19 August 2010

Market and Stock Views






Higher MSCI weightage buzz lifts Tata Motors

Shares of Tata Motors have been among the best performers in the large-cap space, of late, aided by strong first-quarter results. The stock on Wednesday closed at a record high of Rs 1,047.60, up 4.19% over the previous trading session, supported by good trading volumes. The buzz is there will be an increase in the weightage of the stock on the MSCI World Index, which is widely tracked by global fund managers for their investment decisions. Currently, the stock has a weightage of 1.84%, which is expected to be increased to 2.15% by the end of this month. Some of the astute names on Dalal Street and institutional investors have also accumulated the stock in the past few trading sessions.

Bank shares shine as investors load up

Bank shares have been the rage over the past few sessions, as several domestic fund houses, savvy traders and even the treasuries of some banks have been loading up on them. The mutual fund arm of a bank, usually known for its conservative stance, is said to have mopped up nearly three lakh shares of State Bank of India a couple of days ago. The treasury of a bank headquartered in the state referred to as the ‘granary of India’, too, is said to have bought a sizeable chunk of SBI shares earlier this week. Some of the investors with a more conservative view are said to be loading up on Bank Nifty futures. On Wednesday, Bank Nifty hit a 52-week high of 10,931.65, before closing at 10,894.05. Bank Nifty August futures closed at 10915, and were among top-10 most actively-traded derivatives contracts on the NSE.

‘Big Daddy’ bets big on RIL while Street plays safe

Reliance Industries (RIL) has been among the top ‘trading sells’ of several traders, of late, with some even betting on a fall in the stock below Rs 900. But the ‘Big Daddy’ of the domestic insurance industry has taken a contrarian view on the stock. Market sources said that the insurer was a sizeable buyer of the stock on Wednesday. But brokers said that the move is not of any major significance, as the insurer is known for picking up underperforming shares. The stock, which enjoys the highest weightage on the benchmark indices, dropped 0.6% to Rs 964.75 on Wednesday in a firm market. The stock has fallen about 6% so far in August while the Sensex has gained 1% during the period. There have been concerns among investors about the company flooding the market with another round of treasury share sales as part of its attempt to raise money.

Contributed by Harish Rao, Santosh Nair & Nishanth Vasudevan
 
 

 

 Src: ET, DP blog , Brameshtech blog

 

 

  

17 August 2010

Stock calls


Weekly Derivative Futures Roundup for the week ended August 16, 2010
 
 
Stock Note
 
 
Weekly Technical View
 
 
Q1FY11 Result Update
 
 
 
 Src: HDFCSEC, Nooreshtech blog
 
 

Stock Calls


The New Look



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The red upward slopping trendline
 
 

AIA Engineering

 

Simplex Infrastructure, Tata Steel, Polyplex Corporation

 

 

 

Src: HDFCSEC, DP blog, Niftycharts & Patterns blog etc

 

 

15 August 2010

Stock calls

























Src: Brameshtech Blog, Myiris

Sizzling Stocks: TATACOM, RAYMOND




The stock found key long-term support in the band between Rs 230 and Rs 240 in early June 2010 and has been on a short-term uptrend. It surged more than 6 per cent on Monday, this bullish momentum prolonged till the stock ended end the week with a 20 per cent gain. The weekly volume is extra-ordinary. The stock is currently testing significant long-term resistance in the zone between Rs 330 and Rs 340. Strong weekly close above this zone will take the stock ahead to Rs 370 and to Rs 390 in the medium-term.
Inability to surpass the resistance zone in the near-term will drag the stock lower to its immediate support level of Rs 295–300 range. Key support below this level is at Rs 270.

