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20 August 2008
RIL may be allowed to sell diesel in domestic market
New Delhi, Aug. 19 With the diesel demand showing an 18-per cent growth and oil companies depending on imports to bridge the gap, the Government is considering changes in tax norms to allow refineries in export-oriented units such as Reliance Industries Ltd (RIL) to feed the domestic market.
It is also mulling a differential pricing for power and other industrial consumers of the fuel.
After a review meeting with the chiefs of PSU oil companies here on Tuesday, the Petroleum Minister, Mr Murli Deora, said that a consistent, long-term pricing policy for diesel is required – one which would balance social concerns with business realities. The Ministry was seeking changes in tax rules to allow EOU refineries to supply petroleum products to PSU refiners.
Mr Sarthak Behuria, Chairman, Indian Oil Corporation Ltd, told news persons that “We have written to Directorate General of Foreign Trade (DGFT) and the Commerce Ministry in this regard, and if the Finance Ministry also approves it, we will be able to buy diesel from Reliance as is the case with LPG.”
An EOU refinery will have to pay both customs and excise duty for selling the products in the domestic market. The excise duty comprises two components - ad valorem and specific. Currently, the EOU will have to face double taxation in specific.
In addition, the company will have to pay income-tax on its profits when it sells fuel in the domestic tariff area (DTA). “It is being examined if domestic sales by Reliance in the DTA can be given a ‘deemed export status’ and it continues to get income-tax waiver,” he said. RIL already enjoys a deemed export status for selling LPG to the PSUs.
Surge in demand
Mr Behuria said that industrial use of subsidised diesel was pushing up demand and forcing the refiners to increase imports. The output by Indian Oil Corporation, Bharat Petroleum Corporation and Hindustan Petroleum Corporation together in 2008-09 was estimated at 39.49 million tonne, with the demand being at 54.79 m.t.While transport and agriculture demand for diesel had grown by 10-12 per cent, consumption by power producers and other industries had risen 30 per cent.
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RIL may get export perks for diesel sales
Aiming to meet the shortfall of diesel, which has witnessed exponential demand growth, the government is considering a proposal to declare Reliance Industries' sales of the fuel domestically as deemed exports.
State-owned oil marketing companies, which will import about 3.5 million tonnes of diesel this financial year —about 20 per cent more than last year — to meet higher demand growth, say it would be cheaper to buy from Reliance Industries’ refinery if it is given the deemed export status as compared with importing diesel. If granted, these public sector companies will not have to pay transportation charges and taxes such as customs duty.
“The gap between domestic diesel production and demand can be made good by the private sector refineries,” said Sarthak Behuria, chairman and managing director of Indian Oil Corporation (IOC), the largest oil marketing and crude oil refining company in the country. Demand for diesel grew by 18 per cent between April-July as against government-owned refineries, which can meet about 12 per cent growth in demand, Behuria said.
ON DEMAND
The government is considering a proposal to declare RIL's sales of diesel domestically as deemed exports
The government move comes against the backdrop of exponential diesel demand growth
State-owned oil marketing companies were planning to import about 3.5 million tonne of diesel this financial year
It was about 20 per cent more than last year
The firms say the gap between domestic diesel production and demand can be made good by the private sector refineries
Oil marketing companies, including Bharat Petroleum Corporation and Hindustan Petroleum Corporation, will soon send a formal proposal to the government on removing taxes on domestic diesel sales from RIL’s refinery.
Early last year, RIL’s 33 million-tonne-per-annum refinery at Jamnagar, Gujarat, was granted export-oriented status, which allows the refinery to export products at zero duty. The refinery, which produces about 12 million tonne of diesel every year, will have to pay customs as well as excise duty on the fuel if it sells it in the domestic markets. The two taxes will raise the price of the fuel by more than Rs 9 a litre.
Coupled with the absence of transportation costs and insurance, the price at which the marketing companies buy from the Reliance refinery could be at least 30 per cent cheaper than the imported fuel.
