 May 2010, 0440 hrs IST

With the equity markets going through troubled times, traditional fixed income instruments again catch investor’s fancy as they guarantee both the capital and returns.

Investors should go for large-cap equity schemes
31 May 2010, 0439 hrs IST, BAKUL CHUGAN TONGIA

Though launched in ’95, Birla Sun Life Advantage has been overtaken by its new siblings. Investors looking for outstanding returns can look for other large-cap equity schemes.

Investors should increase weight of small banks' stocks
31 May 2010, 0439 hrs IST, Karan Sehgal

While some of the large banks are grappling with spike in bad assets, their smaller regional peers boast of high asset quality.

Bull's Eye: Yes Bank, ITC, Tata Power, Container Corp of India, MphasiS
31 May 2010, 0439 hrs IST

JP Morgan initiates coverage of ITC with an `Overweight’ rating and a target price of Rs 307.

Deccan Chronicle Holdings' paying record makes it an attractive buy
31 May 2010, 0438 hrs IST, Rajesh Naidu

What is attractive for investors is media stocks didn’t move much even though their financial outlook looks robust.



Src: Economictimes

30 May 2010

Stock and Market Views

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS: Index Outlook: End of correction?
The keystone of technical analysis is the belief that news flow is only incidental and stock price movements are governed by the twin forces of demand and supply. This fact was borne out yet again by the movement in equity markets this ...

STOCKS: Hindustan Unilever: Buy
The Hindustan Unilever (HUL) stock has been the sole exception to the re-rating enjoyed by consumer companies over the ...

STOCKS: Sun Pharmaceuticals: Buy
Better-than-expected financial performance, promising outlook for its domestic and international formulations business and the possibility of resumption in manufacturing at Caraco's site by the end of this year make Sun Pharmaceuticals ...

STOCKS: SAIL: Hold
Investors can consider holding on to steel major SAIL, whose massive size in terms of production capacity, raw materials and cash, coupled with low levels of debt and a robust domestic market for its products, makes for a compelling case to ...

STOCKS: NIIT: Buy
Investors with a two-year horizon can consider taking exposure to the stock of NIIT, a training solutions provider for individuals and corporates, given the broad-based recovery in all its key segments ...


TECHNICAL ANALYSIS: Consider bear-put strategy on Nifty
The Nifty rollover figures this time around have been on the lower side, lower than even its previous three-month and six-month averages. The looming uncertainty in global financial markets and the short squeeze witnessed in the last two days ...

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS: Go short in RNRL
RNRL (Rs 52): The stock has been in a downtrend for the last nine months, though it witnessed a pull back rally in the last ten days. As long as it stays below Rs 76, the outlook remains negative. The stock now finds crucial support at Rs ...

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS: Pivotals: Reliance Industries (Rs 1,033.8)
It was an extremely volatile period for Reliance Industries in May as the stock spiked to Rs 1,093.6 and then crashed towards our lower medium-term target of Rs 966. The short-term trend in the stock is down since the May 13 peak of Rs 1,093. ...

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS: Sizzling Stocks: Sesa Goa (Rs 373.8)
Sesa Goa turned red hot on Friday as market participants decided that the recent sell-off was excessive and Chinese demand was unlikely to wane anytime soon. The stock spiked to the high of Rs 375 on Friday to record gain of over 20 per cent ...

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS: Query Corner: Godrej Ind in medium-term downtrend
I have purchased the shares of Everest Kanto Cylinder at Rs 140 and Subex at Rs 73. What is the outlook for the above shares? J. Sadeesh kumar, R. Sandhya Lakshmi, S. ...




Heard on the Street: Local mutual fund takes fancy to Crompton

Eurozone woes to haunt markets: Analysts

Review: HTC EVO 4G mobiles

Bajaj Auto, Tata Motors top two bets for next 12 months: Shankar Sharma

Avoid buying RCom, RIL stocks: Shankar Sharma

Essar to buy Avaya's AGC Networks for Rs 206 cr

M&M net up 36% at Rs 570 cr

Strategies: Expert tips on stocks, sectors buzzing this wk



Hindalco Industries


Glenmark Pharma


GMDC


Apollo Tyres


GSFC


Weekly Watch - May 29 2010


Grasim, Everonn Systems, NTPC


Fortis Healthcare Limited




Src: Economictimes, DP blog , Businessline and etc

28 May 2010

ET Special: The Inside story of Ambani's truce pact

ET Special: The Inside story of Ambani's truce pact


NEW DELHI: On May 26, an Airbus ACJ 320 with the call sign ‘VT-IAH’ touched down at New Delhi’s Indira Gandhi International Airport from Mumbai. Another flight, a Falcon 2000 that answered to the call sign ‘VT-AAT’, landed two minutes later. The pilots of both the jets informed their billionaire owners that they have landed safely. Outside, the day was just beginning, but the mercury in Delhi had already climbed to 38 degrees.

