29 June 2010

DowJones Sinks 200 pts in early trade

Stocks Tumble on Global Economic Worries; Dow Sinks More Than 200 Points-


NEW YORK (AP) -- Stocks and interest rates are extending their losses after consumer confidence dropped because of concerns about the economy.

The Conference Board says Tuesday its Consumer Confidence Index fell nearly 10 points to 52.9, down from a revised 62.7 in May. Economists had forecast only a modest drop.

U.S. markets were already down before the consumer report. They followed Asian markets, which fell after data showed that Japan's recovery has slowed. European indexes fell after Greek workers walked off the job to protest budget cuts.

The Dow Jones industrial average is down 238 at 9,901. It had been down 175 ahead of the confidence report. The Standard & Poor's 500 index is down 27 at 1,047. The Nasdaq composite index is down 66 at 2,154.

THIS IS A BREAKING NEWS UPDATE. Check back soon for further information. AP's earlier story is below.

NEW YORK (AP) -- Stocks and interest rates tumbled Tuesday after fresh signs of a global economic slowdown spooked investors.

U.S. markets are following those in Asia, which fell when Japanese data showed that the nation's recovery has slowed. And then European indexes fell sharply after Greek workers walked off the job to protest steep budget cuts.

Interest rates fell in the bond market with investors seeking the safety of Treasurys. The yield on the 10-year note dropped to as low as 2.97 percent, the first time it has fallen below 3 percent since April 2009. The yield, which is used as a benchmark for many consumer loans and mortgages, bounced off its low and edged up to 2.99 percent.

Falling yields are a sign that investors are willing to forego potential big gains in stocks for more certain, but smaller profits in bonds.

Investors are worried that the global rebound is weakening. Consumers may be similarly shaken. A report due out Tuesday on consumer confidence is expected to show confidence fell in June after three straight months of gains.

Economists polled by Thomson Reuters forecast the Conference Board's consumer confidence index fell to 62.8 from 63.3 last month. The index needs to climb above 90 to indicate the economy is on solid footing.

Companies have indicated things are getting better, yet there are few signs they are ready to hire in big numbers. The Labor Department's monthly employment report due out Friday is expected to show the unemployment rate rose 0.1 percent to 9.8 percent in June.

In early morning trading, the Dow Jones industrial average dropped 129.01, or 1.3 percent, to 10,011.40. The Standard & Poor's 500 index fell 15.14, or 1.4 percent, to 1,059.43, while the Nasdaq composite index plummeted 39.55, or 1.8 percent, to 2,181.10.

A report that showed home prices rose in April did little to affect trading. The S&P/Case-Shiller home price index 20-city home price index rose 0.8 percent between March and April. The gains, though, are likely being written off because April was the final month when buyers could receive a tax credit. Nearly all housing indicators got a boost in April from the credit, but have since shown a slowdown in the market



Src:Yahoo Finance

Heard on the Street:

Heard on the Street: Sugar stocks get a booster shot on levy hike


Sugar stocks get a booster shot on levy hike

Some mutual funds, including Star Sign Mutual Fund and market operators, are believed to be buying shares of sugar companies. The news that the government is planning to increase levy sugar prices by 30% for the current September-October season has spurred the buying, according to dealers.

The step will help sugar companies post better profits in this quarter. Balrampur Chini surged close to 10% to finish Rs 86.15, supported by heavy volumes. According to dealers, most of the purchases by mutual funds and operators are for the short-term and they could even offload their positions within a week.

IDFC prices QIP at Rs 168.25 a share

Infrastructure Development Finance Company(IDFC) is learnt to have priced its qualified institutional placement(QIP) at Rs 168.25 apiece. India’s leading infrastructure lender plans to mop up close to $575 million through the issue. It has roped in four bankers including Credit Suisse, Morgan Stanley, CLSA and IDFC-SSKI to manage the share sale. The stock closed at Rs 169.90 on Monday, up 0.95 % over the previous close.

(Contributed by Harish Rao & Reena Zachariah)



Look Beyond the Indices


Most market participants pay too much attention to the gyrations of the Sensex or the Nifty and unnecessary worry about their volatility. There are numerous stocks that have more convincing reasons to buy or sell and these may give you more returns in day then what the indices can give you in a month.

