28 December 2009

Technicals and Stock Reports

Positive closing for 2009

he market bounced with a strong volume expansion to establish a new 52-week high on X-mas Eve. The Nifty closed at 5,178.4 points for a week-on-week gain of 3.82 per cent. The Sensex closed at 17,360 points for exactly the same gains. The Defty was up 4.15 per cent as the rupee rose.

Volumes expanded and breadth improved dramatically in the last two sessions. At the end of the week, every major market segment had established gains. The Bank Nifty outran the pivotal indices and the BSE 500 was up by 3.4 per cent. Both FIIs and domestic institutions were net buyers. Operator buying was also in evidence.

Outlook: The market could test 5,300 on the upside, going into the December settlement. On the downside, reactions will find support at 4,950-5,050. Volatility is likely to be up. There could be a couple of action-packed sessions since next week is also truncated. Most signals are positive.

Rationale: The market penetrated key resistance at 5,180, hitting a new high of 5,198. Although this could not be sustained, it confirms all three trends – short-term, intermediate and long, - are up. Breadth and volume expansion on the breakout are positives. There is a target of around 5,300. However, there may be a narrowing in trading with a focus on the larger F&O stocks.

Counter-view: It is possible that this week saw a lot of short-covering and exits. In that case, settlement week could see net losses and lower volumes than normal. However, there is solid support at 5,050-5,075 and again, between 4,950 and 5,050. Since all three trends are in bullish phase, a big correction is unlikely.

Bulls & Bears: The week ended with net gains across most indices and industry sectors. The Bank Nifty outperformed after several weeks. Other financials and the realty segment also saw net gains. Though this up move in interest-sensitive stocks looks like a technical correction, it could continue. Axis Bank, Bank of Baroda, Yes Bank, IDFC and HDIL may outperform.

The auto industry received a lot of bullish investment calls. Tata Motors has looked strong for weeks but in the past two or three sessions, we also saw money coming into Bajaj Auto, Hero Honda and Mahindra. While IT and pharma also delivered net gains, there was a pattern of profit booking towards the end of the week. The rupee hardening also suggests that IT may ease down or at least, underperform next week. However, big guns like TCS and Educomp still look bullish.

Pharma-healthcare saw Dr Reddy’s, Fortis and Glenmark delivering good returns last week, but money seems to be moving out of here into more aggressively traded counters. Apart from these, a host of movers attracted attention for stock specific reasons. These included Great Offshore, Nilkamal, Maytas Infra, Nagarjuna Construction, etc.

MICRO TECHNICALS

TCS
Current Price: Rs 749 Target Price: Rs 765


Since March 2009, TCS has risen along a 45 degree trendline (split-adjusted prices) and this pattern holds at a new high. Keep a stop at Rs 740 and go long. A long-term target cannot be calculated. But, if the trendline is maintained, TCS should hit Rs 765 by settlement (December 31).

NTPC
Current Price: Rs 229.95 Target Price: Rs 250


The stock has made a breakout on strong volumes and is testing resistance at the current levels. If it can close above Rs 232, it could have a target of around Rs 250. Keep a stop at Rs 225 and go long. Add to the position above Rs 232.

HCC
Current Price: Rs 151 Target Price: Rs 157


HCC has hit a new 2009 high on strong volumes. The chart pattern suggests a target in the range of Rs 157-160. Keep a stop at Rs 145 and go long. Start booking profits above Rs 157. If you wish to hold a position beyond Rs 160, reset the stop loss to Rs 155.

GUJARAT NRE COKE
Current Price: Rs 78 Target Price: Rs 90


The stock has jumped on a strong volume expansion. It has resistance between current levels and Rs 80. If it closes above Rs 80, it will have a target of around Rs 90. Keep a stop at Rs 74 and go long. Increase the position above Rs 80 and reset the stop to Rs 79.

