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21 November 2010
Stock Reports -1
STOCKS: J&K Bank: Buy
Fresh investments can be considered in the stock of J&K Bank, which is promoted by the Government of Jammu and Kashmir but has characteristics of a private bank. J&K Bank is a development finance institution in Jammu and Kashmir ...
STOCKS: Exide Industries: Buy
Investors with a two-to-three-year perspective can invest in Exide Industries. Robust demand for automotive batteries, capacity expansions, limited exposure to the telecom batteries segment and increased sourcing of raw material from ...
Investors with a two-to-three-year perspective can invest in Exide Industries. Robust demand for automotive batteries, capacity expansions, limited exposure to the telecom batteries segment and increased sourcing of raw material from ...
STOCKS: Kingfisher Airlines: Sell
Like its peers in the Indian aviation space, Kingfisher Airlines has been able to show improvement in performance metrics over the past few quarters, aided by an uptick in demand for air travel in the country. Also, the company has been ...
Like its peers in the Indian aviation space, Kingfisher Airlines has been able to show improvement in performance metrics over the past few quarters, aided by an uptick in demand for air travel in the country. Also, the company has been ...
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS: Index Outlook — Looking for a foothold
Global jitters continued to take their toll on Indian stock prices and yanked the Sensex below the 20,000 mark in the first half of the week. Even as other markets stabilised towards weekend on hopes that Ireland was moving towards a ...
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS: Pivotals
Prolonging its correction, the stock tumbled 6 per cent last week. This fall has conclusively breached both its 50- and 200-day moving averages at Rs 1,045 and Rs 1,035 respectively, which were important supports. RIL is testing its next ...
Prolonging its correction, the stock tumbled 6 per cent last week. This fall has conclusively breached both its 50- and 200-day moving averages at Rs 1,045 and Rs 1,035 respectively, which were important supports. RIL is testing its next ...
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS: Query corner: IDBI Bank reversing from all-time high
Please let me know the medium-term outlook of BL Kashyap and Sons bought at Rs 47. Kishore ...
Please let me know the medium-term outlook of BL Kashyap and Sons bought at Rs 47. Kishore ...
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS: Sizzling Stocks
Unitech nose-dived 16 per cent, emphatically penetrating its 200-day moving average around Rs 80 and key intermediate-term support at Rs 75. The stock has completely retraced its previous up move that commenced from May low of Rs 65 that ended ...
Unitech nose-dived 16 per cent, emphatically penetrating its 200-day moving average around Rs 80 and key intermediate-term support at Rs 75. The stock has completely retraced its previous up move that commenced from May low of Rs 65 that ended ...
Foreign funds turn net sellers for first time in 25 weeks
Src: Bramesh blog, ET, Businessline and etc
17 November 2010
Sensex crash: Dalal Street now faces trust deficit
MUMBAI: Derivative traders have become pessimistic about the prospects of the near-term market after the Nifty fell below the psychological 6000-mark on Tuesday.
“Option writers (sellers) have unwound their positions in 6000 put, which had the highest amount of open interest, implying weakness for the Nifty,” said Manoj Murlidharan, AVP-Derivatives, IIFL-PReMIA. “Investors should use any relief rally to exit their long positions,” he said.
The Nifty fell 133 points, or 2.2%, to 5988.70 on Tuesday, tracking weakness in global markets. Nifty November futures closed at a six-point premium to the spot as against 16 points on Monday, suggesting unwinding of long positions.
“This drop in premium was due to the spurt in short positions created in the system in the past two trading sessions. Earlier, institutions hedged their positions by buying Nifty futures due to which the premium was maintained, but, with the change in sentiment, investors have been selling heavily,” Mr Murlidharan said.
Foreign institutions have sold Nifty futures worth Rs 4,000 crore in the past five trading sessions and have written (sold) call options of 6100 and 6200 strikes, suggesting that the Nifty could find it tough to cross these levels.
While call options of 6200 and 6300 strikes saw over 81 lakh and 98 lakh units added in open interest, 6100 put saw heavy unwinding of positions as it shed more than 12 lakh units in open interest.
Traders expect the Nifty to correct till 5850-5875 levels as most of the stocks have witnessed delivery-based selling. Though the Nifty has found good support around 5980 in the past, traders remain wary this time.