Not those individual investors buy the indices but it does distract them from individual stocks. It is difficult for analysts to change their mind sets quickly and by the time you get to see an affirmations of a move from them, its too late in the day.

Take R.Com for instance. The first fundamental recommendation by a large house has come after a 5 weeks and 53% surge. That does not mean the stock does not have more upside, but it only goes to affirm that investors have to carry their own cross.

A few weeks back, we had spoken about the sugar stocks, as to how they seem to have formed a bottom. Yesterday they have broken out of the range bound pattern and demonstrated enough strength to warrant a buy.

The reason we gave at that time was that the industry is expecting some sops from the Government. While the sops are yet to be announced, the surge in the international prices has lit a fire under the sugar pot.

Expect the Government to impose a duty on white sugar imports and to cut the levy sugar quota from the current 20% to something like 16%. Levy quota was last raised form 10% to 20%. More cane crushing expected this year will ensure a higher power output and the raw material prices could be low, giving some relief to the beleaguered sector.

The US markets were confused yesterday. It now dawned on them that if the G-20 is infact going to cut deficits, then where is the growth going to come from?

We will continue to have data from the US that is bearish and stock specific announcements like GTL Infra will continue to present opportunities. If the Saudi investors are going to put money in the stock at 20-25% premium to the then prevailing price, then what stop you from going for the kill now.

We will have to train ourselves in limiting our greed and taking those small profits that come our way or just watch the indices oscillate up and down, worrying a lot but doing nothing.

The choice is yours.


Disclosure : No holdings or trading positions in stocks mentioned or recommended to clients



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Standing at the threshold!


India Oil Deregulation


Daily News Roundup - June 29 2010


GSFC


Reliance Communication - event update


Technical Report - June 29 2010


Technical Watch - June 29 2010


Daily Market Outlook - June 29 2010


Piramal Healthcare: Clarity emerging

ANALYSIS: RCom - GTL deal



Src: ET and DP blog and Smartinvestor , HDFCSECetc




28 June 2010

Stock Picks - HDFCsec







Market Guide

Stock Exchanges – BSE and NSE
There are two national stock exchanges in the country, the Bombay Stock Exchange (BSE) and the National Stock Exchange (NSE). Most large brokers hold membership cards in both exchanges, offe...
Types Of Market Transactions
You will find it easier to transact in the stock market once you attain a basic understanding of market mechanics. Before a share is purchased or sold, the investor must instruct his broker ...
Settlement
Once you have bought or sold shares, the transaction is complete only when you have got the shares you purchased, or received money for the shares you sold. This is called settlement in stoc...
Auctions
An auction is resorted to when there is a default in delivery by a broker. An auction is the exchange’s mechanism through which, in a settlement, a buyer broker gets shares in the eventualit...
Investor Protection Measures
In the modern world, stock markets have evolved as important drivers of national economy. Fair and clear-cut rules and regulations are enforced by governing bodies to ensure safety of all pa..





Src: HDFCSEC

Fuel price hike may be big drag on Dalal Street

Fuel price hike may be big drag on Dalal Street

MUMBAI: Domestic shares may be under pressure early this week on fears that the government’s decision to hike fuel prices will boost inflation. Investors are concerned that a further rise in prices could prompt the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) to take stronger steps in monetary policy to combat inflation.

Shares of automakers are likely to be subdued on concerns that higher fuel prices could dent demand for vehicles. Shares of oil marketing companies (OMCs) such as HPCL, BPCL and IOC and explorers, including ONGC, could rise.

“We may see these stocks (oil) going higher in the next few days because they had been lacklustre for a very long time,” said Ambareesh Baliga, vice-president, Karvy Stock Broking. He added that auto stocks should be avoided, as they will see some profit-booking, after a good rally in the past few weeks. Though the move to raise oil and gas prices is expected to improve the government’s finances in the long run, a section of the market is concerned about the timing of the increase, as inflation is still high.


Also Read
ONGC, IOC could hit market soon with FPO
How to make exit decisions in volatile market
Private oil companies to go full throttle with expansion


Inflation, as measured by the wholesale price index (WPI), rose to 10.16% in May. A silver lining for the stock market would be the better-than-expected progress in the monsoon, which is likely to bring down food prices.

