27 November 2010

SENSEX = KOREAS WARLIKE SITUATION + LIC HSG SCAM

Sensex continues to bleed on loan scandal

 

MUMBAI: A benchmark index of Indian equities markets shed 449 points this week, taking the last three weeks' loss to 1,868 points as 2G spectrum allocation scan and housing loan bribery scandal dampened sentiments and weighed heavy on the markets.

The 30-share sensitive index (Sensex) of the Bombay Stock Exchange (BSE) declined 2.29 percent or 448.83 points to 19,136.61 points in the weekly trade.

Indian equity markets have closed deep in the red for the third straight week. The benchmark Sensex shed 1,868 points from its all-time closing high of 21,004.96 points reached on special Diwali trading session Nov 5.

At the National Stock Exchange (NSE), the 50-share S&P CNX Nifty ended at 5,751.95 points, down 2.63 percent in this week's trade.

Nifty has declined 560 points from its all-time closing high of 6,312.45 points touched on Muhurat trading (a special session meant to pay obeisance to Goddess Lakshmi - the Hindu deity of wealth and prosperity) Nov 5.

A series of scams weighed heavy on the markets. The country's official audit agency Comptroller and Audit General said early this month the telecom minister arbitrarily allocated 2G spectrum licences, resulting in a loss of thousands of crores of rupees to the government exchequer.

The CBI Wednesday arrested senior officials from LIC Housing Finance , LIC, Bank of India, Central Bank of India and Punjab National Bank for allegedly accepting bribes to extend loans to realty companies.

Also on the CBI's scanner are a number of realty companies which were beneficiaries of such loans.

As a result, realty stocks were hammered this week.

All the sectoral indices also closed deep in the red this week, led by a sharp plunge in realty stocks. The BSE Realty index dived nearly five percent Friday after the country's top investigative agenc, the Central Bureau of Investigation (CBI), arrested senior officials of financial institutions and some real estate developers on bribary charges.

Selling pressure was across the board as 2,508 scrips closed in the red Friday, compared to only 485 stocks advancing, while 79 stocks were unchanged.

Major Sensex losers on the last trading day of the week, included Jaiprakash Associates , down 8.04 percent at Rs.105.75; Reliance Infra, down 6.59 percent at Rs.850.25; Reliance Com, down 5.51 percent at Rs.130.30; and Sterlite Industries , down 3.62 percent at Rs.161.

According to data available with the Securities and Exchange Board of India (SEBI), foreign institutional investors sold scrips worth $116.6 million Friday.  

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 Bull market may end in 2-3 months: Shankar Sharma

 

Bear of the week: Stock that tumbled 30% in 3 days   


Src: ET and MC

25 November 2010

24 November 2010

Sensex ends 232 pts lower on housing finance scam

Housing scam: CBI arrests top officials of PSU banks, FIs

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MUMBAI: The Central Bureau of India (CBI) on Wednesday arrested top officials from some leading PSU banks and public/private financial institutions. The CBI said that the officers of Bank of India, Central bank of India, Punjab National bank and LIC HF were receiving illegal gratification for facilitating loans. Executives at Money Matters were arrested for broking bribery deals . Five separate cases have been registered and investigations are on, the leading investigation agency said in a press conference. It hasn't put up a figure to the size of the scam.

The biggest arrests included the CEO of LIC Housing Finance. The CMD of Money Matters Rajesh Sharma was also arrested. Executives from PNB, Central Bank of India, Bank of India were arrested in these raids. Among other arrests were two executives at Money Matters.

Earlier in the day, shares of LIC Housing Finance plunged 18.32 per cent to Rs 1068.55 on the BSE. It touched a low of Rs 1031.10 in trade. Shares of Central Bank of India also tanked on the same issue. The scrip fell 8.02 per cent to Rs 197.90 on the BSE. It touched a low of Rs 191.40 in trade.

Shares of Money Matters Financial Services also faced selling pressure. The scrip tanked 19.99 per cent to intraday low of Rs 531.20 on the BSE on rumours of a raid. 











 













21 November 2010

BT 500: India's most valuable companies




The buzz is back - and the upswing in valuations is the best indicator of the turnaround in not just sentiment on the street but also of fortunes of corporate India. As the economy leaves most of the world behind and gets set to clock 8.5 per cent growth in the current financial year, India Inc. is riding a boom in increased domestic consumption even as it slowly but surely conquers new markets overseas.

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Investors, primarily of the foreign institutional variety, have sensed the upside. The overseas moneybags have pumped all of $23.5 billion into Indian equities in 2010. That is reflected in the growth in market capitalisation in the first half of the current financial year - which is what Business Today considers for its rankings.

The overall market value of the BT 500 companies is up smartly by 42 per cent; the 500 to 1,000 pack has made investors richer by 74 per cent, and the 50 companies in the public sector undertaking listing are more valuable by 23 per cent than a year ago. That's a smart recovery from the downturn of the previous study in 2009, when the top 500 lost 7.32 per cent in value and the second half of the list had 30 per cent of their wealth eroded.

 In numbers

Leading that resurgence are good old blue chips like Tata Steel, Tata Motors, Hindalco and Sterlite, which have benefited from 
robust growth in sales (of autos, for instance), and an upturn in prices of commodities like steel, aluminium and copper. Hindalco and Tata Steel also gained because investors are once again seeing brighter prospects for the big-ticket acquisitions made a few years ago - of Novelis in Canada and Corus, now renamed Tata Steel Europe, respectively. Tata Motors is also reaping the benefits of a pretty sensational turnaround in the performance of Jaguar and 
 
Land Rover, the two brands it had acquired from Ford Motor. Lower down the charts, relatively new-age sectors like aviation and organised retailing have kept investors busy, with SpiceJet and Shopper's Stop returning to the black.