Mukesh Ambani, the owner-passenger from the first plane, walked out of the airport in his characteristic brisk style, his mind preoccupied with the packed schedule for the day. On top of his priority list was a meeting of the Prime Minister’s Council on Trade and Industry.

At the airport, Mukesh ran into Angarai Sethuraman, head of corporate affairs at the Anil Dhirubhai Ambani Group (ADAG) and a close aide to Anil Ambani. He was there to receive the owner-passenger of the second jet: Anil Ambani.

Suddenly, Sethuraman was face-to-face with his old boss.

Mukesh, chairman of India’s largest private sector company, Reliance Industries (RIL), calmly walked up to Sethuraman, shook hands and asked him warmly, “How are you, Sethu?”

That small gesture travelled quickly through the political and business circles of the Capital, where the news on Monday that the Ambani brothers have decided to end their six-year-long acrimonious battle and to “collaborate” had been received with surprise bordering on scepticism.

Even though the brothers lived and worked in Mumbai, many of their battles were fought in the power corridor of Luyten’s Delhi. The Capital’s decision makers and influencers knew the bitter saga closely. It had divided them, put them in awkward spots, and in many cases, rewarded them handsomely. The fault lines of the battle divided the loyalties of New Delhi, whose importance was understood early and well by the Reliance patriarch, the late Dhirubhai Hirachand Ambani.

So the city had to see for itself if there was actually a thaw in hostilities. By warmly greeting a man who had been a key figure in the rival camp’s New Delhi affairs, Mukesh Ambani sent a clear signal—he meant to stick to the agreement in spirit.

Exactly a week earlier, on May 19, Kokilaben Ambani, Dhirubhai’s widow and mother of the warring brothers, had returned after a visit to the famous Shiva temple at Kedarnath in the Himalayan foothills.

“This has gone too far now. The two of you have to resolve the differences,” Kokilaben is believed to have told younger son Anil, according to insiders who have heard accounts of the conversation. Anil had accompanied her on the pilgrimage along with his sister Deepti Salgaonkar.

But Kokilaben had been there before and almost done that. Five years ago, she had stepped in and drew up a settlement between her two sons, who lived in reasonable harmony while her husband was alive, and had a bitter fallout soon after his death. The agreement, dividing the companies Dhirubhai Ambani had assiduously built between his two sons, was signed on June 18, 2005. Six months before that Mukesh Ambani had, during a TV interview, admitted to “ownership issues” that were in the “private domain”. That was the first public admission of disharmony that had been brewing behind the scenes since the death of Dhirubhai.

1|2|3|4|Next >





Anil Ambani may get priority gas if RIL picks equity

********************************************



Heard on the Street: Bulls ‘short’ on Sesa Goa as they see limited upside



Bulls ‘short’ on Sesa Goa as they see limited upside

Shares of Sesa Goa rose sharply on Thursday on the back of short-covering, but traders used this pullback to build short positions on the stock, as they feel the upside is capped. On BSE, the stock gained 3.8% to close at Rs 337.45. According to analysts, the recent rise in iron ore prices will not be sustainable and is expected to decline. A majority of the broking firms have maintained a cautious view on the stock, after it tanked on the back of the fall in global commodity prices. Interestingly, over the past couple of days, an insurance major had been accumulating the stock at various levels.

Funds buy SCI on bonus share issue hope

Investors have been accumulating shares of Shipping Corporation of India (SCI) in large numbers on speculation that the company will announce a bonus share issue at its board meeting on Saturday. The ratio of the bonus issue is not known as yet. According to market sources, a state-owned mutual fund and a mid-sized private bank-promoted fund house have been buying shares of the shipmaker in sizeable quantities over the past one week. Analysts tracking the company say that the government could come up with a divestment plan for SCI shortly. It intends to sell up to a 10% stake in the shipping company. The divestment story seems highly probable as SCI needs about Rs 2,000 crore over the next two years to fund its expansion plan, analysts said. Shares of SCI ended 1% higher at Rs 159 on the BSE on Thursday.

FIs bet on deregulation, lap up oilcos

Of late, some institutional investors have been buying shares of state-owned oil companies such as ONGC and Oil India ahead of the meeting of the Empowered Group on Ministers (EGoM) in the first week of June, when oil price deregulation could be discussed. Investors are betting that the government could arrive at a decision to deregulate oil prices, if not entirely. An institutional broking firm owned by a bank is rumoured to be recommending these shares, though a official there denied this. A broker attributed the resilience in shares of Oil India on Thursday despite fourth-quarter results falling below expectations to such speculation. Some market participants said the recent purchases of these shares by institutional investors are part of their ‘trading bets’.