“A good monsoon will take care of food inflation and will boost the agricultural sector, which is one of the key constituents of economic growth,” said Mr Baliga. Mid-cap shares are likely to see more activity than their frontline peers, if futures and options data are any indication.

“There have been aggressive rollovers in the mid-cap space. So, they will witness an increase in trading activity in the days to come,” said Bhavin Desai, manager-derivatives, Motilal Oswal Financial Services.

Analysts said the drop in volumes in the futures segment, despite a strong rollover to the July series, suggests investors have become more risk-averse.

Global investors will closely watch the outcome of the G-20 meeting over the weekend. On Friday, overseas markets ended weak on concerns that the decision by European governments to cut down on spending and increase taxes could delay global recovery.



Greek crisis, inflation and rate hike may impact India's economic growth
28 Jun 2010, 0539 hrs IST

Pace of India's economic growth depends on growth in global economy and its impact on Indian economy through trade linkages.

UTI Leadership Equity a highly conservative equity scheme
28 Jun 2010, 0537 hrs IST, Bakul Chugan Tongia

UTI Leadership Equity’s extremely conservative play has led the fund to miss out on some of the brilliant opportunities.

Financial planning can limit the impact of job loss
28 Jun 2010, 0537 hrs IST, Amrit Mathur

Loss of employment is a difficult period for salaried individuals and their families, but suitable financial planning can limit the impact.

Technofab an attractive bet for investors
28 Jun 2010, 0536 hrs IST, Shikha Sharma

Technofab seems to be an attractive bet for investors considering its strong order book and superior EBITDA margins.

Bull's eye: Sintex Industries, Bank of India, Dish TV, Gruh Finance, HDFC Bank
28 Jun 2010, 0535 hrs IST

JP Morgan initiates coverage on Sintex Industries with an `Overweight’ rating and a target price of Rs 435.

Long-term investors can consider Parenteral Drug
28 Jun 2010, 0534 hrs IST, Jwalit Vyas

Given its growth prospects, Parenteral Drug’s stock looks reasonably priced at the current levels. Long-term investors can consider the stock.

Some upside still left in Ess Dee Aluminium
28 Jun 2010, 0533 hrs IST, Abhineet Singh

Given the pace of growth in the organised packaging industry, there can still be some upside left for Ess Dee Aluminium's stock.

Cairn India lucrative for long-term investors
28 Jun 2010, 0530 hrs IST, Ramkrishna Kashelkar

With the commissioning of its pipeline, Cairn India’s profits are set to soar in FY11. Its growing resource base and focussed efforts on E&P make it lucrative for long-term investors.

Deregulation of prices a relief to oil industry
28 Jun 2010, 0529 hrs IST, Ramkrishna Kashelkar

The government’s move to deregulate oil prices may give a sigh of relief to the debt-burdened industry. Investors of oil companies are also likely to benefit from this as they will be rewarded with good dividends in future.


GTL - Reliance Communication - Relinace Infratel merger details


Pidilite Industries


Weekly Outlook - June 27 2010




Src: ET and DP blog and etc

27 June 2010

Stock Views

Trading in Futures

Click to read more...


Reliance Comm, GTL Infra sign $11 billion deal

Heard on Street: Funds line up for OMCs

Mid & small-cap cos outdo blue-chip firms



INSIGHT: Take a fresh look at defensive stocks
Investors usually look to defensive stocks to protect their portfolios from damage during market falls. However, defensive sectors such as FMCG and healthcare have actually proved good bets in a rising market as well. Had you picked some of ...

INSIGHT: How the revised Direct Taxes Code affects FIIs
Foreign institutional investors (FIIs) play a significant role in the Indian equity market, both as long-term investors and as short-term traders. It is therefore not surprising that the Revised Discussion Paper on the Direct Taxes Code ...

INCOME TAX: Impact of Direct Taxes Code on individuals
Direct Taxes Code (DTC) is proposed to replace the Income-Tax Act from April 1, 2011, with the objective of simplification of tax structure and align it with the ...

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS: Index Outlook: Bears on the prowl again
The bear-squeeze did not happen. Instead, the bears wrested control from the bulls before the Sensex could slip past them to a new yearly high. Resurfacing concerns regarding the pace of global economic recovery provided bears with the ...