The India Volatility Index (VIX), a measure of traders’ expectation of volatility, rose by 4.35% to close at 21.13%. Traders say that with only a few trading sessions remaining before the expiry of the current series, the volatility is expected to increase.
“If the global markets do not find support, the volatility will increase further below 6000 levels,” said Amit Gupta, Head-Derivatives, ICICI Securities .
He advised against creating fresh short positions at current levels. Traders should wait for a spike till the 6030-6050 levels, before short-selling again, he said.
“Option writers (sellers) have unwound their positions in 6000 put, which had the highest amount of open interest, implying weakness for the Nifty,” said Manoj Murlidharan, AVP-Derivatives, IIFL-PReMIA. “Investors should use any relief rally to exit their long positions,” he said.
The Nifty fell 133 points, or 2.2%, to 5988.70 on Tuesday, tracking weakness in global markets. Nifty November futures closed at a six-point premium to the spot as against 16 points on Monday, suggesting unwinding of long positions.
“This drop in premium was due to the spurt in short positions created in the system in the past two trading sessions. Earlier, institutions hedged their positions by buying Nifty futures due to which the premium was maintained, but, with the change in sentiment, investors have been selling heavily,” Mr Murlidharan said.
Foreign institutions have sold Nifty futures worth Rs 4,000 crore in the past five trading sessions and have written (sold) call options of 6100 and 6200 strikes, suggesting that the Nifty could find it tough to cross these levels.
While call options of 6200 and 6300 strikes saw over 81 lakh and 98 lakh units added in open interest, 6100 put saw heavy unwinding of positions as it shed more than 12 lakh units in open interest.
Traders expect the Nifty to correct till 5850-5875 levels as most of the stocks have witnessed delivery-based selling. Though the Nifty has found good support around 5980 in the past, traders remain wary this time.
The India Volatility Index (VIX), a measure of traders’ expectation of volatility, rose by 4.35% to close at 21.13%. Traders say that with only a few trading sessions remaining before the expiry of the current series, the volatility is expected to increase.
“If the global markets do not find support, the volatility will increase further below 6000 levels,” said Amit Gupta, Head-Derivatives, ICICI Securities .
He advised against creating fresh short positions at current levels. Traders should wait for a spike till the 6030-6050 levels, before short-selling again, he said.
Src: ECONOMICTIMES
16 November 2010
Stock Tips
SBI: Shorting Opportunity
Tata Motors: Seeking Support
Rel Power Opportunity: YES or No
Usher Agro: Has it’s time come?
QE2 and USD index: Ulta Pulta Impact
Apollotyres & Why traders lose money?
Intraday F&O calls
Technical calls for intra-day
Sensex at 21k-the Journey Ahead. Free Seminar in Ahmedabad
Src: All Leading webs/blogs (Mktcalls, Bramesh blog, SOM blog, ET, Myiris and etc)
15 November 2010
Morning Calls
NIFTY
Nifty Views
SPARC: Breakout in Shaky market
Should One Panic?
Check out which funds are up, down
ET Bureau 2 hours ago
ET Bureau 2 hours ago
Here, we take a closer look at the performance of various schemes during the September quarter.
Investors can consider investing in international funds but beware of the Rupee
Shailesh Menon 5 hours ago
Shailesh Menon 5 hours ago
Emerging markets account for about 50% of the world’s GDP and command a petty 8% weightage over world market cap with lots of potential upside.
Bull market on, long-term investments shouldn't be reduced
Deepak Mohoni 8 Nov 2010, 05:24
Deepak Mohoni 8 Nov 2010, 05:24
Purchases made in the last fortnight should start paying off now, as intermediate uptrend is on the way. The next opportunity to buy for the long term would be when an intermediate downtrend develops & runs for a week or more.
Corporate round up: Sobha Developers, Dabur
ET Bureau 8 Nov 2010, 05:18
ET Bureau 8 Nov 2010, 05:18
SDL's total income rose 90% to Rs 427 crore that included a boost of Rs 114 crore from sale of land in Pune. Dabur reported healthy growth in September 2010 quarter and its net sales increased 14.7%.
US homebuyers headcount at historic lows
REUTERS 8 Nov 2010, 05:16
REUTERS 8 Nov 2010, 05:16
Two groups of people have been affected by lower mortgage rates. One is homebuyers whose numbers have shrunk to historic lows while the others are those refinancing their mortgages.
