09 December 2010

Intermediate Uptrend ONLY (NiftyFUT) above 5981

Intraday F&O calls






Technical calls for intra-day 




Nifty hourly futures update for 9th Dec 2010





F&O Event Tracker








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Heard on the Street




MFs woo distributors with higher payouts

Small AMCs are competing with their large counterparts to lure distributors to sell their schemes. According to an industry source, small and midsized fund houses, which are striving to build an equity asset base, are promising higher commissions to distributors. ‘Satyam Sivam Sundaram Mutual Fund’ and ‘Priceless Mutual Fund’ are offering commission in excess of 1.5% to select distributors, who are selling their funds and new fund offers. This is in addition to the trail fees paid by the asset managers to distributors.

More mid-cap stocks face selling pressure

Investors dumped shares of companies, where market operator Vimal Rathod is rumoured to be active on Wednesday. The news about Intelligence Bureau suspecting him of rigging stock prices of Ruchi Soya, KS Oils, Karuturi Global and IRB Infra triggered the fall. Company shares, named by the intelligence agency, fell 9-27% on Wednesday. Shares of Sujana Towers , Hanung Toys and Neha International also fell to their lowest permissible trading limit on speculation Rathod has been active in these stocks. These stocks, however, were not named by the Intelligence Bureau.

Operators try to boost sentiment after scam

Operators have been trying to boost sentiment in shares of Hindustan Construction Company (HCC) after the company was named in the ‘bribes-for-loan’ scam. Operators have been sending bulk emails and text messages to restart interest in the stock. The email recommends investors to buy the stock, as it is being accumulated by “strong hands”. The operator group expects the stock to touch Rs 400 in a few years’ time. Analysts tracking the company, however, have a different story to tell. “The company is bound tight in legal tangles; we’ll have to wait for the court’s decision on Lavasa, which is expected on December 16. The company’s revenues have not grown over the past two years,” said an analyst tracking the company. Shares of HCC fell 3% to Rs 44.40 on Wednesday.

(Contributed by Nishanth Vasudevan & Shailesh Menon)
 
 
 
Src: ET, Myiris, Mktcalls etc 

08 December 2010

Nifty Future Break Down ONLY Below 5955-5940





Technical Charts – GAIL / Oswal Chemicals

 

 

07-DEC-10 19:20:57



Unitech-07-Dec-2010

 

Line of HOPE

 

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Heard on the Street: Hexaware, UFlex 



Hexaware gains 14% as FIIs lap up shares

Shares of Hexaware Technologies surged 14% to Rs 100.10, sup-ported by 29 times its 2-week average traded volumes. The buzz is that foreign institutional investor “Kala Patthar” bought a sizeable chunk of the stock. Brokers said institutional investors have been ac-cumulating shares of mid-sized software companies over the past few trading sessions. The company’s second quarter results exceeded Street expectations, with revenues expanding 20% to Rs 112.39 crore.

Institutions reduce exposure to UFlex

Institutional investors trimmed exposure to shares of packaging firm UFlex on Tuesday, after the CBI special court sentenced its CMD Ashok Chaturvedi to a four-year imprisonment in connection with the Noida land scam. The stock was frozen at a lower circuit of 20% at Rs 194.95. Dealers said “Ellora” Capital and a domestic broking firm founded by a former BSE president were heavy sellers in the stock. Both firms had a “buy” recommendation on the stock. The stock has rallied after its September quarter results exceeded market expectations. The net profit for the company more than trebled to Rs 79.29 crore while revenues rose by 16% to Rs 568.10 crore, according to the company’s filing on the BSE. However, in the past few weeks, investors have booked profits on worries about the rise in Chinese imports.

 

 

 

Src: ET, Bramesh blog, Nooreshtech, Myiris, NCP blog

06 December 2010

Technicals Frm Various Blog/Webs











State of Global Markets

 

 

Well Defined Resistance

 

Nifty Daily Analysis 

Src: NCP blog, SOM blog, Bramesh blog, MKtcalls etc

 

Market , Stock Reports for the Week












TECHNICAL ANALYSIS: Index Snapshot: Sensex pauses at 20K resistance
The Sensex did a volte-face from around 19,000 last week and rocketed 830 points to end the week 4.3 per cent higher. While the bellwether rallied, surpassing resistances at 19,502 and 19,776, it started losing its momentum on Thursday ...


STOCKS: Yes Bank: Buy
Investors with a two-three year horizon can consider fresh exposure to the stock of Yes Bank. With a gain of 23.2 per cent, the bank has underperformed BSE Bankex over the last ...



STOCKS: Polaris Software Labs: Buy
Investors with a two-year horizon can buy the shares of Polaris Softwar
e Labs (Polaris), a company catering to the ...



STOCKS: Consolidated Construction Consortium: Book Profits
Slowing growth, prolonged working-capital cycles, margin pressure and delays in projects suggest a tepid few quarters ahead of construction contractor, Consolidated ...

  Investors building a portfolio of funds can consider adding HDFC Equity to their ...




Investors can retain their units in Kotak-30 Fund, based on its five-year performance. The fund's three-year performance record, however, slipped when compared with peers. Lack of flexibility in entering stocks that offered opportunities, ... 