STOCKS: Reliance Power: Sell
Investors can consider reducing exposure to the stock of Reliance Power, given that the recent gains in the stock have placed it at a stiff valuation relative to peers in the sector. The stock is trading at a 38 per cent discount to its ...

RIGHTS ISSUE: Suzlon Energy — Rights issue: Avoid
Shareholders can refrain from applying to the rights offer made by Suzlon Energy, as the additional capital from the rights is unlikely to be earnings-accretive in the medium-term. The offer's primary objective is to discharge certain ...

IPOS: Technofab Engineering – IPO: Invest at cut-off
Those with a high risk appetite can consider investing in the initial public offer of small-sized Engineering, Procurement and Construction (EPC) services player, Technofab Engineering, with a two-year perspective. Strong growth in revenues ...

STOCKS: ARSS Infrastructure and Projects: Book Profits
Investors can consider booking profits in the stock of ARSS Infrastructure and Projects, a construction contractor in the infrastructure space. At Rs 1,177, the stock is valued at 20 times the trailing 12-month earnings. Peers such as ...

STOCKS: NHPC: Buy
INVESTMENT FOCUS. Investors with a three-year horizon can consider buying the stock of NHPC, the largest ...

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS: Sizzling Stocks
GTL Infrastructure turned red hot last week on the buzz that Reliance Infratel might merge its tower operation with this company. Market is finding it hard to leave ‘Reliance' out of the thick of action. The stock shot to the high of ...

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS: Index Strategy: Consider bear put strategy on Nifty
Though the markets witnessed healthy rollovers in the derivatives segment this time around, it seems to have been tilted more towards short positions. This may exert a downward pressure on the index in the near-term. Rollover was also at ...

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS: Stock Strategy: Shorting GE Shipping may pay-off
GE Shipping (Rs 296): After registering its 52-week high at Rs 345, the stock has been in downward spiral. The outlook for the stock remains negative as long as it stays below Rs 333. It, however, finds an immediate support at Rs 286, a ...

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS: Pivotals
RIL moved in line with our expectation, reversing lower in the initial part of the week to achieve the short-term target of Rs 1,050. Friday's bounce however helped the stock erase all the losses and it closed the week 1 per cent ...

STOCKS: Query corner: United Phosphorus on course to a life-time high
What is the medium- and long-term outlook for United Phosphorus purchased at Rs 168?

R-Infratel, GTL approve Rs 50,000-cr deal


Wkly Tech Analysis: 5,260 is the pivot point for Nifty



Src: HDFCSec, ET and Businessline and etc

25 June 2010

Check out Top Value Style Mutual Fund Schemes

Check out Top Value Style Mutual Fund Schemes


Stocks with strong fundamentals and better growth prospects are likely to gain whereas those with weaker fundamentals and poor earnings visibility might face the wrath of investors.

In this scenario, 'stock picking' should emerge as the key differentiator between out-performance and underperformance. The ability of a fund manager to pick winners among stocks will determine the 'alpha' that he is going to produce which will ultimately determine the out-performance and/or underperformance of the scheme.

By definition, value style funds are meant to be better 'stock pickers'. Value investing, as a process, involves better understanding of a company's business and ascertaining its intrinsic value through rigorous research and then looking for an opportunity to buy that stock at a price lower than its intrinsic value. Value investors are not momentum players. They pick stocks that are trading at a considerable discount to their intrinsic value, thereby enhancing the margin of safety.

Value investing has 2 important benefits

▪ Looks to invest in stocks which are trading at a discount to their fair value, it gives margin of safety to the portfolio of the investors over a long term.

▪ It may also help in reducing volatility in the portfolio.

Here, we present an article on Top Value style funds. (See Note and Disclaimer)

Data Source: valueresearchonline



UTI Dividend Yield Fund

The fund in last 1 year has generated an annualized return of 45.58% as on 18th June 2010.

Performance Analysis

The fund has consistently given an above average performance and has also out-performed its benchmark BSE-100 in the periods 3 months, 6 months, 1 year, 2 years, 3 years and 5 years registering an annualised return of 21.17% in last 2 years while in the same period the category average returns is 17.50% and its benchmark has given 6.85% return.