STERLITE INDUSTRIES
Current Price: Rs 860.45 Target Price: Rs 895


The stock has finished a reaction and is consolidating. There is serious resistance at current levels but if it crosses Rs 870, it will test Rs 900. Keep a stop loss at Rs 850 and go long. Add to the position above Rs 870 and reset the stop to Rs 865. Book profits beyond Rs 895

******************************************
Expect moderate returns in 28-DEC-09
After the astonishing performance in 2009, which has helped Indian stock markets emerge among the best performing markets globally with year-to-date returns of almost 80 per cent, the year 2010 could prove to be a disappointment.
Smart Portfolios shine in holiday week 28-DEC-09
The Smart Portfolios registered healthy gains last week in line with a pull back in the broader markets.
Markets at a glance 28-DEC-09
The markets began on a weak note with the BSE Sensex closing at its six-week low on Monday.
The probability myth 28-DEC-09
Do you know how many times you use “Probably” in a day?
Bullish sentiment with rising volatility 28-DEC-09
The market made a breakout that propelled it to new highs.
Positive closing for 2009 28-DEC-09
The market bounced with a strong volume expansion to establish a new 52-week high on X-mas Eve.
What analysts expect in 2010 28-DEC-09
After a stellar performance in 2009, the Indian stock market is set to move higher in 2010 believe most research houses and brokerages.
'Commodities are pricey at this point in time' 28-DEC-09
After last year’s sharp run up in commodity prices, Jim Rogers, the legendary commodities investor, is not bullish on most of the commodities at this point in time.
'Focus on few stocks' 28-DEC-09
Given the near 80 per cent returns the BSE Sensex has delivered since the beginning of 2009, it is quite likely that the current year’s performance would turn out to be the third best in almost three decades.


******************************************

Analysts picks: Infosys, Hindustan Zinc, Tata Steel, Jet Airways, Adani Enterprises

Derivatives Diary: Nifty appears to be following DJIA again

Experts debate on how mkts will pan out in 2010


Src: Economictimes, Business-Standard and etc

27 December 2009

Unitech, Aban Offshore gainers of decade; Stock reports

Unitech, Aban Offshore gainers of decade

NEW DELHI: Who would have guessed this day 10 years back, when the dotcom mania was in full swing, that a builder of apartments from New Delhi

and an iron ore miner in Goa would be the best performers among the BSE 500 index in a decade. There may be such surprises in the next decade too.


The top-10 gainers of the BSE 500 index this decade come from a wide range of sectors such as oil, real estate, mining, textile, steel, coal, finance and construction, even as the then fancied technology, pharma and fast-moving consumer goods (FMCG) fell by way side when the dotcom bubble burst, a SundayET analysis shows. The index represents 20 main industries and accounts for almost 93% of the total market capitalisation.

“It shows that our economy over the last decade has become more inclusive and growth has indeed percolated to a larger bouquet of industries,” says ICICI Securities executive director Anup Bagchi.


Also Read
Wealth managers miss Sensex by a wide margin
Check out Mutual Funds that outperformed Sensex over 5 years
Sensex set for slower rise in 2010
BSE Sensex posts worst weekly fall since end Oct
BSE Sensex posts worst weekly fall since end Oct
Sensex will be in 20k range in Dec 2010: Sandeep Bhatia


“Proactive government policies have in particular opened up sectors easing funding regulations for capital expenditure.” Unitech, which was trading at about 34 paise, adjusted for splits and bonuses, in 2000, emerged at the top. Its shares ended at Rs 82 Thursday, which is nearly 240 times the price it was in the beginning of the decade, according to data from Centre for Monitoring Indian Economy (CMIE).

A Rs 100 investment in it then translates into Rs 24,000. But that is statistic. Of course, the shares are down from their peak of Rs 538.25 in January 2008.

Then there are five companies, which currently trade at over 100 times their stock price in early 2000. Oil drilling firm Aban Offshore (166 times), construction company Era Infra Engineering (152 times), India’s largest iron ore exporter Sesa Goa (134 times), coal producer Gujarat NRE Coke (106 times) and ferro alloys manufacturer Nava Bharat Ventures (103 times).

The performance shows that what may be a fad at one time, may fade and that a focused sectoral investment could adversely affect the returns. “It highlights stocks with rich valuations. One will be better off to invest in stocks which offer decent prospects and are undervalued though they may not necessarily be in favour right now,” says Shrikant Shetty, head of equity advisory at Delhi-based Unicon Securities.

The other top performers are garment manufacturer Phoenix Mills (98 times), Mumbai-based diversified firm Jai Corp (95 times), equipment manufacturer Nesco (92 times), and truck financier Shriram Transport Finance Company (66 times). As a sector, it was technology with them being half of the 10 big losers, the study shows. Aftek, NIIT, Hexaware Technologies, Polaris Software Lab and Mastek, topped the list of laggards.