The Reliance refinery already sells cooking gas in the domestic market after the product was given deemed export status last year.
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Sensex cuts losses, ends down 102pts; ACC sheds 6%
Biyani's Future Group clocks Rs 105-cr sales in just one day
RBI to review road map of foreign banks in India
Govt pulls up oil firms, orders clearing of LPG waitlist
Reliance Big TV targets 40% share of DTH pie
L&T close to picking equity in Australian, Indonesian coal mines
Storage level in major reservoirs improves
Indiabulls set to sell 35% stake in comex
GMR Energy aims to raise Rs 2,600 cr from stake sale
iPhone to cost Rs 31,000 to Rs 36,000 in India
Govt mulls dual price for diesel
Balaji promoters to buy back Star`s stake
Source:BS,BL
Stocks Analysis from Deadpresident
Hindalco
Technical Calls - Aug 20 2008
Reliance Communications launches BIG TV
Reliance Power
Stocks: Cheap but best avoided
Bilpower
Vishal Information Technologies Fun
Grey Market Premiums
India Telecom, India Banking, India Sugar
Havells India
Cement Sector Update
NTPC, Tata Motors, Mercator Lines, Bharat Forge, I...
India Equity Strategy
India Construction
Thermax
Source: Above blog.
18 August 2008
Rupee hits 17-month low in volatile trading
Lack of participation weighs on markets
The rupee fell to its lowest in 17 months on Monday, hit by a weak stock market and some lumpy orders in a holiday-thinned market that was also factoring in some recent dollar strength. The partially convertible rupee ended at 43.59/60 per dollar, recovering slightly from a intraday low of 43.70, its lowest level since March 29, 2007. The rupee fell 1.33 percent from Thursday's close of 43.01/02, its biggest percentage fall in a year. It has fallen by 3.5 percent in the last five sessions and is down 9.6 percent in 2008. It rose more than 12 percent in 2007.
Markets were closed on Friday will shut again on Tuesday for local holidays, which meant many trading rooms were thinly staffed. Trade was volatile, with the rupee trading a 43.05-43.70 band, and traders said there was heavy dollar buying by a large manufacturing company around 43.50 per dollar. "This sharp fall looks like some stop-losses have got triggered and even offshore markets are pointing to a weaker rupee," said R N Hirve, chief dealer at Central Bank of India.
One-month offshore non-deliverable forward contracts were quoting at 43.81/86 per dollar. The dollar hit a six-month high against the euro on Monday, although its surrendered the gains later in the day. The euro has fallen nearly six percent against the dollar in two weeks on concerns of an economic slowdown. Speculation the central bank may step in to stop the rupee's fall proved unfounded.
"There was some talk it may intervene around the 43.50 per dollar, but once that level broke conclusively, it fell like a stone," said a dealer at a state-run bank. Data on Thursday showed the central bank sold $7 billion in intervention in June, the biggest single-month dollar sales since it began publishing the data in April 1995. A weak finish on the stock market also weighed on sentiment. The benchmark index ended down 0.5 percent, a fourth successive fall, and is down 28 percent for the year. Foreigners sold about $250 million of stocks last week, taking their net sales for the year to $6.8 billion. They bought a record $17.4 billion in 2007.
Source: Economic Times.com
Top Headlines Today
Bharti Airtel crosses 75 mn subscriber base
TRAI turns the heat on GSM cos for not linking to RCOM
Analysts'Picks: Voltas, Corporation Bank, Sterlite Ind, India Cements, IRB Infra
Sical logistics to invest Rs 1,700 cr
PSU city gas cos oppose RIL entry
Nuclear Power short-lists 4 suppliers for reactors
The shape of Indian talent after 61 years of Independence
Reliance Big, Soros deal stuck over valuation
Maruti to open 110 new driving schools; 10 research institutes
L&T eyes 25 pc revenue from international business
India Inc's investment plans rise to $244 bn
India Inc's investment plans surge to Rs 10 trillion: Assocham
India is among "big brothers" of WTO: Pascal Lamy
'Indian stocks only positive performer among BRIC in Aug'
Gold may slip below Rs 10,500 by end of Sept
`Institutions will have to pay 100% for IPOs soon`
250 sugar mills under scanner for holding back stocks
For 17,500 right people, ICICI scans 7.5 lakh resumes: Kamath
India expects exemption from NSG without any change to draft
Oil rises to $114 on storm threat
Source: ET,BL.BS,UTVi.