/photo.cms?msid=6086290

Table I below shows the growth of Rs100000, if invested in UTI Dividend Yield Fund on 18th June 2007.

Return 3 Years
Absolute %
Annualised %
70.33
19.42
Amount Inv 18-Jun-07
Current Corpus 18-Jun-10
100000
170327

Risk Return Analysis

The fund has registered a Sharpe Ratio of 0.53 while the category average is 0.38 which shows the fund's capacity to generate above average returns. It also has a standard deviation of 30.81% which is lower than the category average of 34.62% and has a beta of only 0.83 which shows that it is a low risk and less volatile fund when compared to its peer group. See Table II

Scheme Name
Sharpe
Std Dev
Beta
UTI Dividend Yield
0.53
30.81
0.83
Category Average
0.38
34.62
0.92

It is low risk and low volatile fund coupled with a capacity to generate above average returns. For definition of Sharpe ratio, Standard Deviation and Beta see bottom of the page.

Portfolio Analysis

The fund as per May 2010 has 89.21% exposure to equity in the form of 54 stocks in its portfolio, 1.45% in Debt in the form of short term deposits and holds 9.34% of the portfolio in cash. The fund has diversified its equity portfolio by investing 67.82% in Large Cap stocks, 22.73% in mid cap stocks and 8.87% in small cap stocks.

Its Top 5 stocks include Infosys Technologies Ltd.(6.12%), ICICI Bank Ltd. (4.80%), NTPC Ltd. (4.75%), ONGC Ltd. (4.30%), GAIL (India) Ltd (3.97%).

/photo.cms?msid=6086292


More @ Check out Top Value Style Mutual Fund Schemes



Src: Economictimes.Indiatimes Via Valueresearchonline

ET:Heard on Street

Heard on Street: Indian Hotels gains 3%


SBI ropes in six i-banks for $1 billion overseas debt

State Bank of India plans to raise $1 billion from overseas markets in July and has identified six merchant bankers for it. Insiders say that it’s not yet clear if the bank plans to raise money in the form of bonds or by issuing medium-term notes. The six merchant bankers include UBS, Bank of America Merrill Lynch, Citibank, Deutsche Bank, Royal Bank of Scotland and HSBC. Insiders say that the bank is likely to raise money for five years and the issue will be in the form of senior debt and not subordinated debt. This will be SBI’s first overseas borrowing this year, after the turmoil in European markets. Many Indian banks are following SBI’s overseas borrowing, since they will plan their overseas borrowing based on the pricing and the response that SBI receives for its forthcoming issue.

Indian Hotels gains 3% as ‘operators’ buy shares

Having taken losses on their trading bets due to the recent market volatility, market operators now seem to have turned to the tried and tested formula of investing blue-chips. The Old Fox of Dalal Street, and the operator who shares his first name with the Union Agriculture minister, are said to be accumulating shares of HLL, ITC and Indian Hotels over the past few sessions. Indian Hotels shares rose 3% to close at Rs 104.80. On the BSE, 5.41 lakh shares were traded, compared to the two-week average daily volume of 1.75 lakh shares.

Domestic funds use rally to book profit in Sesa Goa

Select domestic mutual funds were seen booking profits in Sesa Goa on Thursday. The stock gained close to 1% to Rs 378.95, after touching an intraday high of Rs 385.90. According to dealers, these funds had bought Sesa Goa shares at around Rs 320-325 almost a month back, when the stock was reeling under selling pressure led by a fall in global commodity prices. In the past week or so, the stock has risen roughly 7%. Analysts don’t recommend buying the stock at these levels citing steep valuations.

Contributed by Sangita Mehta, Santosh Nair & Harish Rao



Aqua offers action-packed fare


Aqua Logistics, a recently listed mid-cap player in the logistics sector, is witnessing higher investor interest following the current boom in demand from key user industries including auto, construction and pharma.

The stock touched a 52-week high of Rs 545 intra-day on Thursday before it ended the day at Rs 541.3. Since its listing on February 23, the stock has more than doubled compared to an 8.7% rise in the broader Sensex.

During the same period, the stock of its larger peer Transport Corporation of India gained 32% while Allcargo Global Logistics scrip declined 6.2%.