“The financial performance of this sector was decent during the current decade. It was the expectations of obscene growth rates which has had made valuations dropping,” says Shetty.

Novartis India, Cals Refineries, BSEL Infrastructure Realty and Himachal Futuristic Communications lost more than 70% of their valuations during the period, the study shows. But technology as a sector may not be a bad investment proposition given that their valuations have fallen substantially from their peaks.

*****************************************

5 investment places you can put your money

Goldman to pick up 9.4% stake in Max India for Rs 540 crore

China: Second largest economy in 2010?

Check out the potential sectors investors need to track in 2010

Check out the deals & deeds that shaped 2009

******************************************
MFs that outperformed Sensex over 5 years

During last one year alone, value funds like ICICI Prudential Discovery, Tata Equity PE, Templeton India Growth and UTI Master Value have delivered over 100% returns, beating the market returns of about 65%-70 % and the 82% average returns posted by the category of diversified equity schemes.

Even over the period, as long as five years, these funds have comfortably beaten the market.

Click here to get full info about your Mutual Fund

Check out Mutual Funds that outperformed Sensex over 5 years



Mutual Fund Scheme: ICICI Prudential Discovery

CLICK HERE FOR MORE INFO on Investment details, return, Risk and full portfolio

Date of Launch: July, 2004

AUM (Rs crore): 502.1

*Absolute Returns(%):

1 Year: 131.7

3 Years: 46.6

5 Years: 221.4

*Returns as on December 16 2009


more @ http://economictimes.indiatimes.com/quickiearticleshow/5360536.cms


*****************************************

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS: Index Outlook: 2009 bows out in style
Indian stocks remained in a glum state in the first two sessions of last week despite the festive cheer brimming over in rest of the global equity markets. But they did a volte-face on Wednesday and Sensex ricocheted 540 points higher. ...


STOCKS: Container Corporation: Hold
Shareholders with a long-term perspective can remain invested in the stock of Container Corporation of India (Concor) which, by far, is the most dominant multi-modal logistics player in ...

STOCKS: Jaiprakash Power Ventures (formerly Jaiprakash Hydro Power): Hold
Investors with high-risk appetite and long-term investment horizon should hold on to the Jaiprakash Power Ventures (JPVL, until recently named Jaiprakash Hydro ...

STOCKS: Firstsource Solutions: Hold
Investors can retain their share holdings in Firstsource Solutions, a BPO player, considering the company's healthy vertical and geographic mix, the revival in the deal momentum and benefits that accrue from macro trends such as ...

DERIVATIVES MARKETS: Stock Strategy: Go long on NTPC Jan futures
NTPC (232): NTPC was on a roll last week. After moving in a narrow band for quite some time, the stock vigorously pierced the resistance level at 215 and entered the bull zone. It now appears that the stock is heading for its next ...


TECHNICAL ANALYSIS: Query Corner: Jai Corp continues in a long-term down trend
I am holding Educomp Solutions and Satyam Computer purchased at higher levels. Please let me know the short and long-term prospects for these stocks. ...

*****************************************

Which Real Estate stock has the best chart?


Why Morgan Stanley is bearish on Infosys stock?



Two Interesting Bulk Deals


*****************************************

Canara Bank


Mahindra Satyam


Rolta


KS Oils


Reliance Industries, India Energy


Indraprastha Gas


Weekly Watch - Dec 26 2009


Patel Engineering


Mphasis


Essar Oil


Bharti Airtel


****************************************

Src: Economictimes, DP Blog, Businessline, SM Blog and etc

25 December 2009

ET - Year Ender 2009

http://economictimes.indiatimes.com/yearender.cms


Year End Special From Economictimes.indiatimes



The journey of Rakesh Jhunjhunwala

23 Oct 2009, 0800 hrs IST,ET Now

ET Now Exclusive: Who dosen't want to be a millionaire? Find out how Rakesh Jhunjhunwala made his millions. Familyman | Watch Video | Sensex could touch 19K soon



Sensex to test 21K in year's time: Cazenove Capital




For investors, that was easy. Now comes 2010

17 Dec 2009, 1552 hrs IST,REUTERS

Tight 2009 correlations are already breaking down, leaving investors to work a bit harder for their buck. Five facts about rising world equities | Five facts on stock falls



2010 Investment Outlook: Go global


Ratan Tata: Time to shake off traumatic '09

19 Dec 2009, 1245 hrs IST,

Be it the aftermaths of the terror and fire at the iconic Hotel Taj Mahal or the news about burning Nanos and low floor buses, Rs 500 crore going awash in Singur or the teething troubles with JLR and Corus acquisitions – 2009 is a year that Ratan Tata will bid goodbye with a sigh, though berift of relief.