TECHNICAL ANALYSIS: Pivotals: Reliance Industries (Rs 1,006.4)
The stock rebounded from Rs 960 last week by gaining 4.5 per cent. If the stock stays above Rs 996, it could head higher to Rs 1,035 (200-day moving average) and then Rs 1,050 in the days ahead. Short-term traders should tread with caution as ...




TECHNICAL ANALYSIS: Sizzling stocks: BGR Energy Systems (Rs 746.7)
BGR Energy Systems recouped its 20 per cent tumble during the last week of November by skyrocketing 30 per cent last week. This up move has been accompanied with extra-ordinary weekly volume. The stock is currently facing significant ...




TECHNICAL ANALYSIS: Covered call on Nifty
Index Strategy. CNX Nifty's successful bounce back from the lows seen in the previous week does bring in a sense of confidence. However, traders may do well to rein in their enthusiasm till such time the bellwether breaks past 6,070, its ... 





 Src: MYiris, Businessline

28 November 2010

Market Reports




TECHNICAL ANALYSIS: Index Outlook: Market's fate hanging in balance
 Irrationality was to the fore once again last week, this time sending stocks spinning down a deep chasm. Any stock with a real-estate and banking tag or remotely connected with the so called ‘loans for bribes' scam was battered out ...


IPOS:
MOIL India — IPO: Invest at cut-off
Investors could consider applying to the IPO of Indian manganese producer MOIL India, which appears attractively priced given its quality ore reserves, low operating costs and booming domestic market. At the higher end of the offer price ... 




PUBLIC OFFER:
The Shipping Corporation of India – FPO: Invest
Investors with a long-term perspective of at least two-three years can consider applying at cut off in the follow-on public offer (FPO) of The Shipping Corporation of India (SCI), the country's largest shipper (35 per cent share) in terms ... 



STOCKS:
Everest Kanto Cylinder: Buy
Investors can consider phased exposure to the stock of Everest Kanto Cylinder, a high pressure cylinder manufacturer. At the current price of 97, the stock trades at 11 times its expected consolidated per share earnings for FY-12. The jum


TECHNICAL ANALYSIS: Query Corner — Aurobindo Pharma reversing from life-time high
Could you please outline the medium and long-term outlook of Indian Overseas Bank? ... 



TECHNICAL ANALYSIS: Pivotals: Reliance Industries (Rs 962.5)
RIL declined 3.4 per cent last week, continuing its short-term downtrend. In line with our expectation, it has slipped below an important support level of Rs 990 and is heading towards our initial price target of Rs 950, which is ...



TECHNICAL ANALYSIS: Sizzling stocks: LIC Housing Finance (Rs 932.1)
LIC Housing Finance that was at the eye of the ongoing scam plunged 28 per cent last week. Moreover, it has plunged 30 per cent so far in November. The stock's long-term up trendline that was in tact since March 2009 low of Rs 178, ...



TECHNICAL ANALYSIS: Consider shorting PowerGrid, IDFC
The outlook for PowerGrid has turned negative. As long as PowerGrid rules below Rs 109, it would face stiff resistance. The stock finds an immediate resistance at Rs 103 and support at Rs 95. A close below Rs 95 could weaken it to Rs 84 ... 



 Sizzling stocks: LIC Housing Finance (Rs 932.1)



LIC Housing Finance that was at the eye of the ongoing scam plunged 28 per cent last week. Moreover, it has plunged 30 per cent so far in November. The stock's long-term up trendline that was in tact since March 2009 low of Rs 178, was decisively broken last week. After recording an all-time high of Rs 1,496 on September 29, the stock changed direction triggered by negative divergence displayed in the daily relative strength index. Since then, it has been on a medium-term downtrend.

While declining, it breached a key support at Rs 1,300 by tumbling 18 per cent on November 24 with good volume. The stock is hovering well below its 50 and 200-day moving averages. It is, however, trading just above significant long-term support level at Rs 900. 
The daily indicators have entered oversold territories and the stock is hovering well below the lower boundary of Bollinger Bands implying oversold state, a minor corrective rally is possible up to Rs 1,000 or Rs 1,060 in the near-term.
Key resistance above Rs 1,060 is at 1,200. Strong move above Rs 1,250 is required to mitigate the downtrend. Conclusive weekly close below Rs 900 will pull the stock lower to Rs 800 and then to Rs 700 in the medium-term.  


HCC (Rs 40.1) 
The Hindustan Construction Company stock too collapsed last week, declining 29 per cent. From January 2010 peak of Rs 81, the stock has been on an intermediate-term downtrend, which accelerated last week. It broke through the long-term support at Rs 50 in the previous week and is hovering well below its 200 and 50-day moving averages. However, the stock is currently testing its longer-term key support around Rs 40. Strong breakthrough of this support will drag the stock down to its immediate support at Rs 35 and next at Rs 20 in the medium-term. A rebound from the support can be a corrective up move and lift the stock higher to Rs 45 and then Rs 50. As long as it trades below Rs 67, the intermediate-term downtrend remains in place. — Yoganand D.




















Src: Myiris, NCP blog, Businessline and etc