Apart from the strong growth in the domestic economy, investor sentiment has also been boosted by Aqua Logistics’ recent expansion into the booming East Asian market. As part of this strategy, Aqua Logistics had recently completed the acquisition of a 60% stake in three Hong Kong-based companies for $7.1 million (nearly 32.5 crore). The company via its recent IPO had raised Rs 150 crore and funding this acquisition should not be a problem.

However, Aqua Logistics’ operating margin declined 40 basis points 10.1% in FY10, despite the year-on-year 51% jump in its income from operations. Pressure on its operating margin was due to higher operating expenses. Nevertheless, the company’s net profit increased 84% to Rs 20.5 crore in FY10.

Aqua’s stock may continue to see some more action in the coming days given its plans to split shares. The company’s board is considering the sub-division of its share, from the current face value of Rs 10. It is likely to declare the exact split ratio next week. Though the move will not change its paid-up capital, the number of traded shares will increase, adding to the stock’s liquidity.

In addition, the company plans to seek shareholders’ approval for a fresh issue of shares of a size not exceeding $70 million (nearly Rs 320 crore). Aqua’s stock currently trades at 37.7 times its trailing 12-month earnings. This makes it one of the most expensive stocks in the sector.






PNB: Next level of rationalisation

A healthy dose for your investment portfolio

Analysts' corner


SAIL


Steel Sector Update


IDFC - upside potential


KPIT Cummins


Persistent Systems


Daily Technicals - June 25 2010


Direct Tax Code 2.0


Container Corporation



Src: ET , Smartinvestor, DP blog etc

24 June 2010

India's most powerful CEOs

India's most powerful CEOs



ndia Inc's most powerful CEOs
Comment Mail to friend

ET Bureau

On March 23, 1991 at 12.30 pm, an ailing JRD Tata told Ratan Tata that he had chosen his successor. Ratan Naval Tata was to be the next chairman of Tata Sons.

Ratan recalls the news left him “a bit speech-less”, and truth be told, it had a similar effect on much of corporate India. Untested and unknown, how would this new person fill the shoes of the legendary JRD? What would he do to grow the House of Tata, India largest, best-known conglomerate? As it turned out, plenty.

Over two decades, Ratan Tata has transformed what was once a loose confederation of companies into a unified powerhouse. With marquee acquisitions, the game changing Nano, and a global growth agenda, the 72 year old has primed India’s premier business house for another long innings. Which is why he has been voted not only India Inc’s Most Powerful CEO for 2009, but also the CEO of the Decade.

The wait is finally over. Check out India Inc’s most definitive power list:



Also Read

The Power List of Top 100 CEOs | India Inc's most powerful CEOs | Methodology: How we did it | India Inc's most powerful women leaders | Corporate leaders' musings on power | 10 commandments for CEOs and aspiring CEOs | Caricatures of the top 10 CEOs of India




Src: ET

Derivative Calls

Derivative Calls

We have started New Initiative DERIVATIVE CALLs(Future and Options) for Investors and Traders.. But this is purely sourced from Outside Websites, Medias, and Other Brokerages... All of you Know DERIVATIVE is High RISK also a High REWARD one.. Loss Will be More if Not keeping Strict SL.

So Kindly DO all the calls Given in DERIVATIVE Segment with STRICT STOP LOSS.

Becos HIGH RISK and HIGH REWARD..

Take these calls with Own Financial Risk/Proper Guidance.


Derivative Call (high risk)

ABAN FUT (July) cmp 740
Short @ 745-755 Levels,
Tgt 726-710-695
Strict SL 770 (Lot 400)


Buy Patni Fut(Jul) cmp 526

Buy @ Current Level & ADD @ 514,

Tgt 535-546-563

Stirct SL 495




Do F&O Calls with Proper Guide

************************


Flat to negative start likely; Weekly inflation eyed


Flat finish for Nifty ahead of F&O expiry


Larsen and Tourbo, Cement Sector


PNB, Oriental Bank of Commerce


Axis Bank, Real Estate, Cement Sector


Indraprastha Gas


Usha Martin - time to buy


Technical Calls - June 24 2010


Nalco: Rich metal


Shoppers Stop: Getting the right bargain


STOCK ANALYSIS: Shree Cement


Trading desk



Src: DP blog and Smartinvestor.in