********************************************












More @ http://economictimes.indiatimes.com/yearender.cms

24 December 2009

Nifty ends at new 2009 high; commodities, rate sensitives up

Nifty ends at new 2009 high; commodities, rate sensitives up

uying in oil & gas and rate sensitive shares propelled the Nifty to close at new 2009 high of 5,178.40. It was just shy of the 5,200 mark and touched an intraday high of 5,197.90. The benchmark indices continued their upmove for the second consecutive day and closed higher for the day as well as for this week.

Asian markets helped the markets to start the day on a positive note, following Wednesday's 539 points rally on the Sensex. But after first half an hour of trade, indices turned volatile. In the last couple of hours, the markets gained strength again on the back of buying in shares of commodities and rate sensitives related companies.

The 30-share BSE Sensex closed at 17,360.61, up 129.50 points or 0.75% and the 50-share NSE Nifty went up 0.66% or 33.80 points, to settle at 5,178.40. The broader indices gained 3.8% this week.




Positive global cues were quite supportive today. European markets and the US index futures were marginally positive, at the time of closing of Indian equities. Asian markets closed higher; Shanghai rallied 2.6% and outperformed the other global indices. Nikkei rose 1.5%. Hang Seng, Kospi and Taiwan were up 0.8-1.3%. Straits Times was flat.

Index

Closing Value

Chg (%)

AUTO 7,356.81 1.5
METAL 17,333.73 1.42
OIL&GAS 10,418.23 0.9
REALTY 3,854.04 0.8
POWER 3,133.42 0.78
MIDCAP 6,641.14 0.72
FMCG 2,824.39 0.66
CAP GOODs 14,017.08 0.62
SMALLCAP 8,120.71 0.6
BANKEX 9,968.03 0.5
IT 5,175.46 0.33
PHARMA 5,109.94 0.03
The Indian markets will be closed for trade during December 25-28, 2009, on the back of Christmas and Moharam.

Oil & gas were leading sector; ONGC rose 1.62%. Reliance Industries, Cairn India, GAIL and BPCL were up 0.34-0.87%.

Banking and financials also supported the indices; HDFC Bank was up 1.23%. Bank of Baroda, PNB, SBI, HDFC and Axis Bank gained 0.4-0.7%. ICICI Bank rose 0.15%.

Tata Motors was the top gainer today. The CNBC-TV18 learns that India's largest automobile company has decided to settle Singur compensation issue with the vendors. The company will compensate 75-80% of vendors’ Singur loss. “It has asked vendors to take bank loan of 80-85% Singur loss, which would be repaid by the company,” sources inform, adding Tata Motors will repay principal and interest on vendors’ loan. Almost 80% of the vendors have signed the compensation pact with the company and the remaining 20% will sign it in January 2010.

Other news based stocks were ITI and Jet Airways, which gained 11.2% and 2%, respectively. CCEA (Cabinet Committee on Economic Affairs) has approved extending ITI's 30% quota in BSNL, MTNL orders. Government said telecom department was preparing revival package for ITI and ITI would get 70% advance payment for BSNL, MTNL orders. Cabinet panel has also approved Jet Airways plan for USD 400 million QIP.

23 December 2009

Sensex surges 500 pts; RIL, Infy, NTPC, ICICI Bk, ONGC lead

Sensex surges 500 pts; RIL, Infy, NTPC, ICICI Bk, ONGC lead


At 14:25 hours IST, relentless buying across all the sectors was pushing the Sensex higher and higher. It gained 500 points while the Nifty surged 150 points. Among the sectors, the BSE Metal, Oil & Gas, Power, IT, Realty, Capital Goods and Bank indices were up 2.5-3.3%. TECk, Auto and FMCG indices went up 1.7-2.3%.

Finance Minister's strong statement on GDP growth and positive global cues were supportive to the benchmark indices. Finance Minister Pranab Mukerjee said India could clock as much as 9–10% gross domestic product (GDP) growth in two-three years and FY10 growth could reach 7.75%.