Contributed by Harish Rao, Shailesh Menon & Nishanth Vasudevan


*******************************************

Persistent Systems


IFCI


NHPC


Tata Tea


Bharat Forge


Redington India


Tata Motors posts FY10 net profit, beats forecast


TRADING DESK



Src: ET, DP blog and etc

27 May 2010

Know a Personality and Web



Daryl Guppy is founder and Director of Guppytraders.com Pty Ltd. He is an active private position trader trading equities and associated derivatives markets. His most recent book is The 36 Strategies of the Chinese For Financial Traders. He is the author of several books including Share Trading and Trading Tactics and Bear Trading and Chart Trading (Also availabe in Chinese as ) and Trading Asian Shares and Market Trading Tactics and Better Trading and Better Stock Trading (Also available in Italian as Lo specialista del Trading.) Snapshot Trading examines short term trading strategies. (Available in Chinese early 2008) Trend Trading has become a best seller and is available as. in a Chinese language edition published in Beijing.

He developed the Guppy Multiple Moving Average Indicator which is included in Metastock, OmniTrader and other charting programs. He delivers accredited courses for the Singapore Stock Exchange and Society of Remisiers, Singapore. He is an appointed foundation member of the Australian Government Shareholders and Investors Advisory Council. He is a regular technical analyst commentator and guest host on CNBC Asia Squawk Box.

As a technical trader he relies mainly on chart and live market information to make trading decisions. He is the publisher of a weekly Internet newsletter Tutorials in Applied Technical Analysis, which explains technical analysis techniques and shows how they are applied to current markets. There are Australian, and Asia & China and India editions of the newsletter, with each concentrating on local market solutions and trading education.

He is a regular contributor to the Sydney Futures Exchange magazine, Your Trading Edge, the US trading magazines Technical Analysis of Stocks and Commodities, Active Trader, Working Money, Bridge Trader, Australia's Shares and Personal Investment magazines, Singapore's Smart Investor magazine and The Edge business weekly and Personal Money in Malaysia. He has a regular column in China's Weekly On Stocks magazine and in Shanghai Securities News. (Chinese language only) He also contributes to Poland's Profesjonalny Inwestor and provided sector analysis on the Singapore, Hong Kong, Malaysia and Philippines markets for i-invest handbooks.

He edited and contributed new material to the Australian editions of the US classics in the International Investors Bookshelf series, The Basics of Speculating and Day Trader's Advantage and Options: Trading Strategies That Work and Trading Rules and Mastering Technical Analysis. He prepared the introduction to the Australian editions of Breaking the Black Box (M Pring), A Technician's Guide to Day Trading (M Pring) and New Thinking in Technical Analysis (R Bensignor).

He provides web content to Sanford on line brokerage, Reuters, On Line Trading systems, the Society of Remisiers, Singapore, Asiastockwatch, Telstra Big Pond Money and Quicken, Singapore. He provides charting chat room support and is co-host for the stockmeetingplace traders forum.

He trades from Darwin in the Northern Territory, of Australia, some 3,000kms from the nearest Exchange. As a result he makes full use of electronic advantages to actively trade the market and to keep in contact with other Australian and overseas traders.

He gives conference briefings for brokerage private clients. He is a featured speaker at the Australian Traders Expo, for the Sydney Futures Exchange Conference days around Australia and New Zealand, and at the Australian Technical Analysts Association annual national conferences. He was one of the speakers in the first Australian Equis Metastock seminar series. He also spoke at the On Line Trading Summit in San Diego which was web cast to traders throughout the world
, and at the Technical Analysis Trading Forum in Orlando. He has spoken at trading conferences in Italy and France. He has spoken frequently at all the major Australian Stock Exchanges, and for brokerage firms.

He was one of two foreigners (Jim Rogers and Daryl Guppy) to participate in the 2005 Chinese market outlook conference in Beijing which was broadcast throughout China. He is a keynote speaker at the 2007 China Capital Markets Investment Forum. His analysis has been presented at the 2005 Palm Oil Outlook conference sponsored by Bursa Malaysia and the BYSD Annual conference in Turkey. He is a regular speaker at the annual ASEAN Rubber Conference. He is a frequent speaker at financial trading seminars in Shanghai, Beijing and Shenzhen.

He presents Certified Professional Training modules for charting and advanced technical analysis for the Singapore Stock Exchange and the Society of Remisiers, Singapore and the Hong Kong Securities Institute. He has worked with the Singapore and Australian Stock Exchanges to promote their cross trading link. He worked with Reuters Hong Kong to deliver trading and training workshops. (Read Hong Kong workshop review) He was the lecturer for the Casuarina Senior College charting course.

He also runs public trading workshops, and equity and futures brokerage sponsored seminars for clients such as National On Line trading, CMC Markets, Beijing SEEC in Australia, Kuala Lumpur, Singapore, Shanghai, Dalian and Paris. He provides in-house training support for fund managers, brokerage dealers and remisiers.

He presented several on-line workshop conferences for Pristine.com and Compuserve Investors Forum. He has appears regularly on CNBC Asia, Squawk Box as guest host technical analyst, Asian Wall Street Journal, Trading Day, Channel News Asia and ABC radio and television.

He was retained as a consultant by several Australian and Singaporean brokerages and financial portals to advise on the development of Internet based brokerage, trading and information services. He is a member of the Australian Technical Analysts Association, the Technical Analysts Society of Singapore and the International Federation of Technical Analysts.




Web


http://www.micrograam.com/