Sensex likely to enter bull orbit only after crossing 15300
Sensex likely to enter bull orbit only after crossing 15300
18 Aug, 2008, 0301 hrs IST
It has been a decent run for the market with more leaps than hops, in the past few weeks. Some of that momentum has eased last week. At this juncture, the Sensex is trading below the 15000-level. Looking at the market from here on, the 14900-mark — crucial for the continuation of the current trend — has been breached. This may revive forgotten pains of wealth destruction for participants seen in the past six months.
Technically speaking, as per the Elliot wave, the current fall that started from 21207 (6357) has shown a Falling Wedge’ Structure. In this structure as seen in the chart, the A-B-C formation of the bear trend got completed. After this, the Sensex formed a bottom of 12514 mid-July which is also near the 50% retracement level of the past five years’ uptrend (2904-21207) of 12300 (3700). After this significant bottom, the index witnessed a swift rally of 3000 points in just 21 trading sessions, raising hopes of a further upmove.
Major contributors to this rally were shares of banks and capital goods companies. However, we have broken this momentum and this break may play just the decisive role in inducing further movements. Here is where the level of 14900 is significant. First of all, looking at the current upward movement closely, one would see a higher-top, higher-bottom pattern formation. For this pattern to remain intact, the index has to close above 14900. Secondly, if we look at the trend line joining bottoms that were formed along the way by the Sensex in this past rally, the level of 15000 is a threshold for its way up.
Thus, a closing below 14900 is a decisive breach of this trend line. The breach downward signals the termination of this trend and beginning of a corrective trend. Also, the Relative Strength Index Oscillators on daily charts is in an overbought territory and is turning downward. This indicates fatigue in the market thereby inducing some more profit-booking. After consecutive four positive weekly closings, the Sensex witnessed a decline of 444 points, showing a bearish candle on weekly charts thereby confirming the probable trend reversal.
What next? After this development, no prizes for guessing the direction of the market. If we have to put a tentative number to the next level, we may look at one of the trend reversal properties, according to which more often than not key retracement level of 50% of the preceding uptrend is tested. If we were to trace the current rally for the Sensex of over 3000 points from 12514 to 15580, the 50% retracement level comes near 14000.
There could be good buying support at this (14000) level. This level has another significance as well since the 34 DMA (daily moving average) is also placed near this level. The odds are against a further rise on the back of this weekly close, but if the market does manage to escape out of this bear momentum, the bounceback will find congestion levels, placed at 15000 and subsequently at 15300.
The Sensex needs to sustain above 15000 and decisively breach 15300 to enter the bull orbit again. If the market were to test lower levels once again, shares from the capital goods, auto and banking sectors appear to be good bets. Bharat Heavy Electricals and Bharat Electronics among capital goods shares, Maruti and Hero Honda in the automobile sector, and ICICI Bank and Jammu and Kashmir Bank in the banking sector look good on the charts.
Other Investor Guide Articles from ET
Analysts'Pick: IRB Infrastructure18 Aug, 2008, 0635 hrs IST
Lehman Brothers initiates coverage on IRB Infrastructure Developers with an ‘overweight’ rating and a March ’09 price target of Rs 195.
Analysts'Pick: Indian Cements 18 Aug, 2008, 0632 hrs IST
JM FINANCIAL recommends ‘hold’ rating on India Cements (ICL) and values the company at a target enterprise value/tonne of $100 to arrive at its June ’09 target price of Rs 168.
Analysts'Pick: Sterlite Industries 18 Aug, 2008, 0631 hrs IST
Merrill Lynch remains ‘neutral’ on Sterlite Industries due to weak zinc outlook.