On the global front, European markets were trading 0.7% higher. Asian markets ended with good gains. Shanghai was up 0.76% and Hang Seng up 1.12%. Straits Times, Kospi and Taiwan Weighted gained 0.35-0.6%.




The 50-share NSE Nifty was trading at 5,123, up 134 points and the Sensex gained 457 points at 17,149. These indices hit an intraday high of 5,135.05 and 17,191.85, respectively.

Top gainers - Hindalco shot up 9% and NTPC surged 6%. Sterlite Industries, Reliance Industries and ICICI Bank 3.5-4.5%. Infosys, L&T, M&M, Tata Steel, HDFC Bank, DLF, HDFC, Tata Motors, Jaiprakash Associates and ITC were up 2.5-3.5%.

Top gainers on the BSE Midcap - Emami, Gujarat NRE Coke, Great Offshore, Sunteck Realty and Sobha Developer went up 5-7.8%.

Top losers on the BSE Midcap - Kalpataru Power, Opto Circuits, Bayer Cropscience, Mahindra Holiday and Corporation Bank fell 1-1.6%.

Top gainers on the BSE Smallcap - AP Paper Mills was locked at 20% upper circuit; JSW Holdings, Adhunik Metalik, Action Construction and Jolly Boards gained 10-15%.

Top losers on the BSE Smallcap - Zandu Pharma lost 14.16%. GMR Industries, Aegis Logistics, NESCO and PVP Ventures declined 3.5-5%.


At 13:12 hours IST, the Sensex was strong in trade with gains of more than 400 points and was consistently holding the 17,000 mark. The 50-share NSE Nifty was also holding the 5,100 level. Both the indices were trading above these levels for the first time in the last six sessions. Further upmove in Asian markets and positive comments from Finance Minister about GDP (gross domestic product) growth helped the markets.

India can clock as much as 9–10% gross domestic product (GDP) growth in two-three years, Finance Minister Pranab Mukerjee has said. Speaking at an event, an optimistic Mukherjee said FY10 growth could reach 7.75%. India, which grossed a GDP growth of 7.9% in the third quarter of this fiscal, is one of the fastest growing economies in the world and a negative farm growth thanks to a dry spell this year is also not expected to adversely impact its growth. The GDP growth for the next two quarters was “likely to be bright”, Mukherjee said.




Asian markets were positive; Shanghai and Hang Seng were up 0.8-0.9%. Straits Times, Kospi and Taiwan Weighted gained 0.35-0.6%.

Frontliners like Hindalco, NTPC, Sterlite Industries, Reliance Industries, ICICI Bank and SAIL were top gainers, up 3-6%%. Not a single share was in the red on the Sensex and Nifty.

The 30-share BSE Sensex was trading at 17,108, up 415 points and the Nifty was at 5,110, up 124 points. The broader indices gained 1.2-1.5%, as about 986 shares advanced while 256 shares declined on the BSE.

Zee Entertainment's board approved merger of ETC Networks with company. The company will consider detailed merger scheme on December 29. The stock was up 0.4% and ETC Networks gained 3.5%.

Heavyweight Reliance Industries surged 3.28%. Among other oil & gas stocks, GAIL, Cairn India and ONGC were up 2-3%. IOC, HPCL and BPCL gained 0.8-1.3%.

Infosys rose 3% in the oil & gas space. TCS, Wipro, HCL Tech and Tech Mahindra went up 1-2%.

Banking stocks like ICICI Bank and HDFC Bank moved up 2.5-3%. PNB, SBI, Kotak Mahindra, Axis Bank and Bank of Baroda were up 0.8-1.8%.

In the power pack, NTPC rallied 5.14%. NHPC, Power Grid Corp, Lanco Infratech, Neyveli Lignite, Suzlon Energy, Torrent Power, Siemens, GVK Power, BHEL, Reliance Infrastructure, Reliance Power, Tata Power, GMR Infra and Adani Power gained 1-3.3%.

Hindalco surged 6.37% in the metal space. Sterlite Industries, SAIL, NALCO, Tata Steel, Jindal Saw, Jindal Steel and JSW Steel were up 1.3-3.7%.

Top percentage gainers - Jumbo Bag and AP Paper Mills were locked at 20% upper circuit. Umang Dairies, JSW Holdings, Muthoot Cap, Adhunik Metalik and KSE were up 10-17%.