Raymond (Rs 374.9)
Raymond was more enthusiastic by gaining Rs 133 or 55 per cent last week. The volume traded was astonishing. From March 2009 low of Rs 68, the counter has been on an intermediate-term uptrend. With previous week's unusual surge, the stock has breached its key long-term resistance at Rs 350 conclusively. Immediate resistance for the stock is at Rs 400 and Rs 410 band. Both the daily and weekly relative strength indices have entered in to the overbought territory signalling near-term cautiousness. Therefore, a reversal from the current levels can pull the stock down to Rs 350 or to Rs 310 in the medium-term. On the other hand, as long as the stock trades above Rs 280, it has the potential to reach target of Rs 460 and Rs 480 in the long-term. — Yoganand D.



TECHNICAL ANALYSIS: Index Outlook: Heavyweights to the rescue
Odds piled up against the progress of the ongoing rally last week. Slowing economic growth in the US and Europe, domestic first quarter earnings doing likewise and indices nearing critical resistance caused a mid-week wobble in the ...

13 August 2010

Stock calls






Unitech





Src: Bramesh Blog, TOT blog

Heard on the street: Timken, Tata Motors




Delisting buzz sends Timken shares soaring

Shares of Timken India have risen around 29% so far in August on speculation the company may delist after buying back shares from public shareholders. Parent Timken Company holds around 80% in the Indian arm. The rumour doing the rounds is that a prominent Kolkata-based broker is active in the stock, which rose 8.5% to Rs 172.80 on Thursday. But some feel this is unlikely, as this broker is not known to take big bets in themes such as share buybacks.

A broker said the recent rally may have been in anticipation of good results in the June quarter, which was announced on Wednesday. Timken’s net profit rose about 80% to Rs 17.4 crore compared with the same quarter last year.

Smart’ operators seen exiting Tata Motors

SHARES of Tata Motors have been one of the best performers among large caps in the past three sessions, after the company’s earnings exceeded expectations. The buzz is that many of the astute names on Dalal Street, including a young broker who shot to fame in the past couple of years, and a suave broker who appeared on television frequently, have been active in the stock, of late.

If the talk of these players being active in the stock is true, investors in Tata Motors may have to brace for a sharp fall as and when they dump the stock. The stock, which rose 1.7% to a new high of Rs 1,024 on Thursday, has risen around 21% in the past six sessions.

Stake sale talk keeps HNIs busy with Mudra Lifestyle

High net worth investors have been buying shares of Mumbai-based integrated textile firm Mudra Lifestyle, of late. Grapevine has it that the company may sell a strategic stake to another textile firm. A senior company official declined to comment on the matter.

There is also talk that the treasury desk of a domestic PSU bank has bought a couple of lakh shares a few days ago. Brokers tracking the stock said that the company has recently completed its capex with an investment of over Rs 300 crore. The stock closed at Rs 48, up over 2% from the previous close.

A global PE may pick up stake in Shilpa Medicare

A GLOBAL private equity fund is likely to pick up a 10% stake in Raichur-based Shilpa Medicare for close to Rs 100 crore. The firm, which manufacturers and exports active pharmaceutical ingredients, fine chemicals and herbal products, is expected to make a preferential allotment to the private equity fund, said a person close to the development.

Shares of Shilpa Medicare rose 1% to Rs 351.30 on Thursday. It is learnt that Money Matters Investment was the advisor to the company for the proposed deal.

Contributed by Nishanth Vasudevan, Apurv Gupta & Reena Zachariah.  

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Bharti Airtel, India Banks, Bajaj Hindustan

 

Hercules Hoists

 

Tata Motors, Bharti Airtel, India Banking

 

JBF Industries

 

Daily Fundamental Report - Aug 13 2010

 

Daily Technical Report - Aug 13 2010

 

GMR Infrastructure

 

Daily Technical Report - Aug 13 2010

 

Daily Market Outlook - Aug 13 2010

 

Src: DP blog, ET

 

12 August 2010

Stock calls



Possible Big
Break-out 
Seen In Both 
and 
Stocks



Expect a 10-15% returns 
from Current level. 
SO Keep OWN Stoploss and 
Buy for 
Short-term Investment.