Analysts'Pick: Corporation bank, 18 Aug, 2008, 0629 hrs IST
Indiabulls Securities reaffirms its ‘buy’ rating on Corporation Bank with a target price of Rs 335, which is 21% more than its current market price.
Analysts'Pick: Voltas 18 Aug, 2008, 0627 hrs IST
Citigroup rates Voltas as ‘sell/medium risk’ with a target price of Rs 121.
Refinery sector faces crunch18 Aug, 2008, 0553 hrs IST, Ramkrishna Kashelkar
The slowing demand for petro products globally and a glut in upcoming refining capacity in the country do not bode well for the refinery sector.
Investment philosophy;stocks to buy and hold on 18 Aug, 2008, 0537 hrs IST
ETIG dug deep into the past five years’ data and ferreted out stocks, which although cheap, are best avoided.
Comparison of two FMCG majors; HUL & ITC 18 Aug, 2008, 0517 hrs IST, Kiran Kabtta
ETIG presents comparison between two FMCG majors, HUL and ITC.
Tulip keen on improving in highmargin biz 18 Aug, 2008, 0456 hrs IST, ranjit shinde
Tulip Telecom continues to look attractive at current valuations, given its future growth prospects.
Insecticides is a good long-term bet 18 Aug, 2008, 0450 hrs IST, Amit Jain
Insecticides India is a good long-term bet, as it promises strong topline & profits and has limited downside risks.
Elder Pharma an attractive pick for investors 18 Aug, 2008, 0442 hrs IST, Kiran Kabtta
Robust healthcare sector has accelerated growth of FMHG in India and Elder Pharma, which has an eclectic bunch of offerings, is cashing in on good times.
Economic slowdown hits profitability of domestic banks 18 Aug, 2008, 0432 hrs IST, karan sehgal
The current economic slowdown has hit profitability of domestic banks. In such a challenging scenario,Axis Bank, HDFC Bank & Bank of India are the safest bets.
Global sugar supplies to tighten 18 Aug, 2008, 0407 hrs IST
World is sitting on huge stockpile of sugar, but global supply outlook will tighten into next year due to rain-induced crop problems in Brazil and falling output in India, auguring for higher prices.
The twin trap; Market currently under-prepared or under-hedged! 18 Aug, 2008, 0336 hrs IST, Shakit Patra
Last week, Nifty posted its first weekly loss after five consecutive weeks of gains, rise in volatility that should have ideally accompanied it didn’t materialise.
Source:Economic Times.
17 August 2008
Venture Capital, Pvt equity updates
KKR Eyes Indian Infrastructure Sector; Current Equity Value $463M
RIL Partners With Vornado For $500-M Real Estate Investment Firm
SEBI Reduces Rights Issue Timelines To 43 Days; QIP Pricing Norms Relaxed
TrueBridge Capital To Invest 25% Of $310-M Fund in India and China
Gopinath Ties Up With GMR For Cargo Hubs In Delhi, Hyderabad Airports
Fortis HealthWorld Acquires Pharma Retail Chain CRS Health
Famy Care Plans To Dilute 15% Stake; In Talks With Mylan, PE Funds
Baring Asia To Pick Up 40% RSP Architects For $100 Million
HarbourVest Raises $1Bn For Its $3Bn Non-US Fund; To Invest $500M In Asia
Tata Capital In Tie Up With Mitsubishi UFJ Securities For I-Banking, Equity Offerings
Indian Angel Network Invests In Legal Outsourcing Firm TechLit
DE Shaw To Increase Stake In Regional Media Group Amar Ujala
56 Hedge Funds Register In July; Stephen Mandel, Samir Arora Among Them
Auto Componet Maker Federal-Mogul To Acquire 51% Stake In Perfect Circle
Tata Capital To Sign Pact With Japan’s Mitsubishi Securities
Greater Pacific To Pick Up 38% In Outsourcing Co Azure For $33 Million
Tesco Finally Gets Indian Partner, Tata’s Trent
Oman Investment Fund, Others Invest $185M In Quippo Telecom
Russell Investments To Increase Exposure To Indian Real Estate
Credit Suisse PE Invests $100 Million In Hydrabad’s Indu Projects
Helion Ventures Invests $4 Million In HummingBird Suites
Australia’s IPGA Buys Into Real Estate Portal RealAcres.com
News Roundup: Pharma Co Bags $35M UNICEF Order, RPG Big On Telecom Towers
-------------------------------------------
IndiaPE.com