MOre @

Sensex surges 500 pts; RIL, Infy, NTPC, ICICI Bk, ONGC lead

Nifty near day's highs; Hindalco, RIL surge

Essar Oil to become India's third largest oil refining co



Src: Leading websites

22 December 2009

RIL discovers third gas reserve in KG basin

RIL discovers third gas reserve in KG basin

NEW DELHI: Reliance Industries on Tuesday said it has made a third successive gas discovery in the D3 deep-sea block in the Krishna-Godavari
basin, off the east coast. (
Watch )

Reliance found three gas reservoirs in the KGV-D3-R1 well drilled on the block KG-DWN-2003/1 (or D3), a company statement said here.

The block, located about 45 kilometres off the coast in the Bay of Bengal, is in the vicinity of its prolific D6 block where three of the 19 oil and gas finds have already been put on production.

"This discovery (in D3) supplements RIL's understanding, of the petroleum systems within the block," it said.

Reliance holds 90 per cent interest in the block that it won in the fifth round of auction under the New Exploration Licensing Policy. Hardy Exploration and Production India Inc, a unit of Hardy Oil of UK, has the remaining 10 per cent.

"Three reservoir zones were encountered at Miocene level having gross thickness of 4, 23 and 16 meters," the statement said adding the discovery has been named Dhirubhai-44.

The first two exploratory wells (KGV-D3-A1 and KGV-D3-B1) resulted in gas discoveries (Dhirubhai 39 and 41) and are presently under appraisal.

"Besides the above discoveries, several prospects have been mapped at different stratigraphic levels," the statement added.

*********************************************

Nifty lacklustre; SAIL, Tata Steel, IDFC up

Nifty can reach 5650 if it breaches 5150: Daryl Guppy

2009: Good for investors, tough on Mutual Funds




Src: Moneycontrol, ET

Heard on the street

Heard on the street

Market on a lean holiday diet in

2011

STOCK exchanges have been spared some more unpopularity, thanks to several public holidays falling on weekends. There is a move afoot to cut down the number of trading holidays, as the wise men feel that the Indian market has one too many, compared to international markets. The reason to cut down on the number of holidays is based on the premise that investors here will not have a chance to react to major global events if the Indian market is closed.

This is, of course, assuming that no major global developments will unfold on January 26, August 15, or on the day of Bhau Bheej, or any of the other holidays that do not happen to be global ones.

“This year a large proportion of the holidays is falling on a Saturday/Sunday. We have only 11-12 holidays falling during the week. This year is taken care of. 2011 is when a shorter list — 8 to 10 days — will come into effect by which time the equity market will also have moved to a 9-5 pm cycle,” said a senior broker, who was present at the meeting NSE had with six top retail broking firms.

Garware Offshore sets sails for the north

SHARES of Garware Offshore have risen around 12% in the past one month. Buzz is that increasing demand for offshore support vessels is driving interest in the stock. Speculation is that some financial and strategic investors are planning to pick up a stake in the company through secondary market transactions, though talks are said to be at a preliminary stage. In anticipation of this, “friendly circles” are said to be accumulating the stock.

Rel Equity, Daiwa lose top honchos to Macquarie

MACQUARIE Securities is looking to beef up its equities team in India. Amongst its new hires are Sudhanshu Bhuwalka who joins as associate director, equity sales, from Reliance Equities, where he was co-head of equity sales. Neil Nathwani has joined Macquarie’s equity sales team from Daiwa in London where he was the India specialist for Europe. Suresh Ganapathy is joining to head Macquarie’s financials research team for India. He joins from Deutsche Bank’s cash equities business in India.

Orient Green Power to raise Rs 600-cr via IPO

GREEN is the new black. With green or clean energy gaining momentum across the globe, market observers expect companies operating in the renewable energy space to take the IPO route. Orient Green Power, a subsidiary of Shriram EPC is one such candidate. It has appointed Goldman Sachs, UBS and JM Financial as bankers for its Rs 500-600 crore IPO.

Contributed by Deeptha Rajkumar, Reena Zachariah & Apurv Gupta


Src: ET
******************************************

Balmer Lawrie & Company: Bargain hunt begins! Rathin Shah

India equity strategy: 2010 NextGen India Investments

14th Annual Wealth Creation Study 2004-2009 Motilal Oswal

Two attractive mid cap picks Sanjay Chhabria

Picks for an aggressive stock portfolio

Picks for a conservative stock portfolio


Src: Valuenotes

****************************************

Stocks trader's favoured the most in 2009: An analysis

Stocks trader's favoured the most in 2009: An analysis

Some stocks have had a great run in 2009. They have attracted traders and investors for the year round. CNBC-TV18’s Varinder Bansal reports,

These stocks are only punters delight – the way they have moved for the entire year with gains of anywhere between 2,000%. The marketcap of these stocks are well above most of the stocks we talk on the channel.