The disappointments? Perhaps the biggest one is at the top of the heap: Mukesh Ambani's Reliance Industries, which has traditionally been an investor favourite, has underperformed as investors are not confident about its ambitious expansion plans. Ditto with the companies in Anil Ambani's stable, which have to convince the street that they can execute mega-projects . The telecom pack, too, has come under pressure after nearly eight years of rahrah growth. That's reflected in another top-level shuffle, where Bharti Airtel has lost 24 per cent in value, and is down two places to No. 4, and the rest of our BT 500 features for more.

 Src: Businesstoday.in, RedHerring

Stock Reports -2



Who sold on Friday?

 

 

Thomas Cook: Institutional Radar

 

 

Eyes or Ears

 

 

 Diamond in NIFTY

 

 

UNITECH enters bear market 



Trading strategy for 3 buzzing stocks 

 

 

Pick of the Week - Nov 20 2010

 

 

5 Themes for 5 years

 

 

Pick of the Week: Dabur 



Grey Market Premiums - Nov 19 2010

 

 

BHEL looks weak-Avoid

 

Nifty Future Weekend Post

 

 

 

Src: NCP blog, TOT blog, AKP blog and SOM blog, MYiris etc

Stock Reports -1


 

STOCKS: J&K Bank: Buy
Fresh investments can be considered in the stock of J&K Bank, which is promoted by the Government of Jammu and Kashmir but has characteristics of a private bank. J&K Bank is a development finance institution in Jammu and Kashmir ...


STOCKS: Exide Industries: Buy
Investors with a two-to-three-year perspective can invest in Exide Industries. Robust demand for automotive batteries, capacity expansions, limited exposure to the telecom batteries segment and increased sourcing of raw material from ...



STOCKS: Kingfisher Airlines: Sell
Like its peers in the Indian aviation space, Kingfisher Airlines has been able to show improvement in performance metrics over the past few quarters, aided by an uptick in demand for air travel in the country. Also, the company has been ...


TECHNICAL ANALYSIS: Index Outlook — Looking for a foothold
Global jitters continued to take their toll on Indian stock prices and yanked the Sensex below the 20,000 mark in the first half of the week. Even as other markets stabilised towards weekend on hopes that Ireland was moving towards a ... 



TECHNICAL ANALYSIS: Pivotals
Prolonging its correction, the stock tumbled 6 per cent last week. This fall has conclusively breached both its 50- and 200-day moving averages at Rs 1,045 and Rs 1,035 respectively, which were important supports. RIL is testing its next ...



TECHNICAL ANALYSIS: Query corner: IDBI Bank reversing from all-time high
Please let me know the medium-term outlook of BL Kashyap and Sons bought at Rs 47. Kishore ...



TECHNICAL ANALYSIS: Sizzling Stocks
Unitech nose-dived 16 per cent, emphatically penetrating its 200-day moving average around Rs 80 and key intermediate-term support at Rs 75. The stock has completely retraced its previous up move that commenced from May low of Rs 65 that ended ... 


Foreign funds turn net sellers for first time in 25 weeks
















Src: Bramesh blog, ET, Businessline and etc

17 November 2010

Sensex crash: Dalal Street now faces trust deficit




MUMBAI: Derivative traders have become pessimistic about the prospects of the near-term market after the Nifty fell below the psychological 6000-mark on Tuesday.

“Option writers (sellers) have unwound their positions in 6000 put, which had the highest amount of open interest, implying weakness for the Nifty,” said Manoj Murlidharan, AVP-Derivatives, IIFL-PReMIA. “Investors should use any relief rally to exit their long positions,” he said.

The Nifty fell 133 points, or 2.2%, to 5988.70 on Tuesday, tracking weakness in global markets. Nifty November futures closed at a six-point premium to the spot as against 16 points on Monday, suggesting unwinding of long positions.

“This drop in premium was due to the spurt in short positions created in the system in the past two trading sessions. Earlier, institutions hedged their positions by buying Nifty futures due to which the premium was maintained, but, with the change in sentiment, investors have been selling heavily,” Mr Murlidharan said.

Foreign institutions have sold Nifty futures worth Rs 4,000 crore in the past five trading sessions and have written (sold) call options of 6100 and 6200 strikes, suggesting that the Nifty could find it tough to cross these levels.

While call options of 6200 and 6300 strikes saw over 81 lakh and 98 lakh units added in open interest, 6100 put saw heavy unwinding of positions as it shed more than 12 lakh units in open interest.

Traders expect the Nifty to correct till 5850-5875 levels as most of the stocks have witnessed delivery-based selling. Though the Nifty has found good support around 5980 in the past, traders remain wary this time.

The India Volatility Index (VIX), a measure of traders’ expectation of volatility, rose by 4.35% to close at 21.13%. Traders say that with only a few trading sessions remaining before the expiry of the current series, the volatility is expected to increase.

“If the global markets do not find support, the volatility will increase further below 6000 levels,” said Amit Gupta, Head-Derivatives, ICICI Securities .

He advised against creating fresh short positions at current levels. Traders should wait for a spike till the 6030-6050 levels, before short-selling again, he said.  
















 
 




Src: ECONOMICTIMES