Infrastructure is still in for India-specific funds
VCFs may get RBI nod
PEs eye standalone regional hospitals
DFJ to fund education company
SeedFund invested $1 million in Lifeblob
Credit Suisse to invest $113m in Indu Projects
KIMS to raise PE funding for expansion
CMAI arranges $100 mn fund for ecofriendly ICT R&D
Fortis Healthworld acquired CRS Health
HTMT chalks out $100 mn for foreign acquisitions
July was the worst month for M&A this year
Baring to buy 40 pc in RSP Architects
Famy Care may sell 15% to PE funds
GPC to buy 38% in Azure
Credit Suisse invests $100m in Indu Projects
Source: Above sites.
A must watch article: Top 100 Tools for Learning
TOP TOOLS
Top 100 Tools for Learning 2008Updated: 16/08/2008
The list is compiled from the contributions of 191 learning professionals (from both education and workplace learning) who shared their Top 10 Tools for Learning both for their own personal learning/ productivity and for creating learning solutions for others. [See the individual contributions here]
THIS LIST IS CONSTANTLY BEING REVISED AS WE RECEIVE NEW OR UPDATED CONTRIBUTIONS.
TOP 20Key to availability: D=download; H=hosted; C=insert code onto page
http://c4lpt.co.uk/recommended/top100.html
Some of them are listed below:
For more: http://c4lpt.co.uk/recommended/top100.html
Other related: http://c4lpt.co.uk/recommended/analysis.html
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DIRECTORY OF LEARNING TOOLS
This Directory contains over 2,400 tools for learning in two main sections:
for creating, delivering and managing learning and performance support solutions
for managing your own learning and productivity, for sharing resources, as well as group collaboration (also includes some enterprise tools)
The tools in this Directory are both freeware/open source and commercial.
Our recommended E-Learning hosting service
Visit: http://c4lpt.co.uk/Directory/
Source: C4lpt.co.uk.
Index Outlook, Stock Analysis: BusinessLine
DERIVATIVES MARKETS: Nifty may move in narrow band
Sensex (14724.2)
The markets could not revel in plunging commodity prices for long as the spectre of slowing economic growth manifested itself once more in industrial production and in the economic outlook of the economic advisory council. Rate-sensitive stocks that had begun a merry rally were hammered down once more as investors rushed to lock in their gains.
It was another dull week and the Sensex eased lower after the peak at 15580 on Tuesday. Volumes were low as traders took time off to enjoy the long weekend. Open interest continues to be high, though reduction in Nifty put call ratio implies that short positions are being squared up during declines.
The exhaustion gap formed on Monday was closed in the subsequent session heralding the commencement of a down trend. A 3-wave move has been completed from the trough at 12514 formed on July 16. The dark-cloud pattern in the weekly candlestick chart along with the downward reversal from key level, in the weekly relative strength index, denotes that the medium term up trend from the July trough has ended last week.
But this could be just one part of the corrective up-move in the bear phase from 21206. As explained last week, there are numerous ways in which the rest of this correction can shape. The movement of the Sensex over the next two weeks would help form a better picture of the road ahead. Here are a couple of pointers to the way the index can move in the near term and its implications,
A decline to the zone between 14365 (50-day moving average) and 14420 appears imminent in the near term. A reversal from here would have bullish connotations for the medium term and would signal an impending move towards 17000.
The medium-term outlook will turn neutral on a penetration of 14360. The subsequent supports are at 13700 and then 12514. Such a decline would imply that the correction could result in the index vacillating between 12500 and 15500 for a few more months.