Kwality Dairy: Biggest winner of 2009?

Kwality Diary, a company with a market cap of Rs 2,000 crore, has gained nearly 2,000% in 2009. Looking at the one-year chart, the stock was at a price of Rs 5.5. It went to as high as Rs 1,360 and then there was a stock spilt from 10 to 1 and now the stock is trading around Rs 100.

On the financials front, FY09 the profit after tax (PAT) of this company was around Rs 10 crore and FY08 the PAT was nearly Rs 4.5 crore. So the company with market cap of Rs 2,000 crore is having a PAT of nearly Rs 10 crore.

The promoter holding in this company is interesting with four promoters and 32 individuals together hold nearly 93.5% stake in the security. The free float in the company is very less and that is why most of the stocks tend to react because of cornered shares in the public. Also, the existing promoters of this company bought this company in 2003 at the price of only Rs 3 crore and now see the way the stock has moved up. The company is only engaged in the diary business.

Gee Kay Finance and Leasing Co: Another trader’s delight?

This company has a market cap of nearly Rs 4,000 crore, which is even higher than IndusInd bank or Dena Bank or most of the PSU banks. The stock has gained nearly 1,800% and again in this case we have seen there was a stock split in the month of December and the stock started with a price of nearly Rs 4 and went to as high as Rs 560 and now after the stock split is trading at around Rs 80.

The volumes have been good in this stock. In the last 4 years for this company there is no profit for this company. The PAT of 2009 there was a loss of Rs 29 lakh and 2008 it was a loss of nearly Rs 4 lakh.

Promoter holding will be very interesting because the promoter holding in this company is only 0.5% and there are 26 individuals who hold nearly 90.86% equity in this company. So again you have distorted equity, which is spread only in 26-27 people and the rest 7-8% is with the public.

These are the few cases where you have seen huge gains but this is all punters delight, no fundamentals which are attached to both the shares.

Other outperformers of 2009:

Company Dec 31, '08 2009 Chg
Auro Pharma

Rs 168

429%

Mcleod Russel

Rs 49

427%

JSW Holdings

Rs 301

427%

Hexaware Tech

Rs 21

348%

Orbit Corp

Rs 62

339%

Uttam Galva

Rs 27

334%

Polaris Software

Rs 43

326%

HOEC

Rs 66

312%

Havells India

Rs 122

309%

Jindal Saw

Rs 44

307%

Deccan Chron

Rs 44

247%















*****************************************

Thirteen year-end lists you have to read


This is a list of lists. Dedicated to all obsessive list makers and readers
1.
Time Magazine — Person of the Year:
The tradition of selecting a Man of the Year began in 1927, with Time’s editors contemplating newsworthy stories possible during a slow week. It was also an attempt to remedy the editorial embarrassment earlier that year for not having aviator Charles Lindbergh on its cover following his historic trans-Atlantic flight. While the designation is usually regarded as an honour, previous awardees include Hitler and Stalin. This year, the list of candidates is fairly controversial, and includes Iranian protestors and Somali pirates.

Click for more

2. Vanity Fair — Year in Pictures:
Vanity Fair images are often as important as the story — sometimes the images are the story. This list is a summation of the most iconic images to appear in the magazine in 2009. Past pictorials include the controversial, such as David LaChapelle’s with actor Mike Meyers dressed as a Hindu deity, and the heart-wrenching, like James Nachtwey’s images of Vietnamese children disfigured by Agent Orange.

Click for More

3. BBC — Sound of 2010:
The list is designed to find the best up-and-coming musical acts for the coming year. More than 130 of UK’s leading music critics and broadcasters name their favourite new acts and finally a long-list of 15 is prepared .

Click for More

4. GUARDIAN — Books of the year:
The Guardian’s guide to the Best Books of 2009 isn’t your usual, monotonous roundup of the best pickings. The British daily has asked leading figures in the arts to pick their books of the year, from novelist Nick Hornby, to fashion favourite Vivienne Westwood and even film director Sam Mendes. Definitely check out this list and enjoy choosing from a host of opinions. The only blot on file would be politician David Cameron’s choice of political diaries…can you say predictable?

