01 August 2010

Stock and Market views

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS: Index Outlook: Sensex backtracks again
The Sensex had just begun to flap its wings to soar above the 18,200 barrier when it was checked abruptly by the RBI's policy rate hike. Earnings disappointments from some of the top-rung companies made the index retract further to close ...




STOCKS: Bajaj Auto: Buy
Investors with a one-to-two-year perspective can consider an investment in the Bajaj Auto stock. The company had a dream run in 2009-2010, aided by a demand revival after the slowdown of 2008. This performance has extended to the first quarter ...


STOCKS: Birla Corporation: Buy
Investors with a two- year perspective can consider investing in the stock of Birla Corporation, a cement manufacturer whose target markets are the northern, central and ...


STOCKS: Lanco Infratech: Buy
Investors with high risk appetite can consider fresh exposure to the stock of Lanco Infratech with a two-year investment horizon. The company plans to add 1888 MW of additional capacity, trebling its capacity in FY11 which will ...


IPOS: Bajaj Corp — IPO: Avoid
The Initial Public Offer (IPO) from Bajaj Corp may not be suitable for investors with a conservative risk profile. Though the company occupies a lucrative niche in the hair oil market, it relies heavily just on this one segment to drive ... 

 

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS: Query Corner: Consolidation in Kotak Mahindra Bank
Please advise me on the prospects of Kotak Mahindra Bank. Meru Ramana, ...

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS: Sizzling stocks: Maruti Suzuki (Rs 1,198.1)
The Maruti Suzuki stock tumbled 12 per cent forming a downward gap on Monday following its Q1 results announcement. It reported a year-on-year drop in net profits due to higher royalty payments. Subsequently, the stock hovered around Rs 1,200 ...

30 July 2010

28 July 2010

A guide to Forbes India 20 stocks portfolio



By: Pravin Palande, T Surendar/Forbes India
Around this time last year, Mumbai was still impatiently waiting for the arrival of the monsoons. It would have been the season’s best reprieve for anxious investors who were till then reeling under the heat of a global market meltdown. In retrospect though, it may have been the ideal starting point for Indian investors. 

20 stocks you must own


Exactly a year before now, in our first cover story on the markets, we had recommended that investors resume buying. We had recommended a portfolio of 20 stocks that would mirror an array of opportunities the Indian economy presented.
A year later, barring two companies, the portfolio has ended with positive returns. Three companies P&G, Page Industries and Pidilite have returned 100%. Five other stocks gained 70%.
On the whole, the Forbes India 20 portfolio was up 54%, compared to 45% of the mid-cap index (most of our recommendation was from this category). The broad market went up by 15% during the same time.
To be honest, there were enough easy pickings. Many companies were powering ahead before the global bust and yet, their valuations had fallen off the cliff. Almost all our stock picks had a strong domestic story that helped insulate them from the global instability.
But that was last year. Many Indian companies are now quickly reaching their pre-slump level in sales. Having scaled back expansion plans, they will soon churn out their full capacities, leaving little headroom for volume growth.
Investors have already guessed that Indian companies will continue to perform well, and lapped up stocks at prices that have already discounted the current financial year’s earnings.
Our considered opinion is that any investments in the stock market may not yield above-average returns in the next one year. 



Morning views



hakti Pumps losing steam as investors offload shares

Shares of Madhya Pradesh-based Shakti Pumps, manufacturer of submersible pumps and motors, have been weighed down by selling pressure in the past couple of sessions.

The stock, which fell 4.3% to Rs 285.50 on Tuesday, has fallen over 15% in the past couple of days after witnessing a sharp rally in the past few months on large volumes. Dealers tracking the counter say that some wealthy investors, who had loaded up the stock, are selling.

According to the market buzz, the company was rumoured to be close to bagging some large orders from the government. But in the absence of any such announcement, these investors dumped the stock. The stock clocked a high of Rs 340 last Friday.

Ferro Alloys in demand on stake sale buzz

Ferro Alloys Corporation has been in the thick of activity on bourses of late on talk some groups are in the race to buy a stake in the company.

Initially, the talk was that the promoters of Ferro Alloys’ were only interested in selling a minority stake. Subsequently, there was speculation that a majority stake sale was also being explored. However, differences over valuations between prospective buyers and the promoters have led to talks getting stalled.

Brokers said promoters are demanding at least Rs 50 per share, while the prospective buyers are not willing to pay that much, especially as the stock is currently trading at about Rs 31. Ferro Alloys officials were unavailable for comment on the matter. The stock has risen about 17% in the last six sessions.




 
 
 
 
 

27 July 2010

RIL Q1 net profit up 33.42% at Rs 4851 cr

 RIL Q1 net profit up 33.42% at Rs 4851 cr

 

Mukesh Ambani group's flagship company Reliance Industries (RIL) has announced its results for the quarter ended June 2010. It has reported net profit at Rs 4851 crore as against Rs 3636 crore, a growth of 33.42% on year-on-year basis.
Net sales jumped 81.65% to Rs 58,228 crore from Rs 32,055 crore. Numbers were in-line with expectations; CNBC-TV18 expected net sales at Rs 59,300 crore and net profit at Rs 4820 crore.

Refining revenues increased 106.81% to Rs 50,531 crore from Rs 24,434 crore and petchem revenue rose 18.8% to Rs 13,903 crore from Rs 11,707 crore (YoY).
Petchem earning before interest & tax (EBIT) declined to Rs 2,053 crore from Rs 2,109 crore while refining EBIT jumped to Rs 2,035 crore from Rs 1,299 crore.
Petchem margins came in at 14.8% and refining margins at 4%. Operating margins stood at 16%.
Gross refining margin (GRM) came in at USD 7.3 a barrel.

 

HUL Q1 net profit down 8.3% at Rs 512.4 cr 

L&T Q1 net profit up 15% at Rs 666 cr 

 RBI rates may make auto, home loans dearer

 RBI hikes short-term rates; CRR unchanged

Impact analysis: Monetary Policy Review

Result Analysis: Hindustan Unilever 

 

L&T net up 15% at Rs 666 cr

 

RESULT ANALYSIS: NTPC

 

 Src: ET, Smartinvestor, Moneycontrol

 

Morning VIews

Technical Stock Switch
 

Recommended Action is to sell.
 
 
 
 
 
 
 


 
 


 
 
Src: HDFCSEC, ET and Smartinvestor
 
 
 

26 July 2010

Technical calls for the Week

26 Jul 2010 | 08:07
Recommended Action for State Bank of India is Buy on dips & for Bharat Electronics, Wockhardt Ltd is...