Views on Stocks: TATA Chemicals, JSW Energy
ET Bureau 8 Nov 2010, 05:14
ET Bureau 8 Nov 2010, 05:14
Bank of America reiterates the `Underperform’ rating on Tata Chemicals . Tata Chemicals reported a disappointing quarter, with a 25% y-oy decline in recurring PAT.
Firstsource Solutions likely to perform well on new deals
Parul Bhatnagar 8 Nov 2010, 05:12
Parul Bhatnagar 8 Nov 2010, 05:12
Firstsource Solutions is likely to perform well going forward on the back of new deals and an expected growth in global IT spend
Src:ET, Mktcalls, SOM blog , Bramesh blog etc
14 November 2010
Stock Reports-2
INSIGHT: Time to bet on Indian steel?
Indian steel producers such as SAIL, JSW and Tata Steel have posted spectacular returns of 231, 685 and 315 per cent from the lows of early 2009. On an enterprise value-per-tonne basis, they currently trade at a premium of 45-100 per cent to ...
Indian steel producers such as SAIL, JSW and Tata Steel have posted spectacular returns of 231, 685 and 315 per cent from the lows of early 2009. On an enterprise value-per-tonne basis, they currently trade at a premium of 45-100 per cent to ...
STOCKS: Cipla: Buy
Investments with at least a two-three year perspective can be considered in Cipla. The company's strong generic pipeline, entry into biosimilars and the likely commercialisation of CFC-free inhalers offer it a significant long-term ...
STOCKS: Nestle India: Book Profits
As a consistent performer within the fancied FMCG sector, the stock of Nestle India has soared over the past year. The stock's 45 per cent return in one year has helped it trounce the BSE FMCG index (up 31 per cent) and pushed the ...
As a consistent performer within the fancied FMCG sector, the stock of Nestle India has soared over the past year. The stock's 45 per cent return in one year has helped it trounce the BSE FMCG index (up 31 per cent) and pushed the ...
STOCKS: Mphasis: Buy
Investors with a two-year horizon can buy the shares of Mphasis, a provider of ...
Investors with a two-year horizon can buy the shares of Mphasis, a provider of ...
STOCKS: Zodiac Clothing Company: Book Profits
Zodiac Clothing Company is a retailer and exporter of premium menswear. At Rs 398, the stock trades at 28 times the trailing four-quarter earnings, on a par with peers such as Provogue India. The company has, however, put up a ...
Zodiac Clothing Company is a retailer and exporter of premium menswear. At Rs 398, the stock trades at 28 times the trailing four-quarter earnings, on a par with peers such as Provogue India. The company has, however, put up a ...
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS: Pivotals
RIL launched in to a vicious correction last week to decline 5 per cent from its intra-week peak of Rs 1,119. The short-term trend has reversed lower with the breach of Rs 1,060 level. Next support is at Rs 1,045. Presence of both the 50 ...
RIL launched in to a vicious correction last week to decline 5 per cent from its intra-week peak of Rs 1,119. The short-term trend has reversed lower with the breach of Rs 1,060 level. Next support is at Rs 1,045. Presence of both the 50 ...
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS: Sizzling Stocks
It was an electrifying performance by Reliance Power last week. The stock initially soared on receiving credit worth $5 billion from the US Export Import Bank. The up-move accelerated on Thursday on the buzz about the company benefiting ...
It was an electrifying performance by Reliance Power last week. The stock initially soared on receiving credit worth $5 billion from the US Export Import Bank. The up-move accelerated on Thursday on the buzz about the company benefiting ...
NTPC (Rs 192.2): The outlook for NTPC remains negative. The stock seems to have turned weak and could be headed towards Rs 175. There is however a crucial support at Rs 190. Its immediate resistance is at Rs 196. A close above Rs 196 has ...
STOCKS: 52-week loser: Bajaj Hindusthan
The stock of Bajaj Hindusthan has declined 42 per cent over the past year even as the broader market has posted gains. The reversal in the fortunes of the sugar sector and the loss of market fancy for the sector depressed all sugar stocks, ...
The stock of Bajaj Hindusthan has declined 42 per cent over the past year even as the broader market has posted gains. The reversal in the fortunes of the sugar sector and the loss of market fancy for the sector depressed all sugar stocks, ...