Click for More

5. New York Times — Annual Year in Ideas:
This series from The New York Times Magazine is a digest of ideas that helped make each year, for better or worse, what it was. The ideas are not necessarily good ideas or even the most popular. They’re only alphabetically ordered. But they are ingenious, inspired, perplexing and some even outright illegal — a fresh selection of intellectual sushi. Enjoy.

Click for More

6. Amazon — Best of 2009 Books:
Amazon, the pioneering online bookseller, has two main lists out: The top 100 picks by their editors, and what sold most. The editors’ top pick is called Let the Great World Spin. Readers chose Dan Brown’s The Lost Symbol. There are also sub-lists by genre, so you can just go check out what interests you.

Click for More

7. Roger Ebert’s Movie Yearbook 2009:
Roger Ebert is an American film critic and screenwriter. He is known for his film review column (appearing in the Chicago Sun-Times since 1967, and later online) and his reviews are syndicated to more than 200 newspapers in the US and worldwide. In 1975, Ebert became the first film critic to win a Pulitzer Prize for Criticism. We recommend a copy of his annual movie yearbook which is predominately a collection of his reviews of that year. The heavy use of mocking sarcasm, dry wit and shocking candour makes it one of the most irresistible ways to lay 2009 to rest!

Click for More

8. Esquire — 30 Women We’ve Loved in 2009:
This one’s for the boys. Esquire, the original men’s magazine, was founded in the United States in 1932 as a reaction to the tyranny of women’s magazines during that time. And from its very first issue, there has always been an appreciation of women. The list is a recap beyond the Sexiest Woman Alive, and is accompanied by great photos of the great women of today. This year’s fab 30 include Candice Swaponoel, the new face of Victoria’s Secret, Italian beauties, an SNL favourite and a carpenter with an inventive use for walnuts!

Click for More

9. The Economist — The World In 2010:
The World in 2010 is the 24th edition of The Economist’s annual collection of predictions for the year ahead — with views from journalists, politicians and business people. The edition will be sold in 90 countries and translated into around 20 languages. So what are some of the forecasts for 2010? The World in 2010 predicts regime change for the UK, with a clear Conservative majority. Gordon Brown, are you listening?

Click for More

10. Time Magazine — Top Ten Everything of 2010:
The Mother of all year-end lists! Time magazine’s amalgamation of all the Top Ten’s of 2009, from the year’s best (or rather, worst) political gaffes, fashion faux paus, iPhone Apps, and even medical breakthroughs. Chart the highs and lows of 2009 from these 50 wide ranging lists.

Click for More

11. Foreign Policy’s Top 100 Global Thinkers:
From this year’s Nobel Peace Prize winner, to the brains behind Iran’s Green Revolution, Climate Change’s messiah Dr. Rajendra Pachauri and Nouriel Roubini, the economic Cassandra who actually did have a crystal ball — they had the big ideas that shaped our world in 2009. Read the list to see the 100 minds that mattered most in the year that was.

Click for More

12. Lonely Planet’s Best in Travel 2010:
Considering where to go in the coming year? Lonely Planet’s guidebook presents the top 10 countries, regions, and cities to visit in 2010, chosen by Lonely Planet’s global team. Expect old favourites, like New Zealand, chosen because of its spectacular landscapes, proud Maori culture and fine food and drink. Also mentioned are the obscure, like Fernando de which had only 9,000 foreign visitors last year.

Click for More

13. Time Magazine — 50 Best Web sites of 2009:
Clear out your bookmarks. You’re going to need the space for Time magazine’s roundup of 2009’s 50 offerings that are indispensable to navigating, shopping or just killing time on the Web. It’s a tough choice between Flickr, Twitter and YouTube.

Click for More

(Compiled by: Shloka Nath, Charles Assisi, Saumya Roy, S. Srinivasan)

By: Shloka Nath/Forbes India

More from Forbes India


Src: moneycontrol.com


*******************************************************************

Stock Reports:


HCL Technologies, Kewal Kiran Clothing


Maruti Suzuki


Nava Bharat Ventures


SKF India, CMC India, Kalpataru Power


Weekly Technicals - Dec 21 2009


Weekly - Dec 21 2009

Src: DP Blog