Our outlook for the week ahead is ambivalent, neither negative nor positive. Resistances for the week ahead would be at 15250 and then 15580. Failure to surpass the first resistance would drag the index lower to 14425 or 14063. Fresh trading longs should be avoided below 14425.
Nifty (4430.7)
The Nifty reversed from an intra week peak at 4650 last week. The medium term up-move from 3816 appears to have been completed last week and a decline towards 4300 is possible in the near term. If this level is penetrated, the next support is at 4120. The medium term outlook will turn negative only on a decline below this level.
Conversely an upward reversal from 4300 will underline the bullishness for the near term and pave the way for a rally to 5050. Resistances for the week would be at 4560 and then 4650.Failure to rally beyond the first resistance would be provide a shorting opportunity to traders.
Global Cues
Dow Jones Industrial Average reversed lower from 11867 on Monday. But the near term outlook for the index will stay positive as long as it holds above 11230.
After crude oil, it was the turn of gold to hold everyone spell bound, with the awesome 7 per cent decline last week. The selling cascaded once the key support at $850 was breached on Monday. The metal appears to have commenced a long-term correction of the entire bull market since 2001. The immediate supports on the long-term charts are at $780 and then $730. Investors can watch for a long-term trough around $730. —Lokeshwarri S. K.
Other analysis:
STOCKS: Kalindee Rail Nirman Engineers: BuyInvestments with a two-year perspective can be considered in the stock of Kalindee Rail Nirman Engineers, which is engaged in the business of signalling, telecommunications, gauge conversion and track-laying for the Indian Railways. A direct ...
STOCKS: HDFC Bank: HoldInvestors with a one-year horizon can hold on to the HDFC Bank stock. Though the bank has sound financials, concerns about rising interest rates, higher cost of funds and compressing spreads have cut down valuations for banking stocks. ...
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS: Query Corner: What the charts sayI bought Hexaware Tech at Rs 125 and Graphite India at Rs 56. Kindly let me know the medium and long-term prospects of these stocks. Can I average Hexaware at current ...
STOCKS: Ranbaxy - Open Offer: AcceptShareholders of Ranbaxy may use Daiichi Sankyo’s open offer (slated to begin from August 16) to book profits on the stock as the offer price is attractive. Japanese innovator drug company Daiichi Sankyo, in June this year, agreed to buy ...
STOCK MARKETS: Bull's EyeE-mail your response by Tuesday to:
STOCK MARKETS: Baskets of X
E-mail your guess before Tuesday to:BasketsofX@gmail.com ...
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS:
Tata Steel / SBI / Reliance / Infosys / Unitech / Reliance Infra
STOCKS: Monsanto India: BuyInvestors with a two-three year horizon can buy the stock of Monsanto India, a leading producer and marketer of agricultural ...
MUTUAL FUNDS: Reliance Equity: Hold
MUTUAL FUNDS: Kotak Opportunities: Invest
MUTUAL FUNDS: Fund Talk
MUTUAL FUNDS: Update
Source: BusinessLine
16 August 2008
Hot Careers
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12 August 2008 - Research Analyst A Growing Global Asset Management Company
11 August 2008 - VP - Credit Card Collections One of the Leading Captive BPOs
11 August 2008 - Economist Fortune 100 Investment Company
11 August 2008 - Relationship Manager A Leading MNC Bank
11 August 2008 - CFO One of the Largest NBFC / AMC in India
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Operations Management/ SCM; Transition/ Operations (BPO/KPO); Operations (Banking)
13 August 2008 - Program Manager - Datacenter One of the Top 3 Companies in the Domestic IT Market
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More @ www.Coolavenues.com
From Rediff
• Interested in Japanese Mgmt?• Are you a budding ad-man?
• NITTTR's MTech, ME degrees• Lucknow Univ's MBA courses
• PhD in Management from LIBA• Calcutta Univ's mgmt courses
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Source: Rediff,Coolavenues.com