Blockbuster of the week: S.E. Investments
S.E. Investments (SEIL), a non-banking finance company which has exposure to high yielding micro-finance and SME segments, delivered a return of 349 per cent over the last one year. SEIL also operates a 3.2-MW wind energy plant in Rajasthan ...
S.E. Investments (SEIL), a non-banking finance company which has exposure to high yielding micro-finance and SME segments, delivered a return of 349 per cent over the last one year. SEIL also operates a 3.2-MW wind energy plant in Rajasthan ...
Src: HinduBusinessline and Myiris
Stock Reports -1
Sensex & Nifty Diwali2008-Diwali2010 a Comparison
REALTY sector-Break-down
Heard on the street: Yes Bank declines 5% in 3 sessions
Src:ET, NCP blog, AKP blog and Mktcalls etc
11 November 2010
Morning calls
Institutional Noise
Technical calls for intra-day
Sensex 21k to 21k – Excellent Views by Analyse India
Src: HDFC, ET, Myiris, SOM blog and Bramesh blog
10 November 2010
Market Reports (Its my 1700th Post)
Jet flies high as co draws fresh interest
Shares of Jet Airways soared 11% on Tuesday to . 890.25, after touching a fresh 52-week high of . 896.40 earlier in the day. Total traded volumes were 15 times the two-week average. Analysts said the recent interest among investors in the stock follows the company’s better-than-expected earnings show in July-September.
The buzz is that ‘Pink Panther’ and associates have been buyers of this stock of late. The company’s profit quadrupled in a period, which is normally subdued. Investors have also taken note of the company’s efforts to reduce interest costs. Analysts believe that the airline industry must refrain from increasing capacity for companies’ profits to improve.
Power Grid soars on FPO frenzy
Shares of stateowned Power Grid Corporation rose 5.5% to . 103.75 on Tuesday over five times the twoweek average traded volumes. Interestingly , the frenzied buying of Power Grid shares in the secondary market at this price comes when its follow-on public offering (FPO), which has opened on Tuesday, is accepting bids at . 85-90 apiece. The sudden jump in premium in the current market price to the FPO price may entice investors, who see an opportunity to buy in the FPO and sell it at a higher price, to subscribe to the public issue.
But the question is, will this premium sustain even after the public is-sue closes on Friday ? There have been instances in the past where share prices of state-owned companies have shot up ahead of the FPO, but slid soon after the issue closed. Traders, who borrowed to buy in the FPO and sell on listing of the fresh issue to make a quick buck, lost money in the process.
Contributed by Harish Rao & Nishanth Vasudevan
Shares of Jet Airways soared 11% on Tuesday to . 890.25, after touching a fresh 52-week high of . 896.40 earlier in the day. Total traded volumes were 15 times the two-week average. Analysts said the recent interest among investors in the stock follows the company’s better-than-expected earnings show in July-September.
The buzz is that ‘Pink Panther’ and associates have been buyers of this stock of late. The company’s profit quadrupled in a period, which is normally subdued. Investors have also taken note of the company’s efforts to reduce interest costs. Analysts believe that the airline industry must refrain from increasing capacity for companies’ profits to improve.
Power Grid soars on FPO frenzy
Shares of stateowned Power Grid Corporation rose 5.5% to . 103.75 on Tuesday over five times the twoweek average traded volumes. Interestingly , the frenzied buying of Power Grid shares in the secondary market at this price comes when its follow-on public offering (FPO), which has opened on Tuesday, is accepting bids at . 85-90 apiece. The sudden jump in premium in the current market price to the FPO price may entice investors, who see an opportunity to buy in the FPO and sell it at a higher price, to subscribe to the public issue.
But the question is, will this premium sustain even after the public is-sue closes on Friday ? There have been instances in the past where share prices of state-owned companies have shot up ahead of the FPO, but slid soon after the issue closed. Traders, who borrowed to buy in the FPO and sell on listing of the fresh issue to make a quick buck, lost money in the process.
Contributed by Harish Rao & Nishanth Vasudevan
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Market on endless Journey
(Welcome ur comments/feedback on posting 1700th post after a long journey in my blogging)
Src: ET, NCP blog, Mktcalls, Bramesh blog and